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Tinubu’s Two Trips, One Question: What’s Really Happening in Brazil?

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Tinubu’s Two Trips, One Question: What’s Really Happening in Brazil?

By George Omagbemi Sylvester | saharaweeklyng.com

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s two recent visits to Brazil within roughly two months have set off a political and economic firestorm in Nigeria. To supporters the excursions are hard-nosed “ECONOMIC DIPLOMACY”; to critics they are ostentatious displays of presidential jet-setting while Nigeria grapples with inflation, insecurity and service collapse. The more useful question isn’t optics alone, it is this: what is really happening in Brazil that makes it a magnet for Tinubu’s attention and what can (or will) Nigeria realistically extract from that attraction?

Tinubu’s Two Trips, One Question: What’s Really Happening in Brazil?
By George Omagbemi Sylvester | saharaweeklyng.com

Short answer: Brazil under President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is consciously retooling itself as a pivot of Global South cooperation an agribusiness and energy powerhouse with manufacturing niches (notably aerospace through Embraer) and it is actively courting African partners. For a RESOURCE-RICH but UNDER-INVESTED Nigeria, that posture offers both opportunity and danger. The opportunities are concrete; the danger is that headline diplomacy outpaces implementation.

Brazil’s strategic posture in 2025: rebuilding influence and industrial reach.

Since returning to office, President Lula has driven a foreign-policy agenda that emphasises South–South cooperation: deeper ties with Africa, stronger engagement inside BRICS and an overt push to translate Brazil’s agricultural, industrial and energy strengths into exportable partnerships. This is not mere rhetoric. Brasília has hosted Brazil–Africa dialogues on food security and rural development and Lula has publicly framed agricultural technology as a way to “REPAY” historical ties with Africa, offering technology transfer rather than charity. That strategic posture made Brazil a logical and attractive partner for Nigeria at precisely the moment Tinubu sought high-level, visible wins.
Serviços e Informações do Brasil
Agência Brasil.

Concretely, Brazil’s economy is still a heavyweight in Latin America. Multilateral assessments show Brazil’s growth has been robust in recent years but faces moderation and structural headwinds in 2025 (inflationary pressures, tighter monetary policy and risks from a more uncertain global trade environment. In short: Brazil is powerful, but prudent) keen to export expertise and investment, yet protective about where and how it places capital. International institutions such as the IMF and OECD have warned that Brazil’s growth will moderate in 2025/26 even as it retains significant capacity for outward investment and technology transfer.

What Tinubu found (and loudly promised): MoUs, aviation links and Petrobras talk.
Tinubu’s state visit produced tangible announcements: a package of memoranda of understanding spanning trade, energy, aviation, science and finance; Brazil-backed commitments to expanded aviation links (Embraer interest and an Air Peace Lagos–São Paulo route); and a highly publicised promise that Petrobras could be encouraged to resume operations in Nigeria. Lula welcomed stronger NIGERIA–BRAZIL ties and spoke of productive integration and shared opportunity; messaging tailor-made for a Nigerian presidency hungry for wins. But the key fact remains that the most headline-grabbing claim (Petrobras’s return) was framed as political encouragement, not an executed, binding corporate contract. Petrobras itself declined to comment publicly at the time.

Why the Petrobras line matters and why caution is required.
The possibility of Brazil’s Petrobras returning to Nigeria is catalytic in political rhetoric: it conjures jobs, technology transfer and a revival of deepwater investment. For a president who must demonstrate immediate economic traction, a Petrobras comeback is a potent symbol. Yet corporate returns are not switched on by presidential handshakes alone. Oil majors and national companies weight decisions on political risk, contractual clarity, regulatory stability, local content rules and security conditions. Tinubu and Lula can unlock conversations and remove diplomatic friction, but they cannot singlehandedly compel Petrobras to write cheques. Investors demand signed contracts, due diligence and assurance that host-country institutions can protect multi-year, capital-intensive projects. Sahara, in reporting the exchanges, rightly stressed that discussions were encouraging but that concrete outcomes remain uncertain.

