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Lagos State Guber Crown: One Crown, Many Heads, Who Wears The Crown In 2027?
By Prince Adeyemi Shonibare
THE CITY, THE CROWN, AND THE CODE OF POWER
Lagos is not merely governed—it is engineered and meticulously organised. A megacity of over 25 million people, the economic heartbeat of Nigeria, and arguably the most strategic sub- national political ecosystem in Africa.
As 2027 approaches, a familiar but profound question echoes across corridors of influence—from Alausa to Marina, from the five Ibile divisions to the 57 LGs and LCDAs, down to wards and grassroots structures:
Who wears the crown?
Yet Lagos does not answer loudly. It whispers.
“Elections may be public, but power in Lagos is negotiated in private and through caucuses—long before ballots are cast.”
HISTORY: FROM PRIMROSE TO JUSTICE FORUM AND MANDATE — THE MAKING OF A POLITICAL MACHINE
Before the consolidation of today’s political order, Lagos politics was shaped by structured caucuses that defined leadership selection.
At the elite level stood the Primrose Group, a discreet but powerful screening body that assessed aspirants in the early 90s and late 1990s. It played a critical role in screening Bola Ahmed Tinubu for the Senate against political heavyweight Odu Onikosi, in what many described as a David-versus-Goliath contest. Tinubu emerged victorious.
Primrose also screened the 1998 governorship aspirants:
Bola Ahmed Tinubu
Wahab Dosunmu
Funsho Williams
The Primrose circle included:
Prince Tajudeen Olusi
Bushura Alebiosu
Mofutau Olatunji Hamzat
Alhaji Kola Oseni
Dapo Sarumi
Oyinlomo Danmole (the youngest member)
Notably, Mofutau Olatunji Hamzat, father of Kadri Obafemi Hamzat, chaired the screening process that produced Tinubu as the 1998 AD governorship candidate.
Alongside Primrose emerged two other critical blocs:
Mandate Group — the grassroots mobilisation engine
Justice Forum — the stabilising and conflict-resolution bloc
Together, they formed a strategic architecture:
Primrose — elite validation
Mandate Group — mass mobilisation
Justice Forum — internal balance and cohesion
From this convergence, Tinubu emerged—not by accident, but by design.
“He was not elected into power—he was processed into leadership.”
FROM BLOCS TO INSTITUTION: THE GAC EVOLUTION
Over time, these blocs evolved into a more formal structure—the Governor’s Advisory Council (GAC).
President Bola Ahmed Tinubu did not create the GAC; he strengthened, harmonised, and institutionalised these legacy blocs into a central decision-making body.
“GAC is the institutional memory of Lagos politics.”
THE DOCTRINE OF SUCCESSION IN LAGOS
Lagos has developed a predictable pattern of leadership transition:
Babatunde Fashola — technocratic consolidation
Akinwunmi Ambode — performance with political rupture
Babajide Sanwo-Olu — consensus restoration
Each transition reinforces a central doctrine:
“The primary is the battlefield. The structure is the judge. Consensus is the verdict.”
And more fundamentally:
“The candidate will always come from within.”
THE INVISIBLE CABINET: GAC AS POWER SOVEREIGN
At the centre of Lagos political architecture sits the Governor’s Advisory Council (GAC)—a body that does far more than advice.
Chairman:
Prince Tajudeen Olusi
Key Members Include:
Babatunde Fashola
Femi Gbajabiamila
Mudashiru Obasa
Adeyemi Ikuforiji
Senator Anthony Adefuye
Tokunbo Abiru,
Musiliu Obanikoro
Oluremi Tinubu
Sarah Sosan
Idiat Adebule
Femi Pedro
James Faleke
Adeseye Ogunlewe
Demola Seriki
Adejoke Adefulire
Kadri Obafemi Hamzat.
Other Influential Figures Within the Structure:
Henry Ajomale
Ganiyu Solomon
Rabiu Oluwa
Muraina Taiwo
Abdul-Wahab Ogundele
Sunmi Odesanya
Kaoli Olusanya.
