Business
Dollar Scarcity Eases as Elumelu Briefs Tinubu on FX Stability
Dollar Scarcity Eases as Elumelu Briefs Tinubu on FX Stability
By George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by SaharaWeeklyNG
The Chairman of United Bank for Africa (UBA), Tony Elumelu, has declared that the era of acute dollar scarcity in Nigeria is effectively over, following a high-level meeting with President Bola Ahmed Tinubu in Abuja. According to Elumelu, reforms introduced by the federal government and the monetary authorities have “sorted” the foreign exchange market, restoring liquidity and improving investor confidence.
The meeting took place at the Presidential Villa in Abuja, where Elumelu briefed the President on developments within the banking and financial services sector. Speaking to State House correspondents afterward, the UBA chairman said commercial banks are no longer experiencing the severe foreign currency shortages that plagued the system throughout 2023 and early 2024. He attributed the improvement to ongoing policy adjustments and enhanced coordination between fiscal and monetary authorities.
The development marks a potentially significant turning point in Nigeria’s macroeconomic management. The country has faced persistent foreign exchange instability since mid-2023, when the government liberalised the naira and dismantled the long-standing multiple exchange rate regime. The policy shift, overseen by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), initially triggered sharp currency depreciation, widened arbitrage opportunities and strained dollar supply channels.
Dollar scarcity had profound consequences. Manufacturers struggled to import raw materials, airlines complained of trapped revenues, foreign investors exited local markets, and inflation accelerated as the naira weakened. The crisis was compounded by a backlog of unmet foreign exchange obligations, which the CBN later confirmed ran into several billions of dollars.
Elumelu’s remarks suggest that recent measures (such as clearing portions of the FX backlog, tightening banking supervision and increasing transparency in currency trading platforms) are beginning to stabilise the market. Analysts note that the CBN has also introduced reforms aimed at curbing speculative activities and boosting diaspora remittances through formal channels.
“The true test of reform is liquidity and confidence,” said Professor Pat Utomi, political economist and founder of the Centre for Values in Leadership, in prior commentary on Nigeria’s economic reforms. “If market participants believe the rules are clear and consistently applied, capital will respond.” Elumelu’s optimism appears to align with that perspective, indicating that domestic banks are now able to meet legitimate foreign currency demands more efficiently.
However, economists urge caution. Dr. Bismarck Rewane, Managing Director of Financial Derivatives Company, has consistently argued that exchange rate stability requires sustained inflows, not episodic interventions. “Stability is not achieved by pronouncement,” he noted in a recent economic briefing. “It comes from productivity, exports, and credible monetary discipline.”
Indeed, while official channels may show improved liquidity, structural vulnerabilities remain. Nigeria’s foreign reserves fluctuate in response to oil price volatility, and crude oil production levels (long below OPEC quotas due to theft and infrastructure challenges) continue to influence dollar inflows. Without significant diversification of export earnings, experts warn that gains could prove fragile.
The government’s broader reform agenda also plays a central role. President Tinubu’s administration has implemented sweeping economic changes since assuming office in May 2023, including the removal of petrol subsidies and the unification of exchange rates. These policies were designed to eliminate distortions and restore fiscal sustainability, but they have also contributed to short-term inflationary pressures and social hardship.
In its 2024 Article IV consultation, the International Monetary Fund emphasized that exchange rate reforms must be accompanied by strong social protection measures and credible fiscal consolidation. “A unified and market-determined exchange rate is critical to restoring confidence,” the IMF stated, while urging authorities to protect vulnerable populations from adjustment shocks.
Elumelu’s intervention carries weight beyond symbolic reassurance. As one of Africa’s most prominent bankers and a major investor across the continent, his assessment reflects sentiment within Nigeria’s financial elite. If commercial banks indeed have improved access to foreign currency and are meeting corporate demand without severe delays, it suggests operational normalisation within the banking system.
Yet market participants will look beyond official optimism to empirical indicators: narrowing spreads between official and parallel exchange rates, declining FX forward premiums, improved foreign portfolio inflows, and rising non-oil export receipts. These metrics will ultimately determine whether the crisis has truly abated.
For now, the meeting in Abuja signals a narrative shift from emergency management to cautious stabilization. Whether this transition becomes durable depends on policy consistency, institutional credibility and Nigeria’s capacity to expand its foreign exchange earning base.
As economic historian Niall Ferguson has observed, “Confidence is the cheapest and most powerful stimulus.” The Tinubu administration appears to be banking on precisely that: restoring belief in Nigeria’s economic direction. Elumelu’s declaration that the dollar scarcity is over may be a milestone, but the sustainability of that claim will be judged not by words, but by the resilience of the market in the months ahead.
*Oceangate Engineering Oil & Gas LTD to appeal Federal High ruling over forfeiture assets*
Oceangate Engineering Oil & Gas Limited has said it will appeal to the recent ruling of the Federal High Court ordering the forfeiture of certain assets.
Barr. Nnenna Onyeaso, the Company Secretary said in a statement on Thursday insisting that neither the company nor its leadership was found guilty of any wrongdoing.
Onyeaso said that the firm has described the court’s decision as a civil asset forfeiture order based on suspicion rather than proof, stressing that the judgment did not establish any criminal liability against the organisation.
According to her, the company maintain that it has already directed its legal team to file an appeal, expressing confidence in the judicial process and the outcome of a thorough review of the case.
