Connect with us

Business

Delay in crude supply to Dangote Refinery Poses Risk to Nigeria’s economy – EIU Report

Published

on

Delay in crude supply to Dangote Refinery Poses Risk to Nigeria’s economy – EIU Report

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sahara Weekly Reports That The Economist Intelligence Unit has issued a warning that further delays in crude oil feedstock to the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals could jeopardise Nigeria’s economic recovery and put additional pressure on the naira.

 

 

 

Delay in crude supply to Dangote Refinery Poses Risk to Nigeria’s economy – EIU Report

 

 

 

The research and analysis division of the Economist Group said the Dangote refinery which began production in January has encountered setbacks in petrol production due to a shortage of crude oil feedstock.

 

 

 

 

 

It said the $20 billion facility has successfully exported various products, including fuel oil, naphtha, nitrogen fertilisers, gasoil, jet fuel, and diesel but has been able to ramp up petrol production due to challenges in sourcing adequate crude oil.

 

 

Delay in crude supply to Dangote Refinery Poses Risk to Nigeria’s economy – EIU Report

 

 

 

These delays are expected to have significant economic repercussions for Nigeria, potentially worsening the already strained relationship between public finances and the management of the naira, the country’s currency.

 

 

 

The report said though the government had previously scrapped the official petrol subsidy in June 2023, the practice of unofficially subsidizing petrol continues, with substantial implications for the national budget. It pointed out that this has led to increased currency losses, contributing to a widening budget deficit that has become increasingly difficult to manage and could force the Central Bank of Nigeria to revert to stronger management of the currency.

 

 

 

“As the federal government unofficially subsidises petrol (the official subsidy was scrapped in June 2023), currency losses feed into a widening budget deficit that is becoming more challenging to finance. This provides extra incentive for the central bank to revert to stronger management of the currency, as we already expect, but the degree of market intervention could become heavier. Meanwhile, ongoing fuel imports would reduce the current-account surplus from the 1.9% of GDP that we currently project for 2025, potentially leading to lower foreign reserves and the return to a more rigid and unstable foreign-exchange system,” it said.

 

 

 

The delay in securing a reliable pipeline of affordable crude oil feedstock was attributed to low crude production due to oil theft and underinvestment, as well as using crude oil to repay outstanding loans.

 

 

 

“The refinery has encountered a range of problems, both practical and political in nature. The most publicly discussed issue is how the refinery can secure a reliable pipeline of crude oil feedstock at affordable prices. NNPC, the state oil firm, has not been able to provide enough volume. The government has promised to deliver 450,000 b/d of oil to the refinery through NNPC in a pilot scheme, sold in naira, but the state oil company is not in a position to make this a reliable arrangement. Crude production in Nigeria is stubbornly low, as a result of oil theft and underinvestment. Output was 1.31m b/d in July, against an OPEC+ target of 1.38m b/d. NNPC receives a varying minority share of this and, moreover, a sizable quantity (about 90,000 b/d) is being committed as loan collateral,” it added.

 

 

 

The situation, it said, has been worsened by International Oil Companies (IOCs) operating in Nigeria, which demand a premium of $3-$4 per barrel over the prices they receive elsewhere. It noted that regulators are hesitant to enforce the Domestic Crude Supply Obligation (DCSO)—which requires IOCs to sell crude to local refineries—out of concern that such enforcement might lead to divestment.

 

 

 

The report emphasised that producing fuel locally would significantly benefit Nigeria’s fiscal position and currency, given that petroleum products account for 15% to 20% of the country’s goods import bill. The Dangote refinery, hailed as a transformative development, is expected to resolve the paradox of Nigeria being a major crude oil producer yet still dependent on fuel imports. With a capacity of 650,000 barrels per day (b/d), the refinery could potentially eliminate the need for fuel imports and shield local fuel prices from exchange-rate fluctuations.

 

 

 

“The Dangote fuel refinery is potentially transformational for Nigeria, which has always been an oil exporter and fuel importer. This fact is often regarded as a failure and an embarrassment by politicians, businesses and the media alike, but the new refinery has the ability to change this,” it said.

Continue Reading
Advertisement

Business

WHY IS PETROLEUM A PROBLEM IN NIGERIA

Published

on

NNPC cautions motorists, others against panic buying

WHY IS PETROLEUM A PROBLEM IN NIGERIA

By Dickson Omobola

 

The jigsaw puzzle surrounding the quantity of petrol, otherwise called Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), Nigeria consumes daily just got more puzzling as Sunday Vanguard understands that the figure went down to about 30 million liters per day after President Bola Tinubu’s ”subsidy is gone” statement of May 29, 2023 only to dramatically return to more than 60 million liters.

Multiple sources attributed the ‘magical’ rise to renewed smuggling of the product into neighboring countries where the price of the product is significantly higher than it is in Nigeria.

Until Tinubu ‘removed’ petrol subsidy via the 2023 Inauguration Day speech, the product sold for N254 but rose subsequently to N617 in Abuja and thereabouts in some parts of the country.

Injuries, male colleagues’ attitude almost made me quit welding – Zainab Giwa, Yaba Tech graduate0:16 / 1:00
keep watching

 

In Lagos where it was cheapest, it sold for about N568 while it sold higher in other South-West states like Ogun, Oyo, Ondo, Osun and Ekiti.