In addition, almost all former governors, deputy governors, senators, and selected members of the House of Representatives and Primrose, mandate Group and justice forum are embedded within or aligned to the GAC structure.
“At critical moments, the GAC does not merely advise—it decides.”
CRACKS, CONFLICTS AND SYSTEM DISCIPLINE
The political history of Lagos has consistently demonstrated one principle: discipline within the system is non-negotiable.
The experience of Akinwunmi Ambode remains instructive.
“Performance alone is not enough—alignment with the structure is critical.”
In Lagos:
“No individual is bigger than the system.”
THE ASPIRANTS: POWER, PEDIGREE AND POSITIONING
The 2027 governorship race is no longer speculative—it is crystallising into a layered contest of insiders, technocrats, institutional loyalists, and strategic actors. Beneath the surface, resumes are being weighed as much as relationships; pedigree is being measured alongside perception.
Key Aspirants Include:
Kadri Obafemi Hamzat — Deputy Governor; perhaps the most deeply embedded institutional actor in the race. A technocrat with academic depth and governance continuity credentials. Notably headhunted from the United States banking sector by Bola Ahmed Tinubu, his return to public service reflects longstanding trust. His father, Mofutau Olatunji Hamzat, chaired the screening process that produced Tinubu in 1998—placing him at the intersection of legacy and continuity.
Femi Gbajabiamila — Chief of Staff to the President; former Speaker of the House of Representatives. A consummate legislator with vast national reach, elite networks, and deep understanding of federal power dynamics. Bridges Lagos structure with Abuja influence seamlessly.
Tokunbo Abiru — Senator; former Managing Director in the banking sector. Represents fiscal discipline, financial system credibility, and investor reassurance. A technocrat-politician hybrid with strong appeal to the private sector and global investors.
Tokunbo Wahab — Commissioner for Environment. A bold regulator and reformist voice, known for enforcing urban order and environmental compliance. Projects decisiveness, discipline, and administrative courage.
Mudashiru Obasa — Long-serving Speaker of the Lagos State House of Assembly. A master of grassroots politics with deep control of legislative structures and ward-level mobilisation. Represents structure from the ground up.
Olajide Adediran (Jandor) — Media entrepreneur and political mobiliser. Built his base through grassroots engagement and alternative political messaging. Represents outsider energy attempting to penetrate a deeply structured system.
Akinwunmi Ambode — Former governor; technocrat with a proven governance record. His tenure still resonates in infrastructure and public sector efficiency. Carries a redemption narrative, but must reconcile history with structure.
Mojisola Lasbat Meranda — Legislative figure and symbol of gender inclusion. Represents institutional evolution and the expanding role of women in Lagos power architecture.
Kayode Egbetokun (speculative) — Security chief; represents discipline, order, and enforcement capability. A potential “stability candidate” in uncertain times.
Samuel Ajose (speculative) — Former Head of Service; experienced bureaucratic strategist with deep knowledge of Lagos governance machinery. Represents administrative continuity and institutional memory.
Tayo Ayinde (speculative) — Long-serving Chief of Staff in Lagos; a quiet but powerful insider with proximity to executive decision-making and operational governance.
“Some are building alliances. Others are building acceptance. A few are building inevitability.”
THE REAL TEST: CRITERIA FOR THE APC TICKET
Beyond ambition, the Lagos APC operates a strict, unwritten checklist for candidate selection:
Proven Loyalty to the Party
A party defector stands little chance.
Product of the System
The candidate must come from within.
Alignment with the Lagos Master Plan
Continuity over disruption.
Investor Confidence
Lagos cannot risk economic instability.
Political Discipline and Temperament
Arrogance and lawlessness are disqualifiers.
Ibile Balance and Broad Acceptability
Zonal sensitivity remains critical.
Ability to Work with the Structure
Collaboration over confrontation.
Presidential Trust Factor
National confidence is key—but not absolute.
Electoral Value and Grassroots Reach
Structure must meet the street.
Importantly, this will not be a solo decision.
A former, widely respected governor and former minister is expected to play a critical role as the eyes and ears of the President in determining the most suitable candidate.