“To be clear, this ruling is a civil asset forfeiture order with no finding of wrongdoing against Oceangate or its leadership.
“The court’s decision rested on a legal standard of suspicion, not proof, and it is one we intend to pursue fully through the appeals process,” she said in a statement.
The firm secretary also said that Oceangate has reiterated its belief in the rule of law, noting that the appellate system exists to address such outcomes.
She added that the company remained confident that the facts of the case will ultimately affirm its integrity and business practices.
Onyeaso said that the firm also emphasised that its operations remained unaffected, stating that it continues to provide employment for many Nigerians while contributing to the country’s energy sector and broader economy.
“We have always believed in the ability of the judicial process, and that belief has not wavered,” she added.
She noted that Oceangate further expressed appreciation to its employees, partners, and clients for their continued support amid the development, assuring stakeholders of its commitment to transparency and accountability.
The Secretary said that the company reaffirmed its confidence in Nigeria as a viable destination for investment, describing the country as a land of equity, growth, and opportunity.
“We remain committed to the continued growth of our business and the communities we serve as we are optimistic that justice will prevail at the end of the legal process.
FirstBank Empowers SMEs with AI-Driven Growth Strategies, Hosts SMEConnect Webinar
Lagos, 20 March 2026 – FirstBank, West Africa’s premier financial institution and financial inclusion services provider, is pleased to announce the upcoming edition of the SMEConnect Webinar scheduled to hold on Tuesday, 31 March 2026. The event will equip small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) with the knowledge and tools to harness the power of Artificial Intelligence (AI) for business growth.
This edition is strategically curated to inform and educate SMEs on how AI can be applied to scale their businesses in today’s rapidly evolving digital economy. The chosen theme, “AI for Business Growth: From Adoption to Integration and Scalable Impact,” reflects the growing importance and timeliness of AI as one of the most influential trends shaping the SME business landscape. The session will provide SMEs with actionable insights on how to leverage AI to enhance productivity, streamline operations, strengthen customer engagement, and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
The SMEConnect webinar will feature experts, including Temitope Odude, Senior AI Solutions Architect at Microsoft as a guest speaker. Odude will provide credible and globally relevant perspectives on how SMEs can successfully adopt and integrate AI into their everyday business operations. Other speakers include Abednego Ugwueke, Head of Digital Channels and Ibidun Adedewe, Head of SME Acquisition & Partnerships at FirstBank.
Speaking ahead of the event, Chuma Ezirim, Group Executive, e-Business and Retail Products at FirstBank, said “SMEs are the backbone of the Nigerian economy, and at FirstBank, we recognise that the economy cannot thrive without them. As a committed growth partner to SMEs, this session reinforces our strong focus on innovation, demonstrated through initiatives such as the use of AI‑enabled credit scoring to deliver fast, instant loans to micro‑SMEs, with over ₦1 trillion disbursed to support customers’ financial needs. Building on this foundation, we are equipping business owners with the right knowledge and practical insights on Artificial Intelligence to help them scale in the short term and drive sustainable growth. I encourage every business owner to participate in this session to gain hands‑on guidance on integrating AI into everyday business operations.”
SME owners and entrepreneurs can register for the webinar at https://firstbanknigeria.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_cUr1LhWFQXymTqWtONOOVg
SMEConnect Webinar series is one of FirstBank’s signature platforms for supporting SMEs with practical knowledge and strategic insights. The Bank has consistently won awards for impacting businesses and for providing innovative solutions for customers and other stakeholders, including SMEs.
The Bank was named Best SME Bank in Nigeria and Best SME Bank in Africa by TAB Global Excellence in Retail Finance Awards for 2 years as at 2025. The Bank also won the SME Financier of the Year- Nigeria awarded by The Digital Banker.
EvaluatePR to Explore “PR After the Algorithm: Trust, Truth & Intelligence in 2026
P+ Measurement Services, Nigeria’s leading independent media intelligence and PR measurement agency, will host the 31st edition of its flagship thought-leadership platform, EvaluatePR, on Friday, March 27, 2026, at 12:00 p.m. (WAT).
Themed “PR After the Algorithm: Trust, Truth & Intelligence in 2026,” this virtual session will convene professionals across public relations, communications, and media measurement to explore how algorithms, artificial intelligence, and digital ecosystems are reshaping reputation management, media influence, and audience trust.
With the increasing role of automation in communications, the event will challenge professionals to rethink how credibility is built and sustained in a fast-evolving digital landscape, while emphasizing the need for transparency, ethical measurement, and strategic intelligence.
The session will feature a distinguished lineup of speakers representing diverse expertise across global communications, media intelligence, and analytics: Felicia Nugroho – Director, Analytics & Insights, Maverick Indonesia / Chair, Asia Pacific & International Board Director, AMEC; Cyrille Djami – Founder & Publisher, CommsOfAfrica; Strategic Communications, Editorial and Influence Consultant; Amrita Sidhu – Managing Director, Medianet / Director & Board Representative, AsiaNet / Board Member, AMEC; and Satira Osemudiamen Oreweme – Principal Consultant, Satira Media & Public Relations Limited.
Together, they will lead insightful discussions on how communicators can navigate the intersection of technology and trust, maintain authenticity in automated environments, and leverage data-driven intelligence to deliver meaningful communication outcomes.
Participation in the session is free, with access available via the official registration link:
https://bit.ly/4stWjUh
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