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2027 or Never: Why Atiku and Obi Must Unite or Watch Tinubu Bury Their Political Futures

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2027 or Never: Why Atiku and Obi Must Unite or Watch Tinubu Bury Their Political Futures. ( Opinion) 

By George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by SaharaWeeklyNG.com

In the theatre of Nigerian politics, 2027 is shaping up to be a decisive year. The All Progressives Congress (APC), despite its unrelenting failures in governance, stands poised to retain power, not because it has earned the trust of Nigerians, but because its two greatest threats: Alhaji Atiku Abubakar and Mr. Peter Obi, may once again allow personal ambition and egos to override national interest. If the former Vice President and the ex-Anambra Governor contest separately under the African Democratic Congress (ADC) and Labour Party (LP) respectively, they will not only hand President Bola Ahmed Tinubu an effortless re-election; they will jointly dig their political graves.

Let us be frank here: this is a game of numbers, strategy and timing. Tinubu’s APC has done little to improve the socio-economic conditions of Nigerians. From rising inflation to staggering unemployment, from Naira’s collapse to institutionalized corruption, Tinubu’s presidency has delivered more pain than progress. Yet, the opposition remains fragmented, delusional and distracted. This disunity is Tinubu’s biggest asset.

The APC’s Achilles Heel: Poor Governance, since assuming office in May 2023, Tinubu’s administration has steered Nigeria deeper into economic despair. With inflation hovering above 34%, food prices have tripled and the minimum wage, even at the newly proposed ₦70,000, is laughably insufficient. The President’s ill-thought removal of fuel subsidies, without adequate palliatives, plunged millions into instant poverty. Education has suffered widespread strikes, insecurity is at an all-time high and foreign investors are fleeing. According to a March 2025 World Bank report, over 87 million Nigerians now live in extreme poverty, making Nigeria the poverty capital of the world once again.

Yet, Tinubu might still win in 2027; not because he is loved, but because the opposition is stupid.

The Numbers Don’t Lie: 2023 as a Lesson.
The 2023 election results should be a wake-up call. Tinubu won with 8.79 million votes, Atiku followed with 6.98 million and Obi secured 6.1 million. Together, Atiku and Obi racked up over 13 million votes, which is more than 4 million ahead of Tinubu. If that is not enough reason for unity, then what is?

The math is simple: TOGETHER, THEY WIN; APART, THEY LOSE.

Nigeria Cannot Survive Another Tinubu Term.
What exactly will be left of Nigeria by 2031 if Tinubu wins again? The country’s debt is already past ₦120 trillion and the Naira now trades beyond ₦2,000 to the dollar in the parallel market. Over 600,000 Nigerian youths migrated legally and illegally in 2024 alone, fleeing a system that offers no hope.

Tinubu’s second term would consolidate a one-party state, institutionalize suppression of dissent and weaponize state institutions like EFCC and DSS against perceived enemies. The judicial system is already under siege, with the 2023 election tribunal outcome still fresh in national memory. A repeat term will only embolden the worst tendencies of Tinubu’s reign.

As the fiery Nobel Laureate, Prof. Wole Soyinka, warned in 2024: “When evil goes unchallenged for too long, it wears the CROWN of LEGITIMACY.”

The Problem With Atiku and Obi is EGO over NATION. There is no polite way to say it; both Atiku and Obi, for all their accomplishments, have failed to put Nigeria ahead of their personal ambitions. In public, they speak of rescuing Nigeria, but in private, they SCHEME SOLO PATHS to POWER.

Atiku, having contested for presidency since 1993, must realize that 2027 is his last realistic shot. He will be over 80 in 2031. Obi, though younger and with more electoral appeal among the youth, cannot single-handedly unseat a ruling party entrenched in power with all the state machinery.

Both men must come to the table, not as rivals, but as partners. As Prof. Pat Utomi said in 2023, “The future of Nigeria cannot be sacrificed on the altar of personal ambition. We need a UNITY of PURPOSE, not a MULTIPLICITY of EGOS.”

A Coalition Is Not a Weakness, It is a Weapon. Those who say a coalition is a sign of weakness forget the 2015 precedent. Tinubu himself engineered the coalition that merged CPC, ACN and factions of PDP to bring Buhari to power. That political marriage, though shaky, was enough to unseat Jonathan. Why can’t Atiku and Obi REPLICATE the same TEMPLATE?

In 2024, the ADC began rebranding itself as a third-force platform. Many Nigerians welcomed this, especially after the LP’s structure showed signs of internal weakness. However, neither ADC nor LP, in isolation, can overcome the APC juggernaut.

The only path to victory is a merger or a strategic alliance that sees either Atiku or Obi step aside for the other, while the second becomes the Vice-Presidential candidate. This formula is not new; it is TESTED and PROVEN.