In the North, South-South and South-East, it was a different ballgame as the price of petrol skyrocketed above N615 while independent marketers sold above N800.

The quantity of petrol consumed daily in Nigeria has for a long time been a controversial issue with many stakeholders saying it was shrouded in secrecy especially since the quantity determined the amount to be paid as subsidy which many people including government officials benefited from.

According to the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Limited (NNPCL), in the first three months of 2022, Nigeria recorded an average daily consumption of 64.14 million liters, while the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) revealed in September 2022 that Nigeria’s average daily petrol consumption was 66.8 million liters.

However, at the beginning of 2023, the Group Chief Executive Officer of the NNPC Limited, Mele Kyari, said there was no credible data to ascertain the daily consumption of petrol in Nigeria while also stating that there was credible data on the actual volume of petrol evacuated from the depots.

Analysts believe the figures quoted are often that high because the bulk of the petrol earmarked for the local market is usually taken by smugglers across the borders, especially to neighboring countries, where the price of the product is very high because they don’t produce oil.

The smuggling of the product across the borders guarantees huge profits for those involved while subsidy also guarantees huge returns for marketers and government officials among others in the system.
But following the Inauguration Day pronouncement of Tinubu (subsidy is gone), daily consumption of petrol in Nigeria, according to sector regulator fell significantly.

Analysis of daily truck-out data published by the NMDPRA revealed that petrol consumption had reduced by more than 24 million liters per day on average.

The average daily consumption in May 2023 was 69.54 million liters which fell to 49.48 million liters in June, representing a 28.3% drop.

In July, this margin increased further to 34.61%, the equivalent of 24.06 million liters, and average daily consumption for the month fell further to 45.74 million liters.

The price of petrol in neighboring Benin Republic and Cameroon immediately soared, confirming the claim that both countries, among others, were befitting from the Nigerian subsidy regime.

Outside beneficiaries
Part of the reason adduced by the Nigerian government to cancel the subsidy regime is the fact that apart from the cabal using the regime to rip off government, nationals of neighboring were also beneficiaries.

But critics say the fact that government cannot police its borders in such a way that smuggling of petrol across the borders is stopped does not justify ending the subsidy regime that helps poor Nigerians to modulate the prices of other items that they need petrol to carry out.

Nigeria’s land borders are huge, covering an

Continue Reading

Business

Popular Businessman decries media bullying over property in Ogun

Published

on

Popular Businessman decries media bullying over property in Ogun

An Ogun State -based real estate practitioner, Mathew Elisha has condemned what he described as media bullying in an attempt by a man to forcefully take over his land in the Ologede community in Atan area of Ado- Odo / Ota Local Government .

The business man stated this ,while reacting to a viral video on the internet ,where he was accused of forcefully taking over a community land ,which was dedicated for the construction of a primary school .

One of the residents , Olalekan Abatan accused Mathew of erecting a structure on the land ,where the community was planning to build a primary school

The real estate practitioner described the accusation against him as untrue and malicious ,adding that it was aimed at inciting the public against him.

 

He clarified that ” To begin with ,the land they are talking about is not in Igbele Ajana .It is in Ologede .It will be wrong for them to say that the land was given to them by the Ogedengbe family . ”

He also stated that ” I am very disappointed in the said Abatan. Already he had instituted a case at the Customary Court. Why is he resorting to media blackmail again .

He had initially reported to the police and after thorough investigation by the Divisional Crime Officer in charge of the station .He abandoned the matter at the police station and ran to the court .Now he has resorted to media blackmail .”

Mathew explained that ” I bought the land a long time ago from the Solabi Family . I started construction and I had three courses already on the land .
.
The land became a subject of litigation between the Solabi Family and the Asalu family . The Asalu Family won at the high court and I stayed away from the land .

The Solabi Family approached the Appeal Court and the matter was decided in their favour The family also won at the Supreme Court . I returned to my land .Nothing had been built on it. I am surprised that they are claiming that the land was donated for primary school .

Abatan even confirmed to the police that there was already a construction on the land ,when it was donated to them. He added that the Ogedengbe family claimed to have erected the building on the land .”

The businessman noted that ” What they are saying is not only untrue but a malicious attempt by the said Abatan to incite members of the public against me .

Continue Reading

Bank

BREAKING! Opay Begins Charging Of N50 Electronic Transaction Fee

Published

on

BREAKING! Opay Begins Charging Of N50 Electronic Transaction Fee

 

 

 

 

OPay is set to apply a transfer fee of N50 for transactions exceeding N10,000.

 

 

BREAKING! Opay Begins Charging Of N50 Electronic Transaction Fee

 

 

OPay has introduced a new fee for electronic transfers into both personal and business accounts, in accordance with the regulations set forth by the Federal Inland Revenue Service.

 

 

 

Beginning September 9, 2024, there will be a one-time charge of N50 for transfers of N10,000 or more.

 

 

On Saturday, OPay communicated to its valued customers:

 

“Dear valued customers, please be informed that starting September 9, 2024, a one-time fee of N50 will be applied for electronic transfer of N10,000 and above paid into your personal or business account in compliance with the Federal Inland Revenue Service regulations.”

 

 

Continue Reading

Cover Of The Week

Trending