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Nigeria at the Crossroads: Structural Gains Amid Human Cost under Tinubu‑APC

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Nigeria at the Crossroads: Structural Gains Amid Human Cost under Tinubu‑APC. By George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by SaharaWeeklyNG.com

Nigeria at the Crossroads: Structural Gains Amid Human Cost under Tinubu‑APC.

By George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by SaharaWeeklyNG.com

Where Nigeria is Working?
1. Economic Reforms and Fiscal Discipline
One of Tinubu’s first executive actions was removing the costly fuel subsidy; a move praised by global institutions like the IMF and World Bank. The naira, previously shackled by multiple exchange rates, has now been floated, which has narrowed the black market gap and increased forex liquidity.

According to the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), this move saved the country over ₦3.6 trillion within the first year. The fiscal deficit dropped from 5.4% of GDP in 2023 to 3.0% in 2024. Oil production, long battered by theft and militancy, rebounded from 1.1 million barrels per day to over 1.5 million bpd by mid-2025.

Moreover, Nigeria recently signed a $1 billion agriculture investment pact with Brazil aimed at mechanising farms, boosting exports and transforming rural economies. If implemented fully, this could shift the nation from subsistence farming to agribusiness.

“For the first time in decades, we have a president willing to take the hard path,” noted Professor Akpan Henshaw, economist at the University of Uyo. “But reform without shock absorbers is cruelty disguised as policy.”

2. Central Bank Independence and Monetary Realignment
Gone are the days of reckless monetary policy under Godwin Emefiele. Tinubu’s administration has begun restoring credibility to the CBN. Interest rates were hiked to counter inflation and excessive monetary financing of deficits has ceased. These moves have improved investor confidence, with the Nigerian Stock Exchange becoming one of the best-performing in Africa in 2024.

Also, the naira has stabilized somewhat and foreign direct investment is trickling in again, particularly in fintech and agritech.

3. Social Safety Initiatives
Despite public perception, the administration has rolled out several targeted interventions:

₦35,000 wage award to federal workers for 6 months

₦25,000 monthly cash transfers to 15 million vulnerable households

₦75 billion investment fund for manufacturing businesses

CNG-powered vehicle rollout and energy transition projects

However, most of these efforts are limited in scope and lack structural depth. The World Bank noted in March 2025 that “more than half of the interventions remain urban-based, leaving rural populations behind.”

Where Nigeria is Failing?
1. Soaring Cost of Living and Rising Poverty
While macroeconomic indicators may be improving, the average Nigerian is sliding deeper into despair. Inflation hovers at 24%, food inflation at 40%. A 50kg bag of rice now sells for over ₦80,000. Petrol costs have tripled. Transportation, rent and school fees are choking middle and lower-income earners.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), over 129 million Nigerians now live below the poverty line; nearly 56% of the population.

“We are stabilizing the economy while destabilizing human lives,” said Dr. Olufemi Ogunlade, a policy analyst at the Lagos Business School. “There is no social justice in a reform that creates more beggars.”

2. Wage Crisis and Labour Discontent
The Nigerian Labour Congress (NLC) and Trade Union Congress (TUC) shut down the country for two weeks in mid-2024, demanding a ₦250,000 minimum wage. The federal government responded with ₦70,000, citing fiscal constraints.

While better than the old ₦30,000 wage, it’s still a far cry from reality. Workers have not recovered from the triple inflation shocks of subsidy removal, naira float and increased taxation.

“How can one survive on ₦70,000 when a bag of rice is ₦80,000?” asked a public school teacher in Osun State. “This is slavery dressed as salary.”

3. Insecurity and Governance Paralysis
Despite the militarized rhetoric, insecurity continues to rage. From Zamfara to Borno, from the Middle Belt to the South-East, banditry, terrorism and kidnapping for ransom remain unchecked.

A tragic drone strike in Tudun Biri, Kaduna State, killed dozens of civilians; an incident that mirrored the operational chaos in Nigeria’s military structure.

Former Kaduna Governor Nasir El-Rufai recently declared:

“Insecurity has increased, the economy is dwindling (Whoever he is giving an appointment to must be someone he knows or from his tribe) this is sheer injustice and nepotism.”

The South-East remains heavily militarized, yet under-policed in terms of community trust. The North-East continues to bleed despite massive security budgets.