Time Is Running Out
Coalitions are not built in a day. The groundwork must begin now. VOTER EDUCATION, POLLING AGENTS, GRASSROOTS MOBILIZATION and INEC COMPLIANCE require at least two years of planning. The earlier this coalition is birthed, the stronger its momentum will be.

Nigerians are watching. The youths who marched under the #EndSARS banner in 2020 and those who voted massively for Obi in 2023, are disillusioned. Many feel used, abandoned and betrayed. If Obi and Atiku fail to come together now, the electorate may lose faith entirely and the 2027 election could witness record-low turnout.

This would favor only one man: Tinubu.

If They Fail, They’re Finished. If Tinubu wins again, it is OVER not just for Nigeria, but for the POLITICAL LEGACIES of both Atiku and Obi. A new generation of politicians will rise from the ashes of their failure. The political shelf life of both men will expire. Posterity will remember them not for their vision, but for their inability to act with courage at a defining moment.

The late Chinua Achebe once said, “The trouble with Nigeria is simply and squarely a failure of leadership.” That failure now stares us in the face; unless UNITY intervenes.

The Bottom Line: One Last Chance to Rewrite History. This is the last train for Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi. If they miss it, the next station is irrelevance. Nigeria cannot afford another four years of suffering, of incompetence masked as governance, of propaganda replacing policy.

They must drop their pride, pick up the phone and forge a historic alliance. Let it be known that at a time when Nigeria was on the brink, two men buried their ambitions and rose for the people.

If they don’t, Tinubu will win and it will be their names etched into history; not as heroes, but as the ones who could have saved Nigeria, but did not.

2027 or Never: Why Atiku and Obi Must Unite or Watch Tinubu Bury Their Political Futures. ( Opinion) 
By George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by SaharaWeeklyNG.com
By George Omagbemi Sylvester
Published by SaharaWeeklyNG.com

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When Power Meets Privilege: Controversy Trails the Rise of NNPC Gas Czar Lekan Ogunleye

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When Power Meets Privilege: Controversy Trails the Rise of NNPC Gas Czar Lekan Ogunleye

 

Among many of Abraham Lincoln’s popular saying is that “If you want to test a man’s character, give him power.” This saying suggests power and affluence reveals a person’s true nature rather than changing it.

 

 

 

The saying might rightly describe one of NNPC limited eggheads, Lekan Ogunleye, who is the Executive Vice President, Gas, Power & New Energy.

 

 

 

It’s a matter of stating the obvious saying that the former Deputy Managing Director of Nigeria LNG Limited is a brilliant chap. He’s been  equipped with significant industry experience in various aspects of the gas value chain, he was made the Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Gas Aggregation Company Nigeria Limited (GACN),a firm set up by Federal Government of Nigeria to implement the Nigerian Gas Master Plan and manage domestic supply of gas.

 

 

 

But with all of these achievements, many alleged that a thorn in the flesh that lives with Mr Ogunleye is his fondness for the other gender. Sources close to him alleged that he invests millions in satisfying his cravings to invite them from around the world in different sizes and shapes on regular basis.

 

 

 

Information gathered has it that like many of his class, he has a permanent suite in a luxurious hotel on Lagos Island where he entertains them, it was alleged that his arrangements even provides luxurious treatment for them even when he’s not in town. A recent case of such was when he travelled to UAE during last year December with his family, sources close to him alleged that while he was away,  ladies invited from Indonesia and Rwanda were receiving royal treatment in this permanent suite which cost over half a million Naira per night.

 

 

 

The sources also alleged that he’s known to relish his fetish practices with two ladies at the a time, and to watch them play with themselves before joining in the fun.

 

 

 

While his personal life may not be that important, how he was able to sustain such an expensive lifestyle, was scrutinize and it was alleged that he regularly receives kickbacks from NNPC vendors and contractors, especially the foreign partners who have been awarded contracts worth millions of dollars through his assistance.

 

 

 

Some of his close allies alleged that power that his privileged office brought was responsible for his insatiable desires for the opposite sex a situation that led to the collapse of his first marriage before he remarried a few years ago.

 

 

 

In other to establish the true state of things, a query was sent to him especially about the allegation of financial irregularities and the abuse of power and privileges for personal enrichment, the query was left unanswered after more than two weeks even when receipt was confirmed.nleye

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Pomp, Prestige and Purpose: Dr. Mutiu Adewale Badmus Crowned Otunba Alayeluwa Onimolete of Molete, Ogbomoso

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Pomp, Prestige and Purpose: Dr. Mutiu Adewale Badmus Crowned Otunba Alayeluwa Onimolete of Molete, Ogbomoso

 

Last Sunday was etched in gold in the annals of Molete, Ogbomoso, as the ancient town came alive in colour, culture, and celebration for the conferment of a prestigious chieftaincy title on the erudite entrepreneur and man of many parts, Dr. Mutiu Adewale Badmus.

