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Dangote: End of the Road for a Monopolist? By Soji Adekunmbi

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Major currency devaluation in 2023, also caused the Dangote group to record a significant FX loss of N2.7 trillion in 2023 as the company faces a mismatch between USD denominated debt and domestic revenues. Fitch expects the devaluation to continue at a higher pace in 2024 leading to more losses. The group plans to divest a 12.75% stake in DORC in 2024. The group intends to service its significant syndicated loan maturing in August 2024 from the equity divestment. “However, timely divestment and meeting the imminent maturity is highly uncertain in our view,” Fitch said. Fitch expects DIL’s EBITDA margins in cement production to drop further in 2024 following softer retail demand for cement particularly in the Nigerian market as well as limited ability to pass on increased raw material cost to consumers. Fitch downgraded the National Long-Term Rating to ‘B+(nga)’ from ‘AA(nga)’ and senior unsecured debt rating issued by Dangote Industries Funding Plc to ‘B+(nga)’ from ‘AA(nga)’. Fitch has simultaneously placed the ratings on Rating Watch Negative (RWN). The RWN reflects uncertainty related to the group’s ability to refinance maturing debt. FITCH DOWNGRADES DANGOTE INDUSTRIES RATINGS OVER LIQUIDITY POSITION

Dangote: End of the Road for a Monopolist? By Soji Adekunmbi

 

 

 

 

 

Sahara Weekly Reports That In the last one month, easily one of the most discussed issues in Nigeria is the allegation by the Dangote Refinery accusing the International Oil Companies (IOCs) of frustrating its operations by refusing to sell crude to it.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

In a statement released in July, which later followed up by Alhaji Aliko Dangote himself, the company said the IOCs preferred to sell their crude to Asian countries or ask them to buy from the foreign subsidiaries instead of giving them priority as directed by Nigeria’s upstream regulatory body, the National Upstream Regulatory Commission (NUPRC).

 

 

 

Dangote: End of the Road for a Monopolist? By Soji Adekunmbi

 

 

 

The company said this development would significantly affect the price of its products because to increase because the trading arms offer cargoes at $2 to $4 per barrel, above NUPRC official price.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

“When we entered the market to purchase our crude requirement for August, the international trading arms told us that they had entered their Nigerian cargoes into a Pertamina (the Indonesia National Oil Company) tender, and we had to wait for the tender to conclude to see what is still available”, the company said recently in a statement.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

In addition to the allegation against the IOCs, Dangote and his group have also accused oil marketers of shady business practices such as importation of adulterated diesel.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Naturally, some Nigerians have in a fit of patriotic fervor, lined up behind the Dangote Refinery accusing both the Nigerian government and the NNPC Limited, which, like Dangote, is a business entity operating in the same market, of through a business owned by a Nigerian under the bus.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The picture has been painted of a government not supportive of indigenous investment in the Nigerian oil and gas sector.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

But is this really the case? Is the Federal Government throwing Dangote to the sharks? Is it out to destroy his business as is being alleged by some Nigerians? The truth is, the allegations do not square with the reality on the ground but are largely driven by sentiments.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Before addressing the real issues, let me first of all make a point which discerning Nigerians will admit to be the truth and nothing but the truth. And this is the fact that there is no Nigerian businessman living or dead who has been as mollycoddled or pampered by successive Nigerian governments, as Alhaji Aliko Dangote.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Practically every Federal Government since 1999 regardless of party affiliation has bent over backward to give the Kano born businessman unfair advantage over his competitors in the businesses he runs from the food, confectionery or cement business. He has been given waiver after waiver to the effect that he has literally wiped out competition in these businesses to create virtual monopoly. Businesses like Ibeto Cement and Larfage are some of the businesses whose market share shrunk as a result of the unfair advantage conferred on Dangote by the government. In fact, many Nigeria aver that but for government patronage and support, he would be nowhere the billionaire status that he enjoys today.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Now, to address Dangote’s allegations directly; the first issue to be established is that the oil and gas sector like every other sector of the Nigerian economy has its nuances or peculiarities. Further, before Dangote Refinery came on board, oil marketing had been in existence with a combined investment portfolio of over N3 trillion in the downstream petroleum sector.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The arrival on the scene of the refinery was welcomed by the marketers who saw it as a Nigerian project and they were ready to work with him for the mutual benefit of Nigerians and their businesses.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Early last month the marketers met with Dangote and raised concerns about his business model which was designed to sell fuels directly through the gantry and cut off depots. He acknowledged their worry and assured them that gantry sales commenced due to urgent needs to evacuate stock in order not to stall continuous refining process.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The gantry can load enough to meet daily national consumption (his actual aim and intent) except that roads will be damaged and it cannot be the same as loading from Lagos, Oghara, Koko, Ph, Ifie-Kporo, Mboh, Calabar and other locations where depots are located.

