Politics
Airspace, Arrogance and Anarchy: Why Burkina Faso’s Seizure of a NAFc C-130 and 11 Nigerian Servicemen Threatens Regional Order
Airspace, Arrogance and Anarchy: Why Burkina Faso’s Seizure of a NAFc C-130 and 11 Nigerian Servicemen Threatens Regional Order.
By George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by saharaweeklyng.com
“How an “UNAUTHORISED” emergency landing in Bobo-Dioulasso exposed the fracture between the Alliance of Sahel States and ECOWAS — and why legal norms, diplomacy and cool heads must prevail.”
On 8 December 2025 a routine ferry flight by a Nigerian Air Force C-130 turned overnight into one of West Africa’s most dangerous diplomatic dramas. What Nigerian authorities describe as a precautionary, technical landing in Bobo-Dioulasso was treated by Burkina Faso and its Sahel partners as an airspace violation. Eleven Nigerian military personnel were detained and the aircraft impounded whereby a flashpoint in an already fractured regional landscape. The fallout since has been swift, ugly and instructive.
This is not a story about a single aircraft. It is a story about sovereignty, competing regional blocs, the fragility of international aviation law under political strain and the damage that escalatory language can do when armed governments face one another across a thin skin of protocol and precedent.
The facts (what we can establish reliably). Nigerian accounts say the C-130 was en route on a ferry mission to Portugal when a “TECHNICAL CONCERN” forced a precautionary landing in Bobo-Dioulasso; Nigeria’s Air Force insists crew and passengers were safe and that normal aviation procedures were followed. Burkina Faso’s ruling military authorities though speaking through the Alliance of Sahel States (AES) – say the aircraft entered Burkinabé airspace without prior authorisation and described the incident as an “UNFRIENDLY ACT.” The Alliance warned that in future it would neutralise unauthorised aircraft. Sahara reporters and the Nigerian media have all reported these competing claims.
Why this incident matters beyond the immediate headlines. Sovereignty and the primacy of airspace control. Under the Chicago Convention and customary international practice every State enjoys complete and exclusive sovereignty over the airspace above its territory. States may (and do) take defensive measures when they believe their airspace has been violated. Though that rule coexists with another clear principle: emergency landings for safety are an accepted feature of civil-military aviation and normally trigger established communications, escorts or diplomatic notifications though not seizing and publicly humiliating crew. The collision of these two principles creates a dangerous grey zone.
AES vs ECOWAS: a geopolitical schism. The seizure cannot be divorced from the political context: Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger have broken with the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and formed the Alliance of Sahel States (AES). That split has hardened narratives of hostility between the two blocs. Recent Nigerian involvement in neighbouring crises (including air operations connected to events in Benin) has heightened AES suspicions about Nigerian military activity in the region. This is not merely a diplomatic spat; it is the manifestation of two competing systems for regional order. Analysts at the Institute for Security Studies have warned that “stability in West Africa requires that both organisations take pragmatic and flexible approaches.” That warning has never been more urgent.
The risks of escalation. When a military junta pronounces it will “NEUTRALISE” unauthorised aircraft, that is not mere rhetoric but it is a doctrine that invites miscalculation. Intercepting or firing on a military transport (even one allegedly in breach of airspace rules) could produce casualties, retaliation, wider interstate military posturing, or a tit-for-tat pattern that drags neighbouring states into open confrontation. The incident exposed how quickly regional norms can be weaponised.
Where the Nigerian government stands (and why diplomacy must lead). The Federal Government opened diplomatic channels immediately after the incident. Abuja insists the landing was precautionary and says its crew were treated humanely; the Nigerian Air Force publicly denied a deliberate airspace violation and described the landing as an emergency measure. At the same time, Nigeria cannot treat the episode as simply an operational mishap: it is a diplomatic crisis that requires urgent, senior-level engagement to avoid further deterioration. Reports confirm that Abuja has moved to raise the matter through its foreign ministry and through regional interlocutors.
