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Nigerian Economy Reacts to Federal Government’s 2025 Budget Increase

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Nigerian Economy Reacts to Federal Government’s 2025 Budget Increase

By Femi Oyewale

 

LAGOS, Nigeria – A wave of reactions has trailed the decision of the Federal Government to increase the 2025 Appropriation Bill from N49.7 trillion to N54.2 trillion, citing additional revenue generated by key government agencies.

On Wednesday, President Bola Tinubu’s letters to the Senate and House of Representatives, detailing adjustments in the yet-to-be-passed budget, were read on the floors of both chambers. Senate President Godswill Akpabio referred the President’s request to the Senate Committee on Appropriations for urgent consideration, assuring that the budget would be passed before the end of February.

 

Tinubu originally presented a N49.7 trillion budget proposal, themed ‘Budget of Restoration: Securing Peace, Rebuilding Prosperity,’ to the National Assembly in November. The budget is underpinned by projected total revenue of N36.35 trillion, driven by improved non-oil revenue collection, expanded tax enforcement, customs duties, and independent revenues from government-owned enterprises. Oil revenue projections are based on a crude oil benchmark of $75 per barrel, a production target of 2.06 million barrels per day, and an exchange rate of N1,500 per USD.

 

The budget includes significant allocations to critical sectors and aims to maintain a fiscal deficit of N13.39 trillion (3.96 per cent of GDP), which will be financed through domestic and external borrowings as well as innovative public-private partnership arrangements.

Breakdown of Additional Revenue

The budget increment follows the realization of additional revenue from key government agencies: N1.4 trillion from the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS), N1.2 trillion from the Nigeria Customs Service, and N1.8 trillion from other government agencies. The government emphasized that the extra funds would be directed toward strengthening key economic institutions, particularly the Bank of Agriculture and the Bank of Industry. Investments will also be channeled into the solid minerals sector and infrastructure projects to further support economic diversification.

Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, Atiku Bagudu, stated that the adjustment was made after extensive engagements between the executive arm and the National Assembly. “The Senate Committee on Appropriation, Senate Committee on National Planning, and Senate Committee on Finance established that we could generate more revenue by tasking all institutions to increase their contributions,” Bagudu explained.

Mixed Reactions from Economic Experts

Economists and financial analysts have expressed divergent views on the budget expansion.

Renowned economist and sustainability expert Marcel Okeke criticized the adjustment, stating that it was poorly timed. He argued that the changes should have been incorporated into a supplementary budget rather than altering the original budget before its passage.

“The figures that were released in December have already been analyzed and acted upon by global institutions, investors, and analysts,” Okeke stated. “Making last-minute additions portrays a lack of budgetary discipline. It would have been more appropriate to finalize the budget at the right time and introduce necessary changes later via a supplementary budget.”

Chief Economist and Partner at SPM Professionals, Paul Alaje, warned that the increased government spending might derail inflation control efforts. The government is targeting a 15 percent inflation rate in 2025, but Alaje suggested that the expanded budget could stoke inflationary pressures.

“I think it’s straightforward. The government sees additional revenue and believes it can spend more. However, beyond that, there seem to be previously omitted projects that are now being reintroduced into the budget. This level of spending might make the 15 percent inflation target unrealistic,” Alaje cautioned.

Conversely, Tunde Amolegbe, Managing Director of Arthur Steven Asset Management Limited and former president of the Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers, welcomed the development. He asserted that an ambitious budget is essential for infrastructural growth, which is a prerequisite for a productive economy.

“We cannot lift people out of poverty unless we invest in infrastructure. Our budget per capita remains significantly lower than countries with similar demographics. Government spending is crucial in raising the standard of living,” Amolegbe stated. However, he urged fiscal caution, emphasizing that Nigeria must monitor debt-to-revenue and debt-to-GDP ratios to avoid over-leverage.

A leading economist, who spoke on condition of anonymity, criticized the budget increase, suggesting that the widening fiscal deficit—now approaching N16 trillion—could harm the economy.

“With all the borrowing, the government should be looking to reduce the deficit instead of increasing spending. Over the years, we have struggled to meet revenue targets. There is no guarantee we will generate the projected revenue,” the economist stated.

Legislative Support and Next Steps

Despite concerns, the House of Representatives has backed President Tinubu’s proposal, emphasizing that the increase is justified by additional revenue from key government agencies. The budget has been referred to the Committees on Finance and Appropriations for expedited review.

Senate President Godswill Akpabio reassured Nigerians that the budget would be finalized and passed before the end of February, ensuring the government remains on track to implement its 2025 economic plans.