In a ceremony steeped in tradition and grandeur, Dr. Badmus was formally installed as the Otunba Alayeluwa Onimolete of Molete, Ogbomoso, drawing an impressive gathering of crème de la crème from across the social, business, and cultural strata of society.

The atmosphere was one of pride, reverence, and collective joy as dignitaries, community leaders, friends, and well-wishers thronged the historic town to witness the landmark event.
The honour, bestowed in recognition of his outstanding contributions to societal development and humanity at large, reflects Dr. Badmus’ enduring commitment to service, excellence, and community upliftment. As the Chief Executive Officer of Al-Hatyq Travel and Tours Limited, he has distinguished himself not only as a successful business leader but also as a compassionate humanitarian whose impact transcends commerce.

The colourful ceremony showcased the rich cultural heritage of Ogbomoso, with traditional rites, music, and pageantry underscoring the significance of the occasion. For many in attendance, the conferment was more than a title—it was a celebration of character, legacy, and a life devoted to meaningful service.

As Dr. Mutiu Adewale Badmus assumes his new role as Otunba Alayeluwa Onimolete, expectations are high that his wisdom, vision, and passion for humanity will continue to inspire progress and unity within Molete, Ogbomoso, and beyond.

 

 

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Appeal at the Crossroads: Nnamdi Kanu’s Legal Gamble and the Unresolved Question of Nigeria’s National Unity

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Appeal at the Crossroads: Nnamdi Kanu’s Legal Gamble and the Unresolved Question of Nigeria’s National Unity By George Omagbemi Sylvester

Appeal at the Crossroads: Nnamdi Kanu’s Legal Gamble and the Unresolved Question of Nigeria’s National Unity

By George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by SaharaWeeklyNG

“As the detained IPOB leader challenges his life sentence, the case reopens deep constitutional debates over terrorism, self-determination and the credibility of Nigeria’s justice system.”

 

The legal battle surrounding Nnamdi Kanu, the detained leader of the Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB), has entered a new and potentially decisive phase. In early February 2026, Kanu formally filed an appeal against his terrorism conviction and life sentences, asking the Court of Appeal in Abuja to quash the judgment delivered against him in November 2025.

 

The appeal does not merely represent a routine judicial process. It revives one of the most controversial political trials in modern Nigerian history, a case that has long straddled the uneasy line between national security enforcement and constitutional freedoms. For supporters, Kanu is a political agitator fighting perceived injustice against the Igbo people. For the Nigerian state, he is the leader of a proscribed organisation whose rhetoric and activities were deemed to have crossed into the territory of terrorism.

 

Now, with his appeal before the higher courts, the question is no longer only about Kanu’s fate. It is about the legal, political and moral direction of the Nigerian federation itself.

 

The conviction and its legal foundations.

Kanu was convicted on terrorism-related charges by the Federal High Court in Abuja on November 20, 2025. The court found him guilty on multiple counts linked to acts deemed preparatory to terrorism, inciting the public through broadcasts, and leading a proscribed organisation.

The judgment imposed multiple life sentences and additional prison terms, all to run concurrently, effectively keeping him incarcerated for life.

 

The conviction followed years of legal controversy, including his arrest, flight from Nigeria, re-arrest and protracted court proceedings. At one stage in 2025, senior lawyers withdrew from his defence, leaving him to represent himself temporarily in court.

 

In his appeal, Kanu listed more than twenty grounds, arguing that the trial court erred in law and occasioned what he described as a “grave miscarriage of justice.”

 

He contended that the court failed to address foundational disruptions in the trial process, including the 2017 military operation at his residence, which he claims undermined the legal continuity of the case.

 

The appeal: a direct challenge to the state’s narrative.

The core of Kanu’s appeal is a demand for the appellate court to overturn his conviction entirely.

 

Reports indicate that he is seeking acquittal on all charges, arguing that the evidence and legal procedures used against him were flawed.

 

The appeal comes after his legal team signalled their intention to challenge the ruling immediately after the conviction, questioning the precedent being set.

 

Politically, the appeal is likely to re-energise the long-running debate about IPOB and the broader Biafra agitation. The organisation seeks the secession of Nigeria’s southeast region, the traditional homeland of the Igbo ethnic group, a demand the federal government has consistently rejected as unconstitutional and dangerous to national unity.

 

A case with deep historical and ethnic sensitivities

To understand the gravity of the appeal, one must appreciate the historical roots of the Biafra agitation. The original attempt at secession in 1967 led to a brutal civil war that claimed over a million lives, many from starvation and disease. The trauma of that conflict still shapes Nigeria’s political psyche.