A reliable source revealed that the President held a private meeting with this former governor and minister in Lagos during the Easter break—signaling early alignment consultations ahead of 2027.
UNDERCURRENTS: SILENT MOVES AND STRATEGIC HEDGING
Quiet political movements are already unfolding beneath the surface.
There are strong rumours that:
One top aspirant is in talks with the ADC to fly their fly.
Another is exploring alignment with the Accord Party.
“Those who sense resistance within the structure begin to shop for alternatives.”
Beyond party alignments, another layer of activity is emerging.
It is widely whispered in political circles that:
Some bank accounts of PR operatives, journalists, and lobbyists have begun to quietly interface with key GAC members.
Certain aspirants are already patronising columnists to shape favourable narratives.
Billions of naira have allegedly been earmarked for lobbying, influence, and perception management.
A reliable source suggests that the real contest has already begun—not on the ballot, but in boardrooms, private residences, and media corridors and newsrooms.
Yet history cautions:
“Breaking away from the Lagos APC structure rarely guarantees victory.”
THE CALCULUS OF POWER
Five decisive variables will ultimately determine the outcome:
GAC consensus
Presidential trust (shared, not unilateral)
Party loyalty
Economic confidence
Public acceptability
Notably, the private sector remains a critical stakeholder. Lagos, as Africa’s commercial nerve centre, cannot afford political uncertainty that threatens capital flow. Investors—local and international—are watching closely.
The international community is equally attentive. Lagos is no ordinary state—it is a golden economic enclave, a city of compounding value and strategic global interest.
The Presidency too cannot be indifferent—notwithstanding that Lagos is its political base. Stability in Lagos is stability in the broader national equation.
THE CROWN AND THE SYSTEM
Lagos does not gamble with leadership,it engineers and groomed it.
No emergency leader in Lagos.
From Primrose…
To Mandate…
To Justice Forum…
To GAC…
The philosophy remains unchanged:
“Power in Lagos is not taken. It is processed.”
As 2027 approaches, one truth stands firm:
The crown will not go to the loudest.
It will not go to the most desperate.
It will not go to ambition alone.
It will go to the most acceptable aspirant.
And in Lagos:
“Acceptability is not declared,it is decided by all the variables and joint gatekeepers before the general public cast their votes.”
Politics, in the end, remains a temple of many tendencies—
the good, the bad, the pretenders, and the presumed righteous.
All contending for one crown.
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Alleged $1.5m Fraud: Court Dismisses Preliminary Objections, Bail Application of Intermediate Investment Holdings Boss, Ufoma Joseph Immanuel in Lagos
Justice Mojisola Dada of the Special Offences Court sitting in Ikeja, Lagos, on Thursday, May 7, 2026, dismissed the preliminary objections and bail application filed by the boss of Intermediate Investment Holdings Limited, Ufoma Joseph Immanuel, over an alleged $1.5 million fraud.
The Economic and Financial Crimes Commission, EFCC, on Wednesday, March 11, 2026, arraigned Immanuel, alongside his company, Intermediate Investment Holdings Ltd., on a two-count charge bordering on obtaining by false pretence and forgery to the tune of $1.5m.
Count one reads: “UFOMA JOSEPH IMMANUEL and INTERMEDIATE INVESTMENT HOLDINGS LIMITED between April 2022 and October 2023 in Lagos, within the jurisdiction of this Honourable Court, with intent to defraud, induced Adebisi Adebut of R28 Holdings Limited to deposit the total sum of S1, 500, 000.00 (One Million, five Hundred Thousand United States Dollars USD) as investment described as to wit: “Cash and or Capital Cost in Chappal Petroleum Development Company Limited; Business Development Cost in Intermediate Investment Holdings Limited: Capital and or Capital Call in Chappal Energies Mauritius Limited” on the understanding that R28 Holdings Limited will be; (a) reimbursed the investment amount (b) paid a Development Capital fee of $2 250,000.00. (Two Million, Two Hundred and Fifty Thousand Dollars) (c) 22.4% worth of shares in Intermediate Investment Holdings Limited which representation you knew to be false.”
