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Governorship Election: Kebbi  Looks Good For PDP—Dr Abubakar Alkalii



Governorship Election: Kebbi  Looks Good For PDP—Dr Abubakar Alkalii

Governorship Election: Kebbi  Looks Good For PDP—Dr Abubakar Alkali


After the nationwide Presidential and National Assembly elections, attention is now shifted to the statewide Guber and state houses of assembly elections which promises to be another possible switch from the conventional nay traditional pattern of elections in Nigeria. There is the likelihood of surprises in some states, particularly in the South-East and the South-South including some parts of the middle belt owing to the Obi tsunami sweeping across mainly the southern and North central parts of the country. 
















The two main political parties, the All Progressives Congress (APC) and Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) may not have a smooth sail in some of the states under their control owing largely to the tsunami of the Labour Party in the SE and SS and parts of the North-central. From all indications, there is largely going to be a change of guard party-wise in many states including the North West and North -East although the power of incumbency will still play out in some states. 



















  This Saturday, Gubernatorial elections are expected to hold in 28 out of the 36 states.

The states where the Guber elections will hold this Saturday are as follows: 

Abia, Adamawa, Akwa Ibom, Bauchi, Benue, Borno, Cross River, Delta, Ebonyi, Enugu, Gombe, Jigawa, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Kebbi, Kwara, Lagos, Nasarawa, Niger, Ogun, Oyo, Plateau, Rivers, Sokoto, Taraba, Yobe, Zamfara.

17 state governors have completed their second terms and will not be seeking re-election. 

These states are Sokoto, Kebbi, Kaduna, Katsina, Jigawa, Kano, Benue, Niger, Plateau, Taraba, Cross Rivers, Rivers, Enugu, Ebonyi, Abia, Ekiti, Delta. 

The 11 states where Governors are seeking re-election: Adamawa, Bauchi, Borno, Gombe, Yobe, Zamfara, Kwara, Nassarawa, Lagos, Ogun, Oyo. 

The 8 ‘off-season’ states where Guber elections will not be this Saturday are:

Anambra, Bayelsa, Edo, Ekiti, Imo, Kogi, Osun, and Ondo 























Likely outcome

Below is a state-by-state analysis of the likely outcome of the Guber elections this Saturday. 

ABIA– The Labour Party is almost certainly winning this state by a wide margin. This will be part of the Obi tsunami sweeping across the SE and SS geopolitical zone and part of the North-central. The ruling PDP in the state will come a distant second.




ADAMAWA-The APC is fielding the first female Guber candidate in the state Sen Binani. Although she had made history, Sen Aishatu Binani will not be able to overcome the ‘men’ in the PDP. The PDP will win Adamawa but Sen Binani will almost certainly be involved in the incoming Tinubu administration as a minister and member of the federal executive council or something close to that. The PDP will retain this state by a reasonable margin.




AKWA IBOM– Despite the Obi tsunami sweeping across the SE and SS, the PDP will retain this state but Labour will come a close second. 

BAUCHI– The PDP will win this state albeit it faces stiff opposition from the APC. If the APC can strike a realistic deal with the NNPP, it may make a better showing but the PDP will win it regardless. 

BENUE– The Obedient Labour Party is on the rise in this state but the APC will win it. The APC has the advantage of fielding a very popular and charismatic candidate Rev Fr Hyacinth Alia. The influence of the kingmaker Sen George Akume will come into play here. However, if the PDP can negotiate a workable alliance with Labour, it may cause more problems for the APC. 




BORNO: This is a classical APC territory. With the popularity of Governor Zulum and VP – elect Kashim Shettima, it will be a straightforward victory for the APC.





CROSS RIVERS- This state is controlled by the APC after governor Ben Ayade made a bold political suicide of decamping to the APC knowing full well that the state is traditionally PDP. The governor may have thought that he can use his influence as governor to build the APC in the state but this doesn’t appear to be the case. The APC and PDP will divide their votes thus allowing the Labour Party to sneak in and win the state. The state will fall to the Obidients. 










DELTA: The Labour Party will win this state and the PDP will come a close second. Obi tsunami is fully grounded in this state and even the go-getter APC candidate DSP Omo-Agege cannot stop the Obidients 



















EBONYI: The ruling APC will likely lose this state to Labour Party by a wide margin. The Obi tsunami will sweep through Ebonyi with ease. 





















ENUGU- The Labour Party will easily win this state with PDP coming a distant second. The dark horse Guber candidate of the Labour Party in Enugu state is already banking on his luck 








GOMBE: The PDP won the Presidential election convincingly in this state owing to a mix of anti-party activities by some APC leaders and the growing unpopularity of the current governor Inuwa. The PDP will likely have a smooth sale and win the state but it will be a tight race. 