4. Cronyism, Corruption and Luxury Spending
As citizens tighten belts, public officials loosen theirs. President Tinubu approved:

₦21 billion to renovate the Vice President’s residence

₦5 billion for SUVs for lawmakers

₦15 billion for a presidential yacht

₦39 billion for a new presidential conference centre

These numbers insult the intelligence of suffering Nigerians.

“How can President Tinubu justify allocating ₦21 billion to renovate the Vice President’s residence when federal universities are struggling?” asked Comrade Ayo Olorunfemi of the Academic Staff Union of Universities (ASUU).

The Lagos-Calabar coastal highway project, a ₦15 trillion mega-contract awarded without competitive bidding, has raised alarm bells across civil society, who question both its timing and transparency.

5. Debt, Deficit and Dissonance
Public debt has ballooned from ₦49 trillion in 2023 to over ₦114 trillion by Q2 2025. Servicing debt now consumes over 70% of government revenue.

Despite this, the Tinubu administration continues borrowing, claiming it needs funds for reforms. The IMF has warned Nigeria about its “unsustainable debt trajectory” and urged the country to broaden its tax base; though tax hikes without value-for-money only breed rebellion.

Recommendations
If the Tinubu administration seeks to transform “Renewed Hope” into real human development, it must:

Expand and institutionalize social protection: Build a national welfare system that protects the poor during economic transitions.

Raise wages: Peg minimum wage to inflation and cost of living.

End wasteful spending: Cancel luxury procurements and redirect funds to healthcare, education, and food security.

Tackle insecurity systemically: Reform the military, invest in local policing and deploy intelligence not brute force.

Enforce meritocracy: Appoint based on competence not nepotism. Nigeria is not a private estate.

Final Reflection
President Tinubu’s economic agenda is bold. His willingness to take hard decisions shows resolve. What use is reform when it’s felt only in spreadsheets not stomachs?

Nigeria may be fiscally afloat, but morally adrift. It’s a nation stabilizing its books while destabilizing its people. A country where GDP growth headlines mask graveyard silences in villages wiped out by bandits. Where billions are spent on buildings while babies die from hunger.

If Tinubu wants to be remembered as a true reformer, not just a technocratic gambler, he must pivot from elite economics to human development. Otherwise, the question Nigerians will ask in 2027 won’t be about inflation or forex; it’ll be simple:

“Did my life get better under Tinubu?”

Right now, for too many, the answer is a heartbreaking NO.

Nigeria at the Crossroads: Structural Gains Amid Human Cost under Tinubu‑APC.
By George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by SaharaWeeklyNG.com

Written by George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by SaharaWeeklyNG.com

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Police Repel Coordinated Kidnap Attack In Sokoto, Launch Manhunt

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Police Repel Coordinated Kidnap Attack In Sokoto, Launch Manhunt

 

Security operatives in Sokoto State have foiled a coordinated kidnapping attempt by armed bandits targeting two communities, killing one suspect and launching a manhunt for others who escaped with injuries.

 

According to a statement by the Police Public Relations Officer of the command, Ahmad Rufa’i, the operation was carried out in the early hours of Thursday following a distress call received at about 12:30 a.m. reporting simultaneous attacks on Illela Village, also known as Achida Town, and Kwargaba Hamlet.

 

“The Anti-Kidnapping Unit, in collaboration with other tactical teams, responded swiftly to the distress call,” he said. “Our operatives, who were already on high alert, engaged the bandits in a fierce gun duel and successfully repelled the attack.”

 

Rufa’i disclosed that the security forces overpowered the assailants after a prolonged exchange of gunfire, neutralising one suspect who was dressed in military camouflage, while others fled with gunshot wounds into the nearby Gundumi Forest.

 

“An intensive manhunt is ongoing to track down the fleeing suspects who escaped into the forest with varying degrees of injuries,” he added.

 

However, before the arrival of security personnel, the bandits reportedly shot and killed a member of the Kwargaba community vigilante group. His body has since been recovered and released to his family for burial.

 

The police spokesperson urged residents to remain vigilant and report any suspicious movements or individuals to the nearest security agency, assuring that efforts are being intensified to ensure the safety of lives and property across the state.