Count two reads: “UFOMA JOSEPH IMMANUEL, sometime between April 2022 and April 2025 in Lagos, within the jurisdiction of this Honourable Court, with intent to defraud, forged a document to wit: TERM SHEET and purporting same to have been executed by Sherrif Oluwo and Olaniran Osotuyi in order to facilitate your obtaining money by inducement from Adebisi Adebutu of R28 Holdings Limited.”
The defendant pleaded “not guilty” to the charge preferred against him.
Following the defendant’s “not guilty” plea, the prosecution counsel, Babatunde Sonoiki, asked the court to fix a date for the commencement of trial and also prayed the court to remand the defendant in the custody of the International Criminal Police Organization, INTERPOL, pending the conclusion of its investigation.
Sonoiki also narrated how the defence counsel, Oluseun Awonuga, SAN, had physically assaulted his colleague, Emenike Mgbemele, at the sitting on March 2, 2026.
According to him, “My lord, the learned silk, physically assaulted my colleague on the staircase on his way to serve the defendant the charge as directed by the court.
“There is a video to that effect and we intend to tender it before the court.”
Though Awonuga did not respond to the allegation made against him by the prosecution counsel, he informed the court of a preliminary objection and a written address dated January 5, 2026, while urging the court to discountenance the counter-affidavit of the prosecution.
The prosecution, in a 21-paragraph counter-affidavit dated February 9, 2026, had urged the court to dismiss the notice of preliminary objections.
According to Awonuga, the Federal High Court, in a ruling, had ordered the EFCC not to arrest the defendant.
“EFCC has flouted the order by arresting the defendant and I hereby urge your lordship to discountenance their counter- affidavit,” he said.
Responding, the prosecution counsel, Babatunde Sonoiki, said that the ruling was part of the motion that had earlier been withdrawn by the defence and should not be before the court.
“ There is nowhere in the ruling that says the defendants cannot be arraigned in a court of competent jurisdiction.
“My lord, the ruling was delivered in a civil case; and according to the Supreme Court, a criminal case and civil case can go on at the same time.
“We urge the court to dismiss the application and order accelerated hearing in this case,” Sonoiki had said.
After listening to both parties, Justice Dada had, consequently, adjourned the case till May 7, 2026 ( today) for ruling.
Ruling on the application , Justice Dada held that: “The preliminary objection is baseless and the entire application is lacking in merit; and it is hereby dismissed.”
Also, Justice Dada, in her ruling on the bail application of the defendant, held that “On the basis of considering the antecedent of the defendant for not honouring the invitation of the applicant after he was granted administrative bail, I agree with the complainant that he is a flight risk; therefore, bail is refused.”
Justice Dada adjourned the case till June 24, 26, 29 and 30, 2026 for the commencement of trial.
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Ogun Central APC Race: ‘I Remain in the Contest’ — Sofela Declares Amid Consensus Speculation
By Solanke Ayomideji Taiwo
ABEOKUTA — A frontline aspirant for the Ogun Central Senatorial seat under the platform of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Emmanuel Adebola Sofela, popularly known as Shoffi, has dismissed widespread speculations that he has withdrawn from the race in favour of another aspirant .
Sofela described the reports making rounds in some political circles as “false, misleading and the handiwork of political detractors,” insisting that he remains fully committed to his ambition of representing Ogun Central Senatorial District at the National Assembly.
In a statement made available to journalists on Friday, the APC stalwart urged his supporters, political associates and loyalists across the six local government areas that make up Ogun Central to disregard the rumours and remain resolute in their support for his aspiration.
According to him, there has never been any agreement or arrangement for him to step down for any aspirant to emerge as a consensus candidate of the party.
“I want to categorically state that I have not stepped down for anyone in the Ogun Central Senatorial race. The rumours flying around are entirely false and should be ignored by all my supporters and members of the public,” he said.
Sofela expressed confidence in his chances of securing the APC ticket, stressing that his popularity, political experience and grassroots connection across the district place him in a strong position ahead of the party primaries.