JIGAWA: A supposed APC territory although the PDP has a very good ground as well. The only stumbling block to APC’s victory is if the PDP can work out an alliance with the NNPP. This seems too late to happen though. 








KADUNA- This state is a test case of Nigeria and a clear example of what happened during the Presidential election where the Labour Party ate into PDP’s votes to deny the PDP victory and allow the APC to sneak in and smile home. If the Labour Party contests the election, the APC will likely win the state because Labour will eat up PDP’s votes in Southern Kaduna. On the other hand, if the Labour Party candidate withdraws or goes into an alliance with the PDP, the APC will be out of Sir Kashim Ibrahim’s house in a jiffy. The PDP has a good chance to win the state. 














KANO: The NNPP is on a smooth sail in Kano and will almost certainly clinch victory this Saturday while the APC will come a distant second. Even an alliance between the APC and PDP cannot stop Kwankwaso’s NNPP from winning the state. Abba Kabir Yusuf, the Guber candidate of the NNPP is not far from it when he said Governor Ganduje should start preparing his handover notes. 























KATSINA: The current level of insecurity will make the APC lose the state to the PDP. The people of Katsina state feel that the State Government under Aminu Masari is not doing enough to fight insecurity in the state. Bandits are calling the shots and holding innocent villagers to ransom in many villages of katsina state. Recall that Governor Aminu Masari had almost given up on insecurity and surrendered to the bandits when he flatly told the people of Kstsuna state to ‘protect yourselves against the bandits. If you cannot afford a gun, use a catapult.

The PDP will win this state in s very tight race. An alliance between the APC and NNPP could be the game changer for the APC. 


















KEBBI– There is almost an indescribable resentment against the APC government led by Atiku Bagudu hence it is almost a fait accompli that the PDP will win this state. The people felt Governor Bagudu didn’t deliver the dividend of democracy to them throughout his tenure, not even close. 

The PDP won the Presidential election in the state with a reasonable margin of almost 40,000 votes. 











KWARA– This is another APC territory. The party had cemented its impending victory this Saturday by consuming some of the smaller parties in the state such as Labour and NNPP under an alliance of inconvenience. 

LAGOS: The die is cast here and  you can literally feel the tension in Lagos from Abuja. Clearly it is advantage APC over Labour because most of the Obidients may not bother in the Guber election than they did in the Presidential. The towering stature of Peter Obi seems to be the factor rather than the ideology of the Labour Party. 9 out of 10, Obidients voted for Peter Obi not really the Labour Party. This could be linked to the man’s seeming innocent look, charisma on one hand and ethnicity and religion on the other. So the Obidients in Lagos may not have the taste to come out emmasse to vote, climb the skies and ‘push it’ for the Labour Party candidate Gbadebo Rhodes-Vivour against incumbent Governor Sanwo-Olu as they did on February 25th for Peter Obi against Asiwaju Tinubu. 

The APC also has the power of incumbency to go with. On the other hand, if the Labour Party can strike an alliance with the PDP (which is highly unlikely), it could change the game. Additionally, the President-elect Asiwaju Tinubu will want to deliver his state as it will help his focus to deliver good governance at the national level devoid of distractions from his home state. 

NASSARAWA: This is a straight battle between the APC and Labour. The PDP could be the kingmaker. Any of the top two that can get the PDP into an alliance will win the election. APC could win it with the help of the incumbency factor. 

NIGER- The APC will win this state with a slim margin over the PDP. Labour could change the game in PDP’s favour if it goes into an alliance with the PDP. 

OGUN- A traditional APC territory. The APC will win it by a reasonable margin over the PDP. 

OYO- The APC won the Presidential election in this state because Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu is on the ballot. It will be different in the Guber election where the PDP is likely going to retain the state. 

PLATEAU- The only factor stopping the Labour Party from winning this election is an alliance between the APC and the PDP which is highly unlikely. The time is up for the APC in this state as the Obi tsunami is likely going to come to play here. 

RIVERS- The APC won the Presidential election in this state but the story will change in the Guber election as Governor Wike will deploy his arsenal to ensure victory for his party, the PDP. The Labour Party has an outside chance in this state. 

