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Nigerian Economy Reacts to Federal Government’s 2025 Budget Increase

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Nigerian Economy Reacts to Federal Government’s 2025 Budget Increase

By Femi Oyewale

 

LAGOS, Nigeria – A wave of reactions has trailed the decision of the Federal Government to increase the 2025 Appropriation Bill from N49.7 trillion to N54.2 trillion, citing additional revenue generated by key government agencies.

On Wednesday, President Bola Tinubu’s letters to the Senate and House of Representatives, detailing adjustments in the yet-to-be-passed budget, were read on the floors of both chambers. Senate President Godswill Akpabio referred the President’s request to the Senate Committee on Appropriations for urgent consideration, assuring that the budget would be passed before the end of February.

 

Tinubu originally presented a N49.7 trillion budget proposal, themed ‘Budget of Restoration: Securing Peace, Rebuilding Prosperity,’ to the National Assembly in November. The budget is underpinned by projected total revenue of N36.35 trillion, driven by improved non-oil revenue collection, expanded tax enforcement, customs duties, and independent revenues from government-owned enterprises. Oil revenue projections are based on a crude oil benchmark of $75 per barrel, a production target of 2.06 million barrels per day, and an exchange rate of N1,500 per USD.

 

The budget includes significant allocations to critical sectors and aims to maintain a fiscal deficit of N13.39 trillion (3.96 per cent of GDP), which will be financed through domestic and external borrowings as well as innovative public-private partnership arrangements.

Breakdown of Additional Revenue

The budget increment follows the realization of additional revenue from key government agencies: N1.4 trillion from the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS), N1.2 trillion from the Nigeria Customs Service, and N1.8 trillion from other government agencies. The government emphasized that the extra funds would be directed toward strengthening key economic institutions, particularly the Bank of Agriculture and the Bank of Industry. Investments will also be channeled into the solid minerals sector and infrastructure projects to further support economic diversification.

Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, Atiku Bagudu, stated that the adjustment was made after extensive engagements between the executive arm and the National Assembly. “The Senate Committee on Appropriation, Senate Committee on National Planning, and Senate Committee on Finance established that we could generate more revenue by tasking all institutions to increase their contributions,” Bagudu explained.

Mixed Reactions from Economic Experts

Economists and financial analysts have expressed divergent views on the budget expansion.

Renowned economist and sustainability expert Marcel Okeke criticized the adjustment, stating that it was poorly timed. He argued that the changes should have been incorporated into a supplementary budget rather than altering the original budget before its passage.

“The figures that were released in December have already been analyzed and acted upon by global institutions, investors, and analysts,” Okeke stated. “Making last-minute additions portrays a lack of budgetary discipline. It would have been more appropriate to finalize the budget at the right time and introduce necessary changes later via a supplementary budget.”

Chief Economist and Partner at SPM Professionals, Paul Alaje, warned that the increased government spending might derail inflation control efforts. The government is targeting a 15 percent inflation rate in 2025, but Alaje suggested that the expanded budget could stoke inflationary pressures.

“I think it’s straightforward. The government sees additional revenue and believes it can spend more. However, beyond that, there seem to be previously omitted projects that are now being reintroduced into the budget. This level of spending might make the 15 percent inflation target unrealistic,” Alaje cautioned.

Conversely, Tunde Amolegbe, Managing Director of Arthur Steven Asset Management Limited and former president of the Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers, welcomed the development. He asserted that an ambitious budget is essential for infrastructural growth, which is a prerequisite for a productive economy.

“We cannot lift people out of poverty unless we invest in infrastructure. Our budget per capita remains significantly lower than countries with similar demographics. Government spending is crucial in raising the standard of living,” Amolegbe stated. However, he urged fiscal caution, emphasizing that Nigeria must monitor debt-to-revenue and debt-to-GDP ratios to avoid over-leverage.

A leading economist, who spoke on condition of anonymity, criticized the budget increase, suggesting that the widening fiscal deficit—now approaching N16 trillion—could harm the economy.

“With all the borrowing, the government should be looking to reduce the deficit instead of increasing spending. Over the years, we have struggled to meet revenue targets. There is no guarantee we will generate the projected revenue,” the economist stated.