The upside: skill transfer, aviation and agricultural gains are real possibilities.

Not everything is smoke and mirrors. Brazil’s agribusiness model (mechanisation, seed technology, fertiliser logistics and large-scale cattle/ranching systems) is a genuine transfer vector for Nigeria. If Nigerian ministries and private partners secure clear, enforceable agreements with Brazilian firms, the payoff could be large: improved yields, lower food import bills and a nascent export capacity. Similarly, Embraer’s interest in a Nigerian service centre and direct Lagos–São Paulo flights would boost connectivity, reduce aircraft downtime costs and expand business ties. These are realistic, implementable outcomes, but they require contracts, finance and local capacity-building, not merely press releases.

The downside: optics, implementation gaps and the risk of diplomatic theater.
The principal danger is the classic one: diplomacy that substitutes for governance. Nigeria’s fiscal and institutional problems (currency volatility, security liabilities in the Niger Delta and the wider country, regulatory uncertainty) are the very problems that can blunt foreign investment. A pattern of state visits followed by slow or invisible implementation risks turning valuable diplomatic capital into cynical theatre. That’s not hyperbole: history is littered with MoUs that never became projects. The public frustration (“where are the jobs?”) has political consequences and feeds opposition narratives that the presidency is more interested in selfies than service delivery. Sahara and other reporting outlets flagged this gulf between announcement and deliverable.

What Nigerians should demand and what Brazil should ensure.

If these Brazil trips are to be judged a success, both governments must move beyond photo-ops into forensic implementation:

Full transparency on every MoU: precise timelines, financing sources, implementation leads and measurable KPIs. No ministry balkanisation; one coordinating office with public dashboards.

Local-content and jobs clauses: Brazilian firms must be contractually required to hire/train Nigerians, source input locally where feasible and partner with Nigerian firms.

Security and regulatory guarantees: investors need credible enforcement frameworks. Abuja must neutralise political risk and present bankable project templates, especially in oil & gas.

Quarterly public progress reports: diplomatic success is earned in execution, not tweets.

Final verdict: promising, not miraculous.
Tinubu’s double visit to Brazil has put a spotlight on a wider geopolitical shift: Brazil is actively courting African partners and positioning itself as a provider of technology, industrial capacity and diplomatic heft outside the Western axis. For Nigeria this is a golden window, but one that closes fast if Brasília and Abuja do not convert warm words into legally binding, transparent projects that deliver employment and industrial capacity. The visits were not, by themselves, a panacea. They were an opening act. The real test will be in boardrooms, ports, service centres and rural fields and in the hard ledger of jobs and factories that Nigerians can see.

If President Tinubu was seeking a story of strategic outreach, he got it. If he was seeking instant, deliverable transformation, he did not at least not yet. The responsibility now sits squarely with both governments: translate diplomacy into contracts and contracts into visible lives changed. Anything less would be expensive ceremony; everything more would be strategic statecraft.

Tinubu’s Two Trips, One Question: What’s Really Happening in Brazil?
By George Omagbemi Sylvester | saharaweeklyng.com

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Journalists for Good Governance Shines Searchlight on Local Government Administration

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Journalists for Good Governance Shines Searchlight on Local Government Administration

…Calls for Accountability in Nigeria’s Grassroots Governance

 

LAGOS, Nigeria — A civil society coalition known as Journalists for Good Governance(JGG) has intensified public debate on transparency and accountability within Nigeria’s local government system, urging media professionals, civil society actors, and citizens to hold grassroots leaders accountable.

Speaking an event in Lagos recently, the acting chairman of the society, Comrade Bunmi Obarotimi said that despite reforms such as the Supreme Court’s 2024 ruling granting financial autonomy to all 774 Local Government Areas (LGAs), systemic challenges continues to hinder effective service delivery and responsible stewardship of public funds.

