Tinubu Intensifies Lobbying Efforts Amid Northern Opposition to Tax Reform Bills
President Bola Tinubu has ramped up efforts to win support for his administration’s contentious tax reform bills, enlisting emissaries and back-channel negotiations to address concerns from the northern elite. This move comes amid fierce opposition from northern governors and stakeholders who argue that the proposed reforms would disproportionately disadvantage their region.
Lobbying the Northern Elite
According to sources within the Presidency, Tinubu has been consulting influential northern leaders both individually and as groups to garner support for the bills. A senior official, speaking anonymously, revealed that consultations began even before the holidays.
“What I know is that he [President Tinubu] has been consulting with some of the northern elite at an individual level and as groups, even before the holidays,” the source disclosed.
Another insider confirmed that the President is using “back channels” to address contentious aspects of the bills. “He is reaching out through different channels that are available to him to make sure that the grey areas of the bills are smoothened out,” the source said.
Northern Governors Stand Firm
Despite Tinubu’s overtures, the Northern Governors Forum has maintained its staunch opposition to the reforms. The governors are demanding that the bills be withdrawn from the National Assembly to allow for further consultation.
In a communiqué issued on October 28, the forum expressed deep dissatisfaction with the proposed amendments, particularly the shift to a derivation-based model for Value Added Tax (VAT) distribution. They argued that this model, which allocates VAT based on the location of a company’s headquarters, tax office, and where goods or services are consumed, would undermine the economic stability of the northern region.
“The forum notes with dismay the contents of the recent Tax Reform Bills forwarded to the National Assembly. The reforms, particularly the proposed amendment to the distribution of VAT to a derivation-based model, are detrimental to the interests of the north and other sub-nations,” the communiqué read.
Bauchi State Governor Bala Mohammed criticized the reforms, calling them “anti-northern” and warning of potential consequences. “If these policies persist, the northern region will show its true colors in response,” he cautioned during an interview.
Tinubu Stands His Ground
Undeterred by the backlash, Tinubu defended the tax reform bills during a media chat in December. The President emphasized the need for sweeping reforms to address the country’s economic challenges.
“Tax reform is here to stay. We cannot just continue to do what we were doing yesteryears in today’s economy. We cannot retool this economy with the old broken tools,” Tinubu said.
The President also dismissed concerns about the reforms being anti-poor, explaining that vulnerable groups would not be taxed. “This tax reform is pro-poor. All we are asking for is to widen the tax net and bake the cake larger so that we can share a larger meal,” he added.
Looking Ahead
The tax reform bills, introduced to the National Assembly in October 2024, include the Nigeria Tax Bill 2024, the Nigeria Tax Administration Bill, the Nigeria Revenue Service (Establishment) Bill, and the Joint Revenue Board (Establishment) Bill.
With Tinubu’s administration doubling down on consultations and the northern governors refusing to budge, the fate of the proposed reforms remains uncertain. The unfolding political tussle highlights the challenges of implementing sweeping policy changes in a country marked by diverse regional interests.