SOKOTO- This is going to be interesting because the growing resentment of the people of Sokoto state against the Aminu Tambuwal administration will come to play. The people of Sokoto state feel that the Tambuwal administration has not delivered the dividends of democracy to them throughout the 8 years it held sway. Also, the huge grassroots support enjoyed by Sen Aliyu Magatakarda Wamakko, the APC leader in the state may win it for the APC. Clearly the Tambuwal administration has not connected with the people in the state hence the PDP in the state will struggle this Saturday. The APC will win Sokoto state this Saturday but it will be close as the PDP looks desperate and will maximally use its power of incumbency. 

TARABA- You can always expect a PDP victory in Taraba state no matter the odds. The Labour Party will come second. 

YOBE- The PDP won the Presidential election in this state but that may change in the Guber election. It is fair to say though, that without the incumbency factor, the state could slip into the hands of the PDP. Indeed an upgrade of political consciousness is apparent in Yobe state. The APC will win it. 

ZAMFARA- There is some sort of desperation by the APC to retain power in this state despite the growing unpopularity of the Bello Matawalle administration. The APC administration resorted to scare-mongering to win the Presidential election in the state but that will change this Saturday as the people feel that the state Governor is not doing enough to deal with the very high insecurity in the state just as some feel that he (Governor Matawalle) has a soft spot for the bandits who are on a mission to destroy Zamfara state and are continuously killing many innocent indigenes of the state. The lackadaisical attitude of the Matawalle administration towards tackling banditry in the state has led to the state being dubbed ‘capital of banditry in Nigeria. The people of Zamfara state are obviously not happy and would want to send a very strong and clear message this Saturday. 

It will be very close but the PDP will win the state.


Supplementary Budget: Centre Lauds Reps Appropriations Chair Bichi Over Thorough Scrutiny, Public Engagement



Supplementary Budget: Centre Lauds Reps Appropriations Chair Bichi Over Thorough Scrutiny, Public Engagement

Supplementary Budget: Centre Lauds Reps Appropriations Chair Bichi Over Thorough Scrutiny, Public Engagement



The Centre for Accountability and Probity (CAP) has commended the Chairman of the House of Representatives Appropriations Committee, Rt. Hon. Abubakar Bichi, for his commitment to transparency and accountability.


Supplementary Budget: Centre Lauds Reps Appropriations Chair Bichi Over Thorough Scrutiny, Public Engagement


In a statement signed by Princess Ajibola Naomi, its Coordinating President, the Centre said the recent transmission of the supplementary budget has been met with thorough scrutiny and public engagement by Bichi.

Naomi said that in his characteristic manner, Bichi is engaging stakeholders, conducting public hearings, and scrutinizing the executive bill to ensure that the supplementary budget serves the best interests of Nigerians.

“Bichi’s innovative approach to the budgetary process has introduced a new level of transparency and accountability, setting a benchmark for future budgetary processes,” she said.

“His commitment to ensuring that every detail is scrutinized, and the executive accounts for every penny, is a testament to his dedication to the Nigerian people.

“Bichi has introduced public engagement and scrutiny of the budget estimates, ensuring that stakeholders’ inputs are considered.

“He has also conducted public hearings to ensure transparency and accountability and analysed every detail of the executive bill to prevent misappropriation of funds.

“Furthermore, he has ensured that the supplementary budget aligns with the priorities of Nigerians.”

In addition, Naomi said Bichi has also improved the budget process by ensuring timely submission of budget estimates by MDAs, conducting regular oversight visits to monitor project implementation, and engaging with civil society organizations to ensure inclusivity and transparency.

She noted that the Appropriations Committee has also utilised technology to enhance budget tracking and monitoring, and provided clear and concise budget reports for easy understanding.

“Bichi’s leadership has changed the narrative in the budgetary process, promoting transparency and accountability,” she added. “His commitment to ensuring that the executive accounts for every penny has given Nigerians confidence in the budgetary process”.

The Centre for Accountability and Probity, therefore, urged Nigerians not to worry about the budget, as Bichi’s commitment ensures that it will be utilized effectively for the benefit of all Nigerians.

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Sahara Weekly Reports That The First Lady Oluremi Tinubu says women have to learn how to obtain power the e ECOWAS Female Parliamentarian Association has held its Spotlight Initiative with the theme; Re-thinking Women’s Proportional Representation in Governance.










The First Lady of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, Senator Oluremi Tinubu noted that the President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s administration has made significant progress in this regard but barriers still exist especially culturally and socially.










“These barriers include deeply entrenched societal norms, systemic discriminatory practices, structural issues within our political systems, and financial incapability”.










“To achieve this across board, we must be seen to walk the talk. For instance, our party, the All Progressives Congress (APC), has taken significant steps to remove financial barriers by making nomination forms for elective positions free at grassroots level, ensuring that capable and qualified women can participate in the political process without the burden of prohibitive costs”.