As the legislative process unfolds, the nation remains divided over the implications of the expanded budget. While some see it as an opportunity for enhanced economic growth, others fear it could deepen fiscal instability. The coming weeks will be critical in determining how Nigeria navigates this complex financial landscape.

Nigerian Economy Reacts to Federal Government's 2025 Budget IncreaseNigerian Economy Reacts to Federal Government's 2025 Budget Increase

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GTCO vs. Very Dark Man: Why Nigerians Must Stop the Judgment of Emotions

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*GTCO vs. Very Dark Man: Why Nigerians Must Stop the Judgment of Emotions*

By Osho Oluwatosin

The internet has literally been on ‘fire’ since Friday following the arrest of self-acclaimed Nigerian activist, Martins Vincent, also known as Very Dark Man. He was reportedly picked up by the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) for reasons yet unknown.

While it’s not the first time VeryDarkMan or any prominent Nigerian would be arrested by the EFCC — a government agency not under the authority of any private organization — it seems some Nigerians are passionately trying to push a narrative that his arrest was orchestrated by one of Nigeria’s biggest financial institutions, Guaranty Trust Holding Company (GTCO).

Although this narrative isn’t far-fetched — VDM had criticized the bank due to ‘mysterious’ deductions from his mother’s bank account for unjustifiable reasons. He approached the bank’s branch in Abuja to make an official complaint and, afterwards, he was picked up by the EFCC. But what many Nigerians have failed to realize is GTCO may not even be involved in his arrest.

VeryDarkMan was seen in the bank, quite alright, but in a CCTV released by the bank, he was seen moving out of the bank when he finished. He even had a celebrity moment with some of his followers who took pictures with him before he was arrested. So I’m wondering, what has GTB got to do with his arrest? That someone got knocked down by a vehicle after leaving church, does it mean the church orchestrated the accident? That someone got attacked after leaving a lecture room, does it mean the lecturer orchestrated it? That someone even got attacked in a courtroom, does it mean the judge orchestrated it? Absolutely not.

Although it would have been better if the EFCC had come out to clear the air regarding the reason for VDM’s arrest, because in the absence of information, rumours are bound to thrive. In fact, the commission should have actually released a statement regarding these rumours, not to vindicate GTB, but to keep Nigerians informed.

Let’s even think about it logically: what can warrant GTCO to order VDM’s arrest by the EFCC? Did he defraud GTCO? Did he steal from a GTB customer? Did he launder money through a GTB account? These are questions that should be asked before passing judgments. But Nigerians are always emotional when it comes to issues like this, and that’s why people who are culpable in serious crimes get away with anything as long as they get involved in charity or activism.

GTCO has been a very friendly organization, and in 2024 alone, the bank paid a record dividend of N8 per share. The bank is happy, shareholders are happy, customers are happy — who is Very Dark Man?

Osho Oluwatosin is a Nigerian journalist and writes from Lagos.

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Can We Have More Bankers Like Victoria Mulero? An epitome of ‘omoluabi’

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Can We Have More Bankers Like Victoria Mulero? An epitome of ‘omoluabi’

In February of this year, I needed to open a new bank account for salary purposes, as required by the management of the new company I had just joined.

I considered First Bank, Access Bank, and Sterling Bank. After some thought, I chose Sterling Bank—not because I found them superior—but because I believed they had fewer customers, which I hoped would save me from long queues and unnecessary delays.

I visited the Sterling Bank branch at Akowonjo to open the account. Unfortunately, the staff member who attended to me didn’t inspire confidence. She appeared distracted—smiling at her phone, clearly engrossed in a private chat—far from the level of professionalism one would expect in a bank setting. I had a feeling this would lead to problems down the line.

 

When my first salary was paid into the account, my suspicion was confirmed. Sterling Bank restricted access to my funds—I couldn’t transfer money or make withdrawals at the counter. I visited their Fatai Atere branch at Ladipo, Mushin to complain, where I was informed that the account opened for me was a “Kaikai” account—a type I had never heard of. Apparently, this account type is meant for individuals who lack the required documents during account creation. But I had submitted all necessary documents, so why was such an account opened for me?

Can We Have More Bankers Like Victoria Mulero? An epitome of 'omoluabi'

At the Fatai Atere branch, I was attended to by a remarkable banker named Victoria Mulero. She requested my NIN, which I didn’t have on me at the time. Rather than send me back home, she asked if I had a digital copy. I did, and she graciously gave me her email address so I could forward it to her. With that, she resolved the issue promptly and professionally.

However, the following month, in March, the same restriction happened again. I returned to the Fatai Atere branch, and once again, Victoria Mulero handled my complaint with efficiency and kindness, resolving it without delay.