 

In the decades since, agitation for greater autonomy or outright secession has periodically resurfaced, often driven by perceptions of marginalisation among the Igbo population. Kanu’s IPOB movement represents the most organised expression of that sentiment in recent years.

His supporters argue that the case against him is politically motivated. Some political figures have echoed such concerns. Former Senate President Adolphus Wabara, for instance, described the life sentence as unjust, claiming it was not only Kanu who was imprisoned but symbolically “the entire Igbo race.”

 

Such statements underscore the ethnic and emotional dimensions of the case and dimensions that no court ruling alone can resolve.

 

The legal and constitutional stakes.

Beyond politics, the appeal raises serious constitutional questions. Nigeria’s 1999 Constitution guarantees freedom of expression and association, but it also empowers the state to restrict such freedoms in the interest of national security.

 

Where the line lies between political agitation and terrorism remains a contentious legal issue. Kanu’s conviction rested partly on broadcasts that the court ruled were intended to intimidate the population and incite unrest.

 

Legal scholars often caution against broad interpretations of terrorism laws. As Professor Ben Saul, a leading expert on international terrorism law, has argued, “Overbroad definitions of terrorism risk criminalising political dissent and undermining the legitimacy of counter-terrorism measures.”

 

Similarly, the late constitutional scholar Professor Yash Ghai once warned that “when security laws are used to silence political grievances rather than address them, they deepen the crisis they seek to contain.”

 

These perspectives reflect the broader global debate about how democratic states should respond to separatist movements without eroding civil liberties.

 

International attention and human rights concerns

Kanu’s case has drawn international attention over the years, particularly regarding the circumstances of his arrest and trial. Human rights advocates have previously questioned aspects of Nigeria’s handling of terrorism trials, including issues of due process and transparency.

 

While the Nigerian government maintains that it is enforcing the law against a proscribed organisation, critics argue that the prolonged legal saga and the severity of the sentence risk fuelling further unrest in the southeast.

 

Political analysts warn that heavy-handed legal responses to political agitation can backfire. As political scientist Robert Rotberg once observed, “States that mistake political grievances for purely security threats often end up strengthening the very movements they seek to suppress.”

Appeal at the Crossroads: Nnamdi Kanu’s Legal Gamble and the Unresolved Question of Nigeria’s National Unity

By George Omagbemi Sylvester

The broader political implications.

The timing of the appeal is politically sensitive. Nigeria continues to grapple with insecurity, economic hardship, and regional distrust. The southeast, in particular, has experienced periodic unrest, sit-at-home orders and confrontations between security forces and armed groups.

 

A high-profile appeal such as Kanu’s is almost certain to inflame passions on all sides. For his supporters, it represents a final legal lifeline. For the federal government, it is a test of the judiciary’s credibility and the state’s resolve to maintain territorial integrity.

 

Some analysts argue that the case should never have been handled purely as a criminal matter. They suggest that it reflects deeper political grievances that require dialogue rather than courtroom battles.

 

Nobel laureate Wole Soyinka has repeatedly emphasised this point in similar contexts, arguing that “the solution to agitation is not brute force, but the courage to confront the causes of that agitation.”

 

A judiciary under scrutiny

The appeal also places Nigeria’s judiciary under intense scrutiny. The courts are now expected to navigate a case loaded with political tension, ethnic sensitivities and international attention.

 

If the Court of Appeal upholds the conviction, it may reinforce the state’s authority but risk deepening resentment in parts of the southeast. If it overturns the conviction, it could trigger political backlash and raise questions about the handling of terrorism cases.

 

Either outcome will have consequences far beyond the courtroom.

 

The uncertain road ahead

For now, the appeal represents a legal process that could take months, if not years, to resolve. It will likely pass through several stages of judicial review, potentially reaching the Supreme Court before a final decision is made.

 

Though regardless of the outcome, the case has already reshaped Nigeria’s political landscape. It has reignited debates about federalism, minority rights and the limits of state power. It has also exposed the fragility of national unity in a country still wrestling with the ghosts of its civil war.

 

As the appeal proceeds, Nigeria stands at a delicate crossroads. The courts will decide the legal questions. The political and moral questions (about justice, inclusion and the meaning of nationhood) will linger long after the final judgment is delivered.

 

In that sense, Nnamdi Kanu’s appeal is more than a personal legal battle. It is a test of Nigeria’s democracy and it is constitutional maturity and its ability to reconcile security with justice in a deeply divided society.

 

Appeal at the Crossroads: Nnamdi Kanu’s Legal Gamble and the Unresolved Question of Nigeria’s National Unity

By George Omagbemi Sylvester

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