Legislative Support and Next Steps

Despite concerns, the House of Representatives has backed President Tinubu’s proposal, emphasizing that the increase is justified by additional revenue from key government agencies. The budget has been referred to the Committees on Finance and Appropriations for expedited review.

Senate President Godswill Akpabio reassured Nigerians that the budget would be finalized and passed before the end of February, ensuring the government remains on track to implement its 2025 economic plans.

As the legislative process unfolds, the nation remains divided over the implications of the expanded budget. While some see it as an opportunity for enhanced economic growth, others fear it could deepen fiscal instability. The coming weeks will be critical in determining how Nigeria navigates this complex financial landscape.

Nigerian Economy Reacts to Federal Government's 2025 Budget IncreaseNigerian Economy Reacts to Federal Government's 2025 Budget Increase

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GTCO Launches “Take on Squad” Hackathon 3.0, Opens Call for Applications 

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GTCO Launches “Take on Squad” Hackathon 3.0, Opens Call for Applications 

 

 

Guaranty Trust Holding Company Plc (“GTCO” or the “Group”) has announced the launch of “Take on Squad” Hackathon 3.0, reaffirming its commitment to fostering innovation, empowering talent, and supporting the development of technology-driven solutions that address real-world challenges across Africa.

Now in its third edition, the Hackathon brings together developers, designers and entrepreneurs across Nigeria in a collaborative environment to build practical solutions across key sectors including financial services, healthcare, commerce and digital inclusion. Under the theme “Smart Systems: The Intelligent Economy,” participants are challenged to design and build intelligent, data-driven solutions that transform how communities engage with money.

Applications are now open, and interested teams can find full guidelines and registration details on the official portal at https://squadco.com/hackathon.

Speaking on the initiative, Eduophon Japhet, Managing Director of HabariPay, stated: “Today’s dynamic, digitally driven world demands continuous innovation, which is shaping how economies grow, how businesses scale, and how societies evolve. Through “Take on Squad” Hackathon, we are deliberately investing in the ideas and talent that will define the future. Our objective is not simply to encourage innovation, but to enable its translation into scalable solutions that deliver real and measurable impact. This reflects GTCO’s role as a financial services platform that connects capital, capability, and creativity to drive sustainable progress.”

The social coding event remains a cornerstone of HabariPay’s mission to foster creativity and problem-solving among emerging tech talents. Competing teams will leverage Squad’s advanced APIs to create scalable digital tools that address everyday challenges faced by businesses and individuals.

Through initiatives such as this, GTCO continues to position itself at the intersection of finance, technology and enterprise, actively shaping the future of digital transformation in Africa.

 

About HabariPay

HabariPay Ltd is the fintech subsidiary of Guaranty Trust Holding Company Plc (GTCO), one of the largest financial services institutions in Africa with direct and indirect investments in a network of operating entities located in 10 countries across Africa and the United Kingdom.

Licensed by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), our goal is to support SMEs, micro merchants, large corporations and other fintechs (Tech Stars) with the tools they need to thrive in an evolving digital economy and expand beyond their current market reach. HabariPay’s solutions include Squad, a full-scale digital payments toolkit to make in-person and online payments simpler, HabariPay Storefront, an e-commerce website to facilitate online purchases, Value-Added Services to help merchants access cost-effective and flexible airtime and data bundles to run their businesses, as well as a switching infrastructure that enables tech-focused businesses to optimise cost and make transactions more efficient.

HabariPay’s contributions to Accelerating Digital Acceptance in Africa have not gone unnoticed–it received Mastercard’s Innovative Mobile Payment Solution Award at TIA 2022 for its innovative payment solution, SquadPOS.

About Squad

Squad is a complete digital payments solution that is reliable, secure, and affordable, making receiving in-person and online payments simpler and convenient.

Thousands of merchants currently leverage Squad’s payment solutions for their daily business operations. Squad’s current products and service offerings include SquadPOS, Squad Payment Links, Squad Virtual Accounts, USSD, and E-Commerce Storefront.

Find out more at www.squadco.com.