“Local governments are the closest tier of government to the people — yet too often they remain the least transparent. Without civic oversight and vibrant media, promises of autonomy ring hollow.” the acting chairman said.

The Journalist for Good Governance emphasised crucial roles that journalists can play in uncovering discrepancies in council spending, flagging poor service delivery, and educating citizens on their rights. Their call comes amid wider efforts by media and civic organisations to bridge accountability gaps. The civil society initiatives had previously launched monitoring campaigns to track local government expenditures and have been quietly advocating for transparency in how public money is deployed.

The leaders of the Journalists for Good Governance (JGG) highlighted the importance of physical assessment and citizens engagement on projects to boost people’s confidence, urging local councils to adopt open data platforms and proactive information dissemination in compliance with the Freedom of Information Act. Experts say the majority of LGAs currently lack operational websites or digital portals, further limiting public scrutiny.

The Journalists for Good Governance initiative aligns with sustained advocacy by civil society groups and governance experts calling for a collective approach to strengthening democratic accountability, and has decided to engage in critical and holistic assessments of how Local Governments is being run and the impact and quality of projects they embark-on and to address deficits in transparency and public trust.
Meanwhile, some state governments have signalled support for improved community engagement. In Lagos State, authorities reiterated a commitment to enhancing community media platforms as vehicles for civic participation and accountability at the grassroots level.

The renewed spotlight on local government administration has reignited public debate over fiscal responsibility and priorities. Controversies such as the widely criticised Adamawa council chairmen’s wives trip to Istanbul — which drew public outrage for perceived misuse of public funds — underscore why watchdog groups say stronger oversight mechanisms are urgently needed at the grassroots.
Citizens and activists have welcomed the journalists’ initiative, calling for sustained media engagement that goes beyond headlines to influence policy and accountability reform.
The civic rights advocates note that real change will require robust legal frameworks, a free press, and empowered communities equipped to demand transparency at every level of governance.
As Journalists for Good Governance mobilises its members, the coming months are likely to see heightened media attention on grassroots administration — from council budgets and service delivery to the enforcement of public information laws and digital transparency initiatives.

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Good Politics Or Just Power? Two Years After The Elections

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Good Politics Or Just Power? Two Years After The Elections

 

Two years after the last general election, Nigerians are justified in asking a direct question: is our democracy stronger today than it was then? Democracy is not measured by how many offices a party controls or how loudly politicians speak. It is measured by integrity, accountability, and the lived experience of the people. Good Politics demands more than victory at the polls; it demands moral leadership and visible progress in the lives of citizens.

The debate over amendments to the Electoral Act should have provided an opportunity to deepen transparency and strengthen public confidence. Instead, hesitation to fully embrace reforms that safeguard credible vote transmission and accountability has fueled doubt. In a nation where electoral credibility remains fragile, any reluctance to reinforce safeguards sends the wrong signal. Good Politics stands firmly for processes that are open, fair, and beyond suspicion.

The party in power commands significant authority across the federation. With control of the presidency, many state governments, a strong presence in the National Assembly, and influence at local levels, there should be no anxiety about reforms that ensure free and fair elections. Confidence in leadership is demonstrated not by dominance, but by a willingness to subject power to scrutiny. Politics rooted in the omoluabi ethos embraces fairness, transparency, and responsibility, even when inconvenient.

This is the standard long associated with Awolowo, whose politics emphasized discipline, social welfare, education, and institutional strength. His vision was not merely about holding office, but about transforming society through principled governance. Good Politics follows that tradition. It rejects manipulation, arrogance, and the concentration of power without accountability. It insists that authority must serve the people, not itself.

Beyond electoral reforms, democracy must deliver tangible relief. Across the country, households struggle with rising prices and shrinking purchasing power. Small businesses are burdened by escalating costs. Young people search for opportunities that remain scarce. When economic hardship deepens, democracy feels abstract. Good Politics recognizes that political legitimacy is reinforced when citizens can see and feel the benefits of governance.