Senator Oluremi Tinubu commended the Federal House of Representatives for its recent passage of the Bill seeking 74 seats for women in the National Assembly in a bid to encourage more female participation in politics and governance.











“I believe that the leadership in the Senate is gender-friendly”.










“Power is not served A’lar carte, just as my husband, President Bola Tinubu said. You have to learn how to obtain power. You need older women to mentor you”.












“Education is the cornerstone of empowerment. By improving access to education for girls and women, we can equip them with the knowledge and skills necessary to participate effectively in political processes. Additionally, raising awareness about the importance of women’s representation in governance is crucial. Public campaigns, media engagement, and community programs can help shift societal attitudes and dismantle stereotypes that hinder women’s political participation”.














The Speaker of the ECOWAS Parliament who is also the first female to occupy the position, Rt Hon Hadija Memounatou Ibrahimah in her remarks urged the First Lady of Nigeria to serve as the champion of the course of better representation for women in governance in the region.













This she noted is especially so with the commendable contributions to the issues of women and girls.










“Your Excellency, you transmit a kind of light that illuminates the leadership of Nigeria. It touches the lives of even the ordinary man”.











“Women account for half of the population of ECOWAS member States. Only 17% are Parliamentarians and 24% are Ministers in the region. It is high time to reduce the under representation of women in democracy”.










The Senate President, Senator Godwill Akpabio who was represented by the Deputy Senate President Jibrin Barau stated that for the Senate, women participation in governance is a priority.












“We will redefine the power of women in governance”.










After the Session, the First Lady, Senator Oluremi Tinubu in a nostalgic move, visited the newly renovated hallowed Red Chamber. She commended the leadership of the senate.








The First Lady was a 3 term Senator representing Lagos Central Senatorial District till 2023.




Busola Kukoyi

SSA Media to the First Lady of the Federal Republic of Nigeria

22nd July,2024

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US Election: Democratic Party Listens To Primate Ayodele, Drops Joe Biden As Presidential Candidate



*US Election: Democratic Party Listens To Primate Ayodele, Drops Joe Biden As Presidential Candidate


The build-up to the presidential election in the United States of America took a different turn yesterday when Joe Biden announced his withdrawal from the presidential race which will be coming up in December.

His withdrawal comes after he has faced an obvious health challenge which made his last debate with opposition candidate, Donald Trump an embarrassment.

This announcement follows the advice that popular Nigerian prophet, Primate Elijah Ayodele gave to the democratic party regarding Joe Biden’s chances at the election. In a statement that went viral last week, Primate Ayodele advised the ruling party to drop Joe Biden as the presidential candidate because he would not be able to defeat Donald Trump.

These were his words:

’If the Democratic Party wants to win, Joe Biden must be dropped from the race. He should be replaced with either Kamala Harris or Josh Shapiro.

“These are the ones that can match Trump if not; Joe Biden’s candidacy will disappoint the Democratic Party.’’

US 2024: ‘Drop Biden, replace him with Kamala or Shapiro’ – Primate Ayodele to Democrats

Barely one week after his prophetic advice, Joe Biden has been dropped as presidential candidate while he also endorsed Kamala Harris as candidate, one of those Primate Ayodele suggested as likely candidates that can defeat Donald Trump.

It is worthy of note that the withdrawal of Joe Biden from the presidential race due to health challenges had been foretold by Primate Ayodele in January 2021 when Joe Biden was just newly sworn in.

In a statement that went viral, Primate Ayodele mentioned that Joe Biden’s second term was not certain and that he should pray fervently against health challenges.

These were his words:

“Joe Biden needs to pray concerning his health.I foresee troubles coming for him. Also, his second term ambition is not certain.”

Also, when some men of God in Nigeria gave prophecies that the ‘number 2 in US will become number 1’, making an impression that Joe Biden would resign or be removed from office as US President, Primate Ayodele spoke again and assured that Biden would finish his first term even though he will face health challenges but God will sustain him till the end.

These were his words:

‘’God will sustain him to finish well, his emergence is a fulfilment of God’s word. I want to urge him to rule with the fear of God. His first term will be faced with health challenges. He will complete his first term and perform well. No matter the health challenges, God will stabilize him,”

Joe Biden will face health challenges – Primate Ayodele

Joe Biden’s tenure will be coming to an end in about six months but it doesn’t appear he will resign or be removed from office as President. He won’t only be seeking re-election, knocking out other prophecies about his resignation and fulfilling the prophecy of Primate Elijah Ayodele.