Voices and warnings from the region and experts
(Assimi Goïta, the Malian figurehead of the AES, publicly called the incident an “UNFRIENDLY ACT” and directed AES partners to treat unauthorised incursions firmly) language that underscores how seriously the alliance regards perceived threats. That tone, while politically resonant within AES constituencies, is dangerous in interstate practice because it narrows the margin for de-escalation.
– On the other side, the Nigerian Air Force’s spokesman, Air Commodore Ehimen Ejodame, categorically described the landing as a precautionary move due to technical concern; Abuja’s account stresses standard aviation safety obligations and seeks to frame the episode as a non-hostile emergency landing. That competing narrative, unresolvably opposed in public, fuels popular outrage on both sides.
– Regional analysts Djiby Sow and Hassane Koné of the ISS have cautioned that “stability in West Africa requires that both organisations take pragmatic and flexible approaches,” an apt reminder that durable security cannot be built on unilateral muscle or provocative signalling. Their analysis points to the deeper structural problem: two rival regional orders with overlapping geographies and incompatible political projects.
Legal notes for what international law allows and forbids:
International aviation law recognises both the sovereignty of states over their airspace and the necessity of emergency landings for safety. There is precedent for interception and diversion in bona fide security scenarios, but the law expects proportionality, communication and diplomatic resolution, but not detention and seizure as a first response. States that callously or reflexively detain foreign crews after emergency landings risk breaching obligations of humane treatment and peaceful dispute settlement. In practice, the legal rules require interpretation through a prism of good faith and common sense.
Recommendations and how to prevent this episode from becoming a catastrophe:
Immediate, senior diplomatic engagement. Nigeria must pursue quiet, high-level talks with Burkina Faso mediated by neutral ECOWAS or AU envoys to secure the immediate release of any property still impounded and to establish transparent facts. Public posturing should be replaced by private negotiation.
An independent fact-finding and technical review. Aviation experts (ICAO-compatible) should be given access to the aircraft and records to determine whether the landing was an unavoidable emergency or avoidable deviation. A neutral technical finding would deprive propagandists of oxygen.
Confidence-building measures between AES and ECOWAS. The two blocs must restore minimum channels for incident management: hotlines, agreed protocols for overflight and emergency landing, and mutually accepted procedures for military aircraft transiting neighbouring states. The alternative is a drift into permanent suspicion and frequent crises.
A public narrative of restraint. Leaders must avoid escalationist language. Warnings about “neutralising” airborne platforms are inflammatory and unnecessary when diplomacy and technical verification remain available.
Endnote; the test of leadership. This episode is a test. It tests Nigeria’s capacity for sober diplomacy; it tests Burkina Faso’s willingness to separate security concerns from showmanship; it tests the region’s ability to manage rival blocs without sliding into armed confrontation. If handled well, the incident can be contained and even used as a spur to create robust incident-management mechanisms. If mishandled, it could set a precedent for a dangerous new normal: where emergency landings become pretexts for seizure, and interstate suspicion becomes a constant driver of instability.
In the end, airplanes are not the only things that fly — words and consequences do too. The courageous, responsible thing now is restraint, verification and a deliberate commitment to dialogue. Anything less will turn an avoidable emergency into a preventable tragedy.
Politics
Kogi’s Quiet Shift: Reviewing Governor Ododo’s First 24 Months in Office
Kogi’s Quiet Shift: Reviewing Governor Ododo’s First 24 Months in Office
By Rowland Olonishuwa
On Tuesday, Kogi State paused to mark two years since Alhaji Ahmed Usman Ododo took the oath as Executive Governor. Across government circles, community halls, and everyday conversations, the anniversary was more than a date on the calendar; it was a milestone that invites both reflection and renewed optimism. A moment to look back at how far the state has travelled in just twenty-four months, and where it is heading next.