The concentration of power within a single political structure should translate into coordinated reform and measurable development. When it does not, questions naturally arise. Democracy weakens when dominance replaces performance. It weakens when loyalty to party eclipses loyalty to principle. The omoluabi tradition teaches that character defines leadership. Without character, authority becomes hollow.

A healthy democracy requires credible elections and compassionate governance. It requires leaders who understand that politics is a moral enterprise. Two years into this administration, many Nigerians remain uncertain about the direction of both our democratic processes and their daily welfare. If democracy is to endure, it must reflect Good Politics: fairness in competition, integrity in conduct, and compassion in governance. Anything less falls short of the standard that our history and our values demand.

 

 

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GEN CHRISTOPHER GWABIN MUSA SUPPORT INITIATIVE COMMENDS STATE-FEDERAL COLLABORATION IN ZAMFARA

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GEN CHRISTOPHER GWABIN MUSA SUPPORT INITIATIVE COMMENDS STATE-FEDERAL COLLABORATION IN ZAMFARA

 

The Gen Christopher Gwabin Musa Support Initiative (GCGMSI) has commended the Zamfara State Government for its decisive contribution to security operations through the donation of newly acquired armoured personnel carriers (APCs), surveillance drones, and other critical operational equipment to troops and security agencies in the state.

 

This commendation was contained in a statement signed by the Convener of the GCGMSI, Ibrahim Dahiru Danfulani, Sadaukin Garkuwan Keffi/Betara Biu, and made available to the press.

 

The equipment was formally commissioned on Wednesday, February 18, by the Grand Patron of the GCGMSI and Minister of Defence, General Christopher Gwabin Musa, OFR (rtd.), in a ceremony at the Government House, Gusau. The event was attended by senior military officers, heads of security agencies, and top officials of the Zamfara State Government.

 

The GCGMSI, in its statement, hailed the donation as a “transformative and timely intervention” that aligns perfectly with its core objective of advocating for and supporting tangible measures that enhance the operational capacity and welfare of Nigeria’s security forces. The Initiative praised Governor Dauda Lawal’s administration for moving beyond rhetoric to actionable, material support, describing the move as a “blueprint for state-level collaboration in national security.”

 

“The provision of these assets by the Zamfara State Government is a testament to visionary leadership and a profound commitment to the peace and stability of its people,” the GCGMSI statement read. “It represents the exact kind of synergistic partnership between state and federal authorities that the GCGMSI champions. This initiative will significantly close operational gaps, boost the confidence of our gallant troops, and send a strong message to criminal elements.”

 

Speaking at the commissioning, General Musa emphasized that sustained collaboration is indispensable in confronting the nation’s evolving security challenges. He specifically commended Governor Lawal for his proactive support.

 

“Governor Dauda Lawal has demonstrated exemplary leadership and an unwavering dedication to the security of Zamfara State,” the Defence Minister stated. “The provision of these armoured vehicles, surveillance drones, and other operational equipment will undoubtedly boost the morale and operational effectiveness of our troops and other security agencies on the ground. This is a commendable effort that should be emulated by others.”

 

The newly commissioned assets, which include multiple APCs and advanced surveillance drones, are expected to dramatically enhance the mobility, protection, intelligence-gathering, and rapid response capabilities of security forces, particularly in the state’s remote and difficult terrains where anti-banditry operations are ongoing.

 

In his remarks, Governor Lawal reiterated his administration’s steadfast commitment to being a reliable partner in the security architecture. He urged security agencies to deploy the new resources responsibly and effectively to safeguard lives and property.

 

The Federal Government, through the Ministry of Defence, reaffirmed its commitment to continuing and deepening such partnerships with state governments across the nation to strengthen coordination and resource allocation in the collective fight against insecurity.

 

The GCGMSI concluded its statement by urging other state governments to take a cue from Zamfara’s “bold and pragmatic” approach, affirming that such concrete support is vital for achieving lasting peace and security across Nigeria.

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