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Electric 8-Seater Tula Moto Keke Enters Nigerian Market, Targets Higher Operator Earnings

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Electric 8-Seater Tula Moto Keke Enters Nigerian Market, Targets Higher Operator Earnings

 

 

LAGOS — A new electric-powered tricycle with an expanded passenger capacity has been introduced into Nigeria’s urban transport sector, offering operators a potentially more profitable and eco-friendly alternative to conventional petrol-driven “keke.”

 

The newly launched 8-seater electric tricycle, now available in Lagos with plans for nationwide distribution, features a dual-row seating arrangement capable of accommodating up to eight passengers per trip—significantly higher than the standard three-passenger configuration common across the country.

 

 

Promoters of the innovation say the increased capacity is designed to boost daily earnings for operators, particularly amid persistent fluctuations in fuel prices. By running entirely on electric power, the vehicle eliminates dependence on petrol, reducing operating costs and shielding drivers from fuel price volatility.

 

 

According to the distributors, the tricycle is equipped with a durable battery system capable of covering extended distances on a single charge, making it suitable for commercial operations across high-traffic routes, residential estates, campuses, and marketplaces.

 

“The concept is straightforward—enable drivers to earn more while spending less,” a company representative stated. “With higher passenger capacity and zero fuel requirements, operators can maximise each trip without the burden of daily fuel expenses.”

 

Beyond its cost-saving potential, the electric keke is also said to require less maintenance than traditional models, offering additional long-term savings. Its quieter and smoother operation is expected to enhance passenger comfort and overall commuting experience.
Industry analysts note that the introduction of electric mobility solutions reflects a growing shift toward cleaner and more sustainable transportation alternatives in Nigeria, particularly in densely populated urban centres such as Lagos.

 

 

The distributors added that the product is currently available under a limited promotional offer, with delivery options across the country.

 

For inquiries and purchase: 📞 08153432071
📞 08035889103
Office Address:
📍 Plot 9, Block 113, Beulah Plaza,
Lekki–Epe Expressway,
Lekki Phase 1, Lagos

 

As transportation costs continue to rise and environmental concerns gain prominence, innovations like the electric 8-seater keke may signal an emerging transition toward more efficient and sustainable mobility solutions nationwide.

 

Electric 8-Seater Tula Moto Keke Enters Nigerian Market, Targets Higher Operator Earnings

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A Pipeline, a Licence, and a Storm Brewing: Corruption allegations Draw global oil giant, Shell, Into Nigeria’s Reform Test

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*A Pipeline, a Licence, and a Storm Brewing: Corruption allegations Draw global oil giant, Shell, Into Nigeria’s Reform Test*

By Deji Johnson and Mustapha Bello

 

t begins with a pipeline that should have been completed by June 2026. It widens into a regulatory dispute. And it now risks becoming a defining test of Nigeria’s gas reforms under President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

At the center is a stalled 80 kilometre gas pipeline from Sagamu to Ibadan, a project backed by over 100 million dollars in investment and built on a protected Gas Distribution Licence issued under the Petroleum Industry Act 2021. The licence granted NGML–NIPCO exclusive rights to distribute gas within Ibadan for 25years based on Nigeria’s Petroleum Industry Act.

On paper, the law is clear. On the ground, the situation is anything but.

For more than three months, construction has been halted following a stop work order issued by the Oyo State Government led by former Shell Contractor and engineer, Governor Seyi Makinde. No detailed public justification has been provided that aligns with existing federal approvals already secured for the project.

What might have remained a quiet regulatory disagreement has now escalated into something far more politically charged. How?

In recent remarks, Nigeria’s Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, Nyesom Wike, who is of the same political party as Governor Seyi Makinde, made a pointed allegation that has since rippled across political and industry circles. He suggested that the Governor of Oyo State and Shell were in what could be described as an “unholy alliance.”

It is a serious claim. One that, if substantiated, would raise profound questions about the intersection of corporate influence, state level action, and federal law.

Neither Shell nor the Oyo State Government has publicly responded in detail to the allegation.

But the silence is now part of the story.

*THE SHELL QUESTION*

For Shell, this moment carries particular weight.