Since assuming office in January 2024, Ododo has steered the state through a period of measured consolidation, delivering strategic interventions across security, infrastructure, human capital, and economic revitalisation that are beginning to translate into real improvements for residents.
Governor Ododo stepped into office at a time when expectations were high, and confidence in public institutions needed rebuilding.
His response to these was not loud declarations, but steady consolidation, strengthening structures, restoring order in governance, and setting a clear direction. Over time, that calm approach has become his signature: leadership that listens first, plans carefully, and moves with purpose.
Security has remained the most urgent concern for Nigerians, and Kogi residents are no exceptions; the Ododo-led administration has treated it as such. From deploying surveillance drones to support intelligence operations to recruiting and integrating local hunters and vigilante personnel into formal security frameworks, the government has built a layered safety net.
For farmers returning to their fields, travellers moving along highways, and families in rural communities, the impact is simple and deeply personal: fewer fears, quicker response, and growing confidence that the government is present and concerned about the ordinary people.
Infrastructural development has followed the same practical logic. Roads have been rehabilitated, easing movement for traders and commuters. Budget priorities have shifted toward capital projects and human development, while revived facilities like the Confluence Rice Mill now provide farmers with real economic opportunity. For many households, this means better income prospects, stronger local trade, and renewed belief that development is no longer a distant promise.
Health and education are not left out; the Ododo-led administration has expanded free healthcare services and supported students through examination funding and institutional improvements.
Parents who once struggled with medical bills and school fees have felt relief. Young people preparing for their futures now see government investment not as abstract policy but as something that touches their daily lives.
Governance reforms, from civil service strengthening to new legislative frameworks, have quietly improved how government functions. Salaries are more predictable, public offices are more responsive, and local government structures are more coordinated. These may not always make headlines, but they shape how citizens experience leadership every day.
As the second year anniversary celebrations fade into routine today and Governor Ododo enters his third year in office, the true meaning of the anniversary will continue to linger on.
Two years may not have solved every challenge in the Confluence State -no government ever does, by the way- but they have set a tone of stability, responsiveness, and direction. The next phase will demand deeper impact, broader reach, and sustained security gains.
But for many in Kogi State, the story of the past twenty-four months is already clear: steady hands on the wheel, and a journey that is firmly underway.
Olonishuwa is the Editor-in-Chief of Newshubmag.com. He writes from Ilorin
Politics
Lagos Assembly Debunks Abuja House Rumour, Warns Against Election Season Propaganda
Lagos Assembly Debunks Abuja House Rumour, Warns Against Election Season Propaganda
The Lagos State House of Assembly has described as misleading and mischievous the widespread misinformation that it budgeted for the purchase of houses in Abuja for its members in the 2026 Appropriation Law.
This rebuttal is contained in a statement jointly signed by Hon. Stephen Ogundipe, Chairman, House Committee on Information, Strategy, and Security, and Hon. Sa’ad Olumoh, Chairman, House Committee on Economic Planning and Budget.
Describing the report as a deliberate and disturbing falsehood being peddled by patently ignorant people, the statement reads, “There is no provision whatsoever in the 2026 Budget for the purchase of houses in Abuja or anywhere else for members of the Lagos State House of Assembly. The report is a complete fabrication and a product of political mischief intended to misinform the public.
“The Lagos State House of Assembly does not operate in Abuja. Our constitutional responsibilities, constituencies, and legislative duties are entirely within Lagos State. It is, therefore, illogical, irrational, and irresponsible for anyone to suggest that legislators would appropriate public funds for personal housing outside their jurisdiction.”
The statement emphasised that the budget is already in the public domain and accessible for scrutiny by discerning Lagosians and Nigerians alike. It reiterated that the Lagos State Government operates a transparent budget that speaks to the needs of the people and the demands of a megalopolis.
“We view this rumour as part of a wider attempt at election-season propaganda, designed to erode public trust, sow discord, and malign democratic institutions.”