The senatorial hopeful reiterated his determination to provide quality representation for the people of Abeokuta South, Abeokuta North, Odeda, Obafemi-Owode, Ifo and Ewekoro local government areas if elected into the Senate in 2027.
He noted that his aspiration is driven by a genuine desire to contribute meaningfully to the development of Ogun Central through effective legislation, empowerment programmes and people-oriented policies.
“My ambition is rooted in service to the people. I remain committed to the vision of giving Ogun Central a strong voice in the Senate and facilitating developmental initiatives that will positively impact our people,” Sofela added.
The APC chieftain further appealed to party members to remain united and avoid distractions capable of causing division within the party structure ahead of future political activities.
Political observers in the state believe the race for Ogun Central Senatorial seat is gradually gathering momentum as aspirants continue consultations and grassroots mobilization across the district ahead of the 2027 election cycle.
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Emmanuel Adebola Sofela: The Grassroots Mobiliser Emerging as Ogun Central’s Beacon of Hope
By Solanke Ayomideji Taiwo
As political activities gradually gather momentum ahead of the next electoral cycle in Ogun State, conversations across the six local government areas that make up the Ogun Central Senatorial District are increasingly revolving around one name — Emmanuel Adebola Sofela.
From Abeokuta South to Abeokuta North, Odeda, Obafemi-Owode, Ifo and Ewekoro, party leaders, stakeholders and grassroots mobilisers within the All Progressives Congress have continued to speak glowingly about the philanthropist and political figure whose growing popularity is being linked to years of humanitarian service, youth empowerment and unwavering accessibility to ordinary citizens.
During a recent round of consultations and visits to leaders of the APC across the district, testimonies about Sofela’s contributions to humanity dominated discussions, as party faithful described him as “a bridge builder,” “a dependable grassroots politician,” and “the transformation agent Ogun Central desperately needs.”
According to several party elders and community leaders, Sofela’s antecedents in empowering youths and supporting less privileged individuals have set him apart from others jostling for the senatorial ticket under the APC platform.
Many of the leaders recalled numerous instances where students from financially disadvantaged homes benefited from educational grants and scholarship support facilitated by Sofela, while unemployed youths across communities were assisted with vocational opportunities and startup support to improve their livelihoods.
A party leader in Abeokuta North, who spoke during the consultation meeting, noted that Sofela’s style of politics differs significantly from what many residents have become accustomed to over the years.
“Politics should be about service, accessibility and genuine concern for the people. Emmanuel Adebola Sofela has consistently demonstrated these qualities long before seeking public office. He is always reachable and willing to help,” the leader stated.
Similar sentiments echoed across Odeda and Obafemi-Owode, where stakeholders praised his commitment to grassroots development and his consistent engagement with party members at all levels.
In Ifo and Ewekoro, community representatives described him as a leader with intellectual depth, administrative capacity and a clear understanding of the developmental needs of Ogun Central.
One of the speakers at the gathering remarked that Sofela possesses “an intellectual confidence beyond comprehension,” adding that his ability to engage on issues of governance, empowerment and policy distinguishes him from many contemporary politicians.
Observers within the APC believe that Sofela’s growing acceptance among party leaders and ordinary residents is largely connected to his long-standing relationship with the grassroots and his reputation for extending financial support to widows, artisans, market women and struggling families within and outside Ogun State.
Political analysts also argue that his emergence could reshape representation within Ogun Central, especially at a time when many constituents are demanding more responsive and people-oriented leadership.
For many party loyalists, the recurring theme during the consultations was clear: the desire for a representative who understands the pains of the people and possesses both the compassion and competence to drive meaningful change.
As internal consultations continue within the APC ahead of future political contests, supporters of Emmanuel Adebola Sofela insist that his track record of empowerment, accessibility and community engagement positions him as a strong contender capable of redefining representation in Ogun Central Senatorial District.
He is working hard to ensure the growing endorsements from party leaders across the district eventually translate into political victory in emerging as the APC candidate for ogun central senatorial district .one things that is increasingly evident — Emmanuel Adebola Sofela has become a prominent voice in the evolving political conversation shaping the future of Ogun Central.
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