The company has operated in Nigeria for decades, building one of its most significant global portfolios in the Niger Delta. But that history is not without controversy. From corruption claims to environmental damage claims and community disputes amongst others, Shell has faced years of litigation and, in several high profile cases, adverse rulings tied to its operations in the region.

Those cases, many adjudicated in foreign courts, have shaped a negative reputation that continues to follow the company.

Now, a new question emerges.

Is Shell once again operating at the edge of Nigeria’s regulatory framework seeking to exert undue influence in circumventing Nigeria’s petroleum laws, or firmly within it?

Industry sources including a widely reported meeting between their representatives, Oyo State Government representatives and the newly appointed midstream and downstream chief executive, indicate that engagements involving Shell and the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority could enable the company to enter a gas distribution zone already licensed to another operator in breach of the PIA.

If true, the implications are immediate and far reaching.

A licence meant to protect investors and investments in Nigeria’s gas space ceases to be exclusive against the dictates of the guiding laws. A framework begins to look flexible, and a reform risks appearing reversible.

To many, it seems more than just a commercial dispute and is not just about one company versus another.

Nigeria is in the middle of an energy transition where gas is expected to play a central role in powering industries, stabilising electricity supply, and reducing reliance on expensive diesel. President Bola Tinubu has emerged as a global champion of using gas as a transition fuel in Nigeria and Africa whilst rolling out elaborate but clearly defined plans to achieve it. Yet gas availability remains inconsistent, constraining power generation and limiting industrial output.

Projects like the Sagamu to Ibadan pipeline are designed to close that gap. To halt such a project is to delay not just infrastructure, but impact. To undermine its legal basis is to question the system that enabled it and to introduce competing claims within the same licensed zone is to risk regulatory confusion at a time when clarity is most needed.

This is where the issue moves from commercial to national because at stake is not only an investment, but the credibility of the reform architecture itself.

*OYO STATE AND THE FEDERAL QUESTION*

The role of the Oyo State Government adds another layer of complexity.

Energy regulation in Nigeria, particularly in the gas sector, is governed by federal law. Yet implementation often intersects with state authority, creating spaces where jurisdiction can blur.

The stop work order issued on the pipeline has become the clearest manifestation of that tension. Was it a regulatory necessity?
A precautionary measure? Or, as alleged by Minister Wike, part of a broader alignment with external interests? Without transparency, speculation fills the vacuum and the regulator must avoid finding itself mired in such allegations.

*QUESTIONS THAT WILL NOT GO AWAY*

For Shell, the questions are now direct and unavoidable:

Is Shell, a global energy giant, seeking to operate within the Ibadan gas distribution zone already licensed to NGML–NIPCO?
What assurances, if any, has it received from regulators or state actors?
How does it reconcile such actions with the exclusivity provisions of the PIA?

For the regulator, NMDPRA:

Can a Gas Distribution Licence be effectively shared, diluted, or overridden after issuance? According to Nigerian laws, the answer is No.
What precedent does this set for Nigeria’s gas infrastructure market?

For the Oyo State Government:

On what legal grounds does the stop work order stand, given federal approvals already in place?
And how does this action align with national energy priorities or the state’s gas needs?

Nigeria has spent the last two years telling a new story to the world. A story of reform, of discipline, of a country ready to compete for global capital. And it has worked so far with stability returning to Nigeria’s economy and over $20bn of energy investments looking to enter the country in the short to midterm.

But reforms are not tested in policy papers. They are tested in moments like this.

Moments where law meets influence, investment meets interference and promise meets pressure.

For Shell, long mired in issues surrounding ethical operations in Nigeria, this is more than a business decision. It is a reputational crossroads.

For Nigeria, it is something even larger. Whether the country’s laws will hold when they are most challenged or Whether its reforms will stand when they are most inconvenient or even whether Nigeria’s energy investments future will be shaped by the rules of law, adherence to regulatory protections and provisions or by unethical and corrupt relationships.

Until those questions are answered clearly, publicly, and decisively, the pipeline in Ibadan will remain more than steel in the ground.

It will remain a symbol of a country still deciding which path it truly intends to follow. Nigeria must act quickly and decisively because the world is watching.

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