The chairmen further clarified that the 2026 capital expenditure of the House of Assembly is less than 0.04% of the total CAPEX of the state, which clearly demonstrates the culture of prudence, accountability, and fiscal responsibility that guides the legislature. However, they noted, “Historically, the House does not even access up to its approved budget in many fiscal years.”
They stressed that the Assembly remains fully committed to excellence, transparency, good governance, and the collective welfare of the people of Lagos State, in line with the objectives of the 2026 Budget of Shared Prosperity.
“We therefore challenge those behind this harebrained allegation to produce credible evidence or retract their statements forthwith. Failure to do so may attract appropriate legal actions.
“We urge Lagosians and the general public to disregard this baseless rumour and always verify information from official and credible sources.”
Politics
Democracy in the Crosshairs: How Nigeria’s Ruling APC Weaponises Power and Silences Dissent
Democracy in the Crosshairs: How Nigeria’s Ruling APC Weaponises Power and Silences Dissent.
By George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by saharaweeklyng.com
“Tinubu’s Government, the EFCC and the Strategic Undermining of Opposition Governors”.
In a striking indictment of Nigeria’s current political reality, Governor Seyi Makinde of Oyo State declared that “you cannot speak truth to power in this dispensation”, directly accusing the administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu of intolerance for dissent and an erosion of democratic norms.
Makinde’s remarks (made during a public event in Ibadan on January 25, 2026) were more than a local governor’s lament. They crystallised a mounting national frustration: that Nigeria’s political landscape has tilted dangerously toward executive overreach, institutional capture and political engineering.
This narrative is not isolated. Across Nigeria, governors from opposition parties have defected to the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) in numbers unprecedented in the nation’s democratic history. Critics argue that these defections are not merely voluntary political choices, but part of a strategic pressure campaign leveraging federal power and institutions to fracture opposition influence.
At its centre lies Nigeria’s principal anti-graft agency – the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC).
The EFCC: Anti-Graft Agency or Political Instrument? Founded to combat corruption, the EFCC’s constitutional mandate is to investigate and prosecute financial and economic crimes across public and private sectors. Its legal independence is enshrined in statute and it has historically pursued high-profile cases, including recovery of nearly $500 million in illicit assets in a single year, demonstrating its capacity for tackling corruption.
However, critics now claim that under the Tinubu administration, the EFCC’s prosecutorial power is being perceived (if not deployed) as a political instrument.
Opposition leaders, including former Vice President Atiku Abubakar and coalition parties such as the African Democratic Congress (ADC), have publicly accused the federal government of using anti-corruption agencies to intimidate opposition figures and governors, effectively pressuring them into aligning with the APC.
In a statement released in December 2025, opposition figures alleged that institutions such as the EFCC, the Nigerian Police and the Independent Corrupt Practices and Other Related Offences Commission were being selectively wielded to weaken political competitors rather than combat financial crime impartially.
This is not merely rhetorical noise. The opposition’s grievances centre on several observable patterns:
Reopened or New Investigations Against Opposition Figures: The ADC pointed to recent abnormal reactivation of long-dormant cases or new inquiries into financial activities involving senior opposition politicians. These, they argue, often arise shortly before critical elections or political realignments.
Alleged Differential Treatment: According to opponents of the current administration, individuals who have defected to the APC appear less likely to face sustained legal scrutiny or prosecution in EFCC proceedings, even in cases of credible allegations of mismanagement.
Timing of Actions: The timing of certain high-profile investigations, emerging ahead of the 2027 general elections, reinforces perceptions that anti-graft measures are tailored to political cycles rather than legal merit.
The EFCC and Presidency have publicly denied these allegations, insisting that the commission operates independently and pursues corruption irrespective of political affiliation and that Nigeria’s democratic freedoms (including party choice and mobility) remain intact.
Yet the perception of bias, once systemic, is hard to erase, especially when political actors deploy powerful state machinery with strategic timing and selective intensity.