 

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The Kendrick Brothers, Cameron Arnett, Kingdom Story Company, Bright Wonder Obasi Train 60 Christian Filmmakers in Nigeria

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 The Kendrick Brothers, Cameron Arnett, Kingdom Story Company, Bright Wonder Obasi Train 60 Christian Filmmakers in Nigeria

 

 

Abuja, Nigeria – April 23, 2026

Successful actors, producers and movie makers like; the Kendrick Brothers, Cameron Arnett, Kingdom Story Company, Bright Wonder Obasi were among the facilitators who trained 60 Christian Filmmakers in Nigeria at the just concluded Africa Gospel Film Project (AGFP) 2026.

 

The groundbreaking 6-day Intensive Filmmaking Masterclass and Spiritual Formation Program, were 60 emerging Christian filmmakers from Nigeria and Zambia were trained in Abuja was held at the Gospel Cinema International /High Definition Film Academy (HDFA) Facility in Gwarinpa.

 

The program brought together a distinguished lineup of facilitators from Nigeria and the United States, positioning AGFP as a leading platform for faith-based filmmaking development in Africa.

 

Among the international facilitators was Stephen Kendrick of the Kendrick Brothers, known for films such as The Forge, War Room, Facing the Giants, and Courageous, Overcomer, Fireproof, who delivered a powerful session titled “Heart of The Filmmaker.” Also featured was Cameron Arnett, who led sessions on “Christ Over Career” and acting for film.

 

Other notable speakers included Nick Carey (Kingdom Story Company), who spoke on “The Making of a Faith-Based Blockbuster Movie,” as well as Bob Saenz (Screenwriting Masterclass), Beverly Holloway (Acting Masterclass), David Cook, Adam Drake, Prince Daniel (Aboki), Lummie Adevbie, Chris Odeh, and Jennifer Keltner (Identity & Storytelling), among others.

 

The program opened with a strong spiritual foundation, including worship and a keynote by the Convener, Bright Wonder Obasi, titled “Calling & Identity: Film as Spiritual Influence/Programming,” which challenged participants to view storytelling as a tool for cultural and spiritual transformation.

 

Participants were grouped into four production studios—House of Gideon, House of Caleb, House of Joshua, and House of David—and underwent three days of intensive masterclasses and workshops across screenwriting, directing, cinematography, acting, editing, and producing, alongside deep spiritual formation.

 

On Day 4, teams developed and pitched short film concepts for professional review and approval. Day 5 was dedicated to full-scale production, with all four teams executing their projects under real industry conditions.

 

The program culminated on Day 6 with:

A Pitch-A-Thon, where 20 filmmakers presented original projects for funding and collaboration.

 

A public screening of four short films produced during the program

Professional feedback from a panel of judges.

 

Certification of all participants

 

Awards for best Screenplay, Cinematography, directing, editing, acting, and overall best short film.

 

The closing ceremony featured a powerful commissioning session led by Pastor Ikenna Okeke, where participants were prayed for and consecrated as “God’s Creative Army.”

 

Speaking after the event, the Convener, Bright Wonder Obasi, described AGFP 2026 as “a movement to raise storytellers who will shape culture and influence nations through truth-driven films.

 

Films that honor God”

With its successful debut, AGFP is now preparing for its next edition, following its mandate to train 300 Christian filmmakers across Africa and develop a slate of six global faith-based films over a three-year period.

The Africa Gospel Film Project continues to position itself as a catalyst for purpose-driven storytelling, industry excellence, and spiritual transformation in African cinema.

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A Renewed Momentum: How the Chief of Army Staff is Repositioning the Nigerian Army for Decisive Impact

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*A Renewed Momentum: How the Chief of Army Staff is Repositioning the Nigerian Army for Decisive Impact*

By Comrade Oladimeji Odeyemi.

 

 

In times of prolonged security challenges, it is easy—almost convenient—for critics to amplify setbacks while ignoring measurable progress. Yet, across Nigeria’s diverse and complex theatres of operation, a different story is steadily unfolding: one of resilience, tactical evolution, and renewed operational effectiveness under the leadership of the Chief of Army Staff, (COAS, Nigerian Army), Lt General Waidi Shaibu.

 

What we are witnessing today is not a media hype or propaganda—it is the outcome of deliberate reforms, improved coordination, and a reinvigorated fighting spirit within the Nigerian Army.

 

*A Clear Shift in Operational Effectiveness*

 

Recent developments across, but not limited to Benue, Plateau, Borno, Yobe, Sokoto, Zamfara, Kogi, Kwara, Edo, and the South-East underscore a critical truth: the Nigerian Army under General Waidi Shaibu is not on the back foot. On the contrary, it is increasingly proactive, intelligence-driven, and responsive.