I hoped the matter was finally settled, but when my April salary arrived, the restriction was imposed yet again. This time, I was beyond frustrated and ready to replace Sterling Bank as my salary account. Still, I visited the Fatai Atere branch one last time. Once more, Victoria Mulero resolved the issue with grace and determination.

This write-up is a tribute to Victoria Mulero of Sterling Bank, Fatai Atere branch. She is a rare gem—respectful, diligent, and genuinely customer-focused. She went above and beyond, following up with the Akowonjo branch through calls and emails until the matter was fully resolved. She handled every situation with patience and empathy, treating the job as if the bank belonged to her family.

To be honest, I’ve had unpleasant experiences with many bankers, especially female staff. Too often, they carry personal frustrations into the banking hall and take it out on customers. But Victoria is different. She exemplifies what true customer service should be.

We may not all be the same, but treating people with respect and kindness is a skill that can be learned—and Victoria clearly has. Let’s celebrate her for being a model professional and a beacon of hope in an industry that too often lacks empathy.

Without any fear of contradiction, I say boldly that Victoria Mulero is a good ambassador of Sterling Bank and her parents too deserve encomium for raising a well trained daughter and impacting an attitude of ‘ omoluabi’ in her. We need more of Victoria Mulero in our banking industry.

Seun Jacob Ogunbiyi
Known as Olùkọ́, the therapeutic writer and Lagos based journalist

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Air Peace Airlines’ failure to adhere to scheduled departure times results in prolonged delays …causing undue hardship for Nigerians on board

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Air Peace Airlines' failure to adhere to scheduled departure times results in prolonged delays ...causing undue hardship for Nigerians on board ~Oluwaseun Fabiyi

Air Peace Airlines’ failure to adhere to scheduled departure times results in prolonged delays
…causing undue hardship for Nigerians on board

~Oluwaseun Fabiyi

Traveling is undoubtedly the most effective form of education, enabling individuals to observe human quirks from diverse perspectives

On Saturday, 3rd May 2025, an Air Peace Airlines flight from Akure Airport was delayed, causing undue inconvenience to a Nigerian traveller and a prominent Nigerian man of God, an unfortunate incident that befell the nation’s citizens

Does Nigerian law consider it a criminal offense for travelers to book flights with Air Peace, a leading Nigerian airline, instead of other airlines that fail to depart on schedule, such as remaining at 10am instead of departing at 10am? Certainly, some Nigerian citizens may opt to travel with airlines like Arik, Aero, Dana, rather than Air Peace.

Air Peace Airlines' failure to adhere to scheduled departure times results in prolonged delays
...causing undue hardship for Nigerians on board
~Oluwaseun Fabiyi

It is evident that many Nigerians actually believe Air Peace airline came to rescue Nigerians from the subpar fly-and-die experience of other airlines, such as Dana, which is why many have fallen in love with Air Peace Airlines’ domestic operations

 

Air Peace Airlines’ decision to reschedule a 12:00 flight from Akure in Ondo State to 3:00 on Saturday, 3rd May 2025, has been met with disappointment from some affected Nigerian passengers, who deem this change unreasonable and unjustified.

Nigeria is hindered by self-imposed challenges that impede our collective advancement. I remain optimistic that future leadership will emerge, focusing on nuanced details that cumulatively enhance the lives of citizens, including access to housing, affordable food, petrol, quality healthcare, and a decent standard of living. The fact that we produce rice, only to have its price inflated by some, thereby rendering it unaffordable, is a pressing concern

It is baffling to me why some people or airlines deliberately provide poor services, causing undue hardship for their passengers, without taking the courtesy to apologize

How can passengers ensure they arrive at Akure Airport by 10 a.m. to catch a 12 p.m. flight from Akure to Lagos and complete check-in as usual

Only for them to fall victim to an extremely harrowing experience. The first indication was the outrage of a passenger at the Nigeria Air Peace counters. He yelled at the ticketing officials that his time had been wasted by three hours and demanded to be refunded his money, as his business was equally affected.

The scene was remarkably congested, and indeed there was an exceedingly large number of passengers traveling to Lagos on this particular Air Peace flight.Which none of them can comprehend what could cause a delay from 12 O’clock to 3:15 pm, without considering individuals with an assignment or occasion in Lagos, is so crazy and devastating.

*How Passengers suffer through endless delays waiting for Air Peace aircraft.*

Accordingly, they embarked on an extended wait after Air Peace notified them that the flight had been postponed by an hour. Ultimately, the delay proved to be three hours, with the flight arriving at 3:30 pm, followed by the commencement of boarding procedures

On a final note the Nigerian aviation industry, including airlines, can certainly improve their treatment of fellow Nigerians

Onboard passengers display concern and raise eyebrows.

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