Defections and Power Realignment: A Democracy at Risk? Since 2023 and particularly through 2025, a remarkable number of state governors and senior political leaders have crossed over from opposition parties (notably the Peoples Democratic Party – PDP) to the APC. Though defections are normal in Nigeria’s fluid political system, the scale and speed in recent years are historically noteworthy, raising critical questions about underlying incentives.
The SaharaWeeklyNG reported Makinde’s comments within the broader context of a political climate where dissenting voices face greater obstacles than at any time in recent democratic memory.
Governors who remain in opposition find themselves squeezed between growing federal assertiveness and dwindling political capital. Some analysts argue that the combination of federal resource control, political appointments and influence over public agencies exerts tangible pressure on subnational leaders to align with the ruling party for political survival. This dynamic, they contend, undermines competitive party politics and weakens Nigeria’s multiparty democracy.
Speaking Truth to Power: What Makinde’s Critique Exposes. Governor Makinde’s core grievance (that it is increasingly difficult, perhaps perilous, to speak truth to power) resonates widely among civil society actors, political analysts and democratic advocates:
“YOU CANNOT SPEAK TRUTH TO POWER IN THIS DISPENSATION,” Makinde declared, specifically citing the government’s handling of contentious tax reform bills as an example where dissent was neither welcomed nor transparently debated.
Makinde’s critique reflects deeper structural concerns:
Exclusion of Key Stakeholders: Opposition leaders and state executives report being marginalised from meaningful consultation on national policies affecting federal-state relations, revenue sharing and fiscal reforms.
Institutional Intimidation: The perception that state politicians become targets of federal legal scrutiny after taking firm oppositional stances (real or perceived) discourages robust democratic debate.
Erosion of Opposition Space: A symbiotic effect of party defections and institutional pressure is a shrinking viable space for genuine political opposition, weakening checks and balances essential to democratic governance.
A respected political scientist, Dr. Aisha Bello of the University of Lagos, recently argued that “when opposition becomes fraught with state leverage instead of ideological competition, the very foundation of democratic contestation collapses,” adding that “a government that shies away from criticism risks inversion into autocracy.”
Another expert, Prof. Chinedu Eze, former dean of political studies at Ahmadu Bello University, warned that “selective use of anti-corruption agencies as political tools corrodes public trust and ultimately delegates justice into the hands of incumbents rather than independent courts.” These observations echo growing public skepticism.
The Way Forward: Strengthening Democracy and Institutions. Nigeria’s path forward depends on restoring confidence in democratic norms and institutional independence.
Transparent EFCC Processes: Civil society groups and legal scholars are advocating for enhanced transparency in anti-graft investigations, including clear prosecutorial thresholds and independent audits of case initiation and closures.
Judicial Oversight: Strengthening the judiciary’s capacity and independence is critical to ensuring that allegations of political weaponisation do not go unchecked. Courts must remain the ultimate arbiters of evidence and guilt.
Political Reforms: Advocates demand reforms to party financing, federal-state fiscal relations, and consultation mechanisms to reduce incentives for defections driven by federal resource leverage.
Public Engagement: A more informed and engaged civil society, anchored by independent media and civic education, must hold both government and opposition accountable for adherence to democratic principles.
Beyond The Present Moment.
Governor Makinde’s assertion that it is no longer tenable to “speak truth to power” under the current administration reflects unsettling trends in Nigeria’s evolving democratic landscape. While the EFCC and the Presidency maintain that anti-corruption efforts are independent and constitutionally grounded, opposition leaders (backed by political data and patterns of defections) argue that state power is being used to consolidate one-party dominance and undermine political pluralism.
At this critical juncture, Nigeria must choose between entrenching competitive democracy or sliding toward a political monopoly where dissent is subdued, institutions compromised, and power concentrated.
For Nigeria’s democratic ideals to survive (and thrive) its leaders and citizens must ensure that speaking truth to power remains not a perilous act of defiance but an honoured pillar of national life.
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