 

From the successful rescue of kidnapped civilians in Benue, to the interception of armed militias in Plateau, and the neutralisation of insurgents in Borno, the pattern is consistent—swift response, precision engagement, and tangible outcomes.

 

These are not isolated victories. They reflect:

 

– Improved intelligence gathering and utilisation.

 

– Faster troop deployment and mobility.

 

– Enhanced inter-agency collaboration.

 

– Better morale and combat readiness among personnel.

 

Such coordination, especially in asymmetric warfare, does not happen by chance. It is a direct reflection of leadership at the top.

 

*The Chief of Army Staff: Lt General Waidi Shaibu Driving Reform and Results*

 

Since assuming office, the Chief of Army Staff, Lt General Waidi Shaibu has brought a renewed sense of urgency and clarity of purpose to military operations. His leadership style appears anchored on three critical pillars:

 

*1. Operational Aggression with Discipline*

 

Troops are no longer merely reacting—they are taking the fight to criminal elements. Whether dismantling terrorist camps in the North Central states or repelling coordinated attacks in the North-East, or engaging the Unknown Gunmen in the SouthEast, the Nigerian Army is demonstrating initiative and dominance.

 

*2. Intelligence-Led Warfare*

 

Modern conflicts are won as much with information as with firepower. The increasing success in intercepting logistics suppliers, uncovering IEDs, and preempting attacks shows a system that is becoming smarter, not just stronger.

 

*3. Joint Force Synergy*

 

The collaboration between the Army, Air Force, Navy, Police, DSS, and local security groups has significantly improved. Operations in the South Eastern part of the Country and other regions highlight a unified national security architecture—something that has long been advocated but is now visibly taking shape.

 

*Addressing the Culture of Criticism*

 

It must be said plainly: criticism is not inherently wrong in a democracy. However, what is deeply problematic is the pattern of uninformed, selective outrage that ignores context, dismisses progress, and undermines morale.

 

Those who hastily label every security incident as evidence of failure often:

 

– Ignore the complexity of asymmetric warfare.

 

– Overlook the sacrifices of frontline personnel.

 

– Fail to acknowledge the vast geographical and logistical challenges involved.

 

Worse still, some narratives are built on speculation, ethnic bias, or incomplete information—such as prematurely attributing crimes to specific groups without verification.

 

This does not help the nation. It weakens it.

 

*The Reality of the Battlefield*

 

Nigeria is not facing a conventional war. The threats are:

 

– Decentralised.

 

– Embedded within local communities.

 

– Adaptive and unpredictable.

 

From insurgents and bandits to kidnappers and economic saboteurs, the battlefield is fluid. Success, therefore, must be measured not by the absence of incidents, but by the capacity to respond, contain, and degrade threats over time.

 

By this standard, the Nigerian Army is making undeniable progress.

 

*The Human Element: Courage and Sacrifice*

 

Behind every operation report is a human story—soldiers who leave their families behind, who endure harsh terrains, who confront danger daily so that millions of Nigerians can live in relative safety.

 

Some pay the ultimate price.

 

To reduce their efforts to mere statistics or dismiss them outright is not just unfair—it is unjust.

 

*A Call for National Support*

 

The progress being recorded today must be sustained, and that requires more than military effort. It demands:

 

– Public cooperation with security agencies.

 

– Responsible media reporting.

 

– Community vigilance against criminal infiltration

 

– Constructive, informed criticism where necessary.

 

Most importantly, it requires national unity in purpose.

 

*Conclusion: A Force Worthy of Confidence*

 

The Nigerian Army, under the leadership of the Chief of Army Staff, Lt General Waidi Shaibu is demonstrating that with the right direction, commitment, and strategy, meaningful progress is possible—even in the face of complex security challenges.

 

The gains may not always make screaming headlines, but they are real. They are measurable. And they are building momentum.

 

Rather than constant condemnation, what the Armed Forces deserve at this critical time is recognition, encouragement, and unwavering support.

 

Because beyond the noise of criticism lies a simple truth:

these men and women are standing between order and chaos—and they are holding the line.

 

This article was written by Comrade Oladimeji Odeyemi, an entrepreneur and an opinion moulder from Ibadan, Oyo State.

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