It would also be recalled that Primate Ayodele foretold the emergence of Joe Biden as the President after giving several advises to the democratic party about the viability of his candidacy and chances at the election in 2020.

Primate Ayodele’s fulfilled prophecies on Joe Biden’s political career are not surprising or strange; he is known for his consistent prophetic warnings and revelations to presidents of nations that end up paying heavily for disobedience in a situation where they ignore the prophecy of this enigmatic man of God.

Several instances include the removal of Ali Bongo as president of Gabon in 2023 after the prophet warned him the previous year not to seek re-election because he would be removed from office. The prophet conspicuously revealed that Bongo’s time was up and all he had to do was to handover to someone else to avoid being removed from office. Unfortunately, Bongo refused the warnings of Primate Ayodele and was made to face a disgraceful removal.

‘’ Gabonese president, your time is up, I am seeing a crisis, if not coup d’etat, because of your health why not resign, why do you want to die on this seat? I am telling you what the Lord has said, your staying on the throne is killing you but because you are self-centered. This is enough warning for you, you are incapacitated but no one is telling you the truth. I am telling you to humble yourself, resign, and handover to someone who can do better so that you won’t cause a crisis in your country’’

Likewise, the president of Kenya, William Ruto was warned by Primate Ayodele before he started facing the unforeseen crisis of the ‘Gen Zs’ calling for his removal as President of Kenya. The prophet who foretold his surprising victory at the elections in 2022 warned him shortly after his election to be careful of policies that will make people rise up against him. He advised him not to be careful of his tax policies as it may cause an uprising against him but unfortunately, he failed to listen and as a result, he is currently facing a revolutionary uprising against his leadership in Kenya.

‘’Kenya: The country should pray not to see an assassination or removal of a governor. The country’s economic policy will be alarming. Ruto will come up with different policies to see that Kenya gets better but he won’t be appreciated. Oppositions will come out strongly against him. All the efforts of Ruto to make Kenya better will be faced with challenges.’’

The former prime minister of UK, Rishi Sunak is another global figure that failed to listen to Primate Ayodele’s prophecy and suffered unnecessarily for it. Before the election that saw his party lose its majority for the first time in decades, Primate Ayodele had said that Rishi Sunak’s time was up and that his party would not get enough seats to remain in power after the UK general election. He made it known that they will be disappointed basically because of the policies of the Prime Minister.

These were his words:

‘’Rishi’s time is up because his party will not make any headway. In the coming election, his party will face disappointment and will not get enough seats. Rishi’s policies will affect his party’s chances in the election, they will not have any headway in the coming election.’’

The unfortunate death of the vice president of Malawi, Saulos Chilima alongside other notable figures in the country in an ill-fated helicopter crash was also foretold by Primate Ayodele. The prophet, who also wrote a letter to the president, had said in a publication that there will be a national mourning in Malawi except the people can pray to avert it.

‘’Malawi: The president’s efforts will not be appreciated despite all his efforts to stabilise the economy. The opposition will frustrate his efforts and he will have compounded issues in his party. “The country’s currency will continue to depreciate and the country will have troubles from natural disasters. The president needs to pray for his good health and electricity will be challenging for them. Let them pray against calamity that will bring the country to mourn.”

Likewise, Primate Ayodele warned Nigerians as far back as 2022 not to vote for the All Progressive Congress (APC) in the 2023 presidential election as he foresaw that there will be too much hardship in the country if the party returns to power. In a viral video, the prophet analyzed all that would happen if APC remains in power and as he said, the current economic hardship in the country has never been seen before in just one year of President Tinubu’s government.

Asides the remarkable prophecies that have come to pass, there are several others that are still in the pipeline of getting fulfilled if those involved fail to listen.

The former president of Ghana, John Mahama has been warned severally by Primate Ayodele regarding his ambition to return to the seat of power. The man of God had said that Mahama has all it takes to be president of Ghana again but he hasn’t done the right thing. He stated that failure to do the right thing would make him lose the election to the Vice President, Mahamadu Bawumia who is also in the race.

Likewise, Primate Ayodele has advised the service chiefs of Nigeria that if they want to end insecurity in the country, they should build three strong towers for God. The country has been facing insecurity for several years and according to the prophet, the strong towers would lead to a complete stop of insecurity in the country but as we speak, the service chiefs are yet to do anything regarding the spiritual advice shared by Primate Ayodele.

For several others who have been warned by Primate Ayodele, it’s advisable that they listen and yield to his prophetic warnings so they won’t end up like Ali Bongo, Rishi Sunak, William Ruto, to mention but a few.

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