 

At the meeting marketers also mentioned the price disparity between local marketers and foreign traders who get DR’s product cheaper by at least, $50/metric tonne than what is offered local companies and Dangote promised that these would be addressed to the mutual benefits of all and he urged marketers to just come forward with orders; alas! DR reneged and continued as it had been selling.

 

Since the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) 2021 allows imports under certain conditions, marketers proceeded to call his refinery’s bluff and import cheaper AGO! Dangote tried to block this through the Nigerian Midstream Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), the agency regulating Midstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas sector (NMDPRA) but both were reported to President Bola Tinubu who directed a reversal of the regulator’s blockade.

 

There are business entities who toed a similar path when confront with some of the challenges seemingly facing Dangote. In Saudi Arabia, the Saudi government sold Aramco, the national oil company to the public when it faced difficulties.

Even Microsoft founder, Bill Gates sold off majority of his stake in the company retaining a mere five percent interest in the business. Gates took that route after facing anti-trade court cases following Microsoft’s monopolistic nature, which had caused the collapse of several IT companies.

 

Dangote should do the needful by selling shares to Nigerians as it is obvious given the intricate nature of business in the oil and gas sector particularly the huge capital outlay required to keep a business going, he cannot pull it off alone.

 

The writer is an Abuja based public policy analyst.

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First HoldCo Group Companies’ Boards and Management teams visit Dangote Refinery

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First HoldCo Group Companies’ Boards and Management teams visit Dangote Refinery

…All Nigerians will have access to the Refinery’s IPO and be part-owners-Dangote

 

 

Chairman of FirstHoldCo, Femi Otedola, has appealed to the President of Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, to allocate $100 million worth of shares to him in the proposed listing of Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals. He disclosed that he divested his stake in Geregu Power Plc specifically to position himself for investment in the refinery’s initial public offering (IPO), which he described as a transformative industrial platform helping to free Africa from decades of reliance on imported petroleum products.

Otedola made these remarks during a visit by the FirstHoldCo leadership team to the 650,000 barrels-per-day refinery and Dangote Fertiliser Limited in Ibeju Lekki, Lagos, where he commended Dangote for building the world’s largest single-train refinery and accelerating Africa’s industrial transformation.

“He is a genius and one of the greatest men to emerge from Africa. What he has achieved is helping to liberate the continent from economic dependency and import reliance,” Otedola said. “I have visited this refinery more than 25 times, and I have consistently appealed for $100 million worth of shares during the private placement. That informed my decision to sell my stake in Geregu so I can reinvest in the Dangote Petroleum Refinery.”

Otedola also expressed strong confidence in the Group’s planned expansion of refining capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day, noting that Africa’s growing demand for refined petroleum products clearly supports further investment in domestic refining infrastructure.

In his remarks, President of Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, assured that the refinery’s IPO would be broadly inclusive, enabling ordinary Nigerians to become part-owners and benefit from its value creation. He emphasised that the Group is committed to democratising access to investment opportunities by opening participation to retail investors across Nigeria and the African continent.

“We want ordinary Africans to participate in the value being created,” Dangote said. “What companies like Amazon and Apple achieved globally in terms of wealth creation is what we seek to replicate in Africa. We want people to invest, grow with us, and share in the prosperity.”

Dangote further disclosed plans for a proposed East Africa refinery with a projected capacity of 700,000 barrels per day, alongside polypropylene and base oil production facilities. According to him, the project could commence within the next three to four years once construction begins. He noted that the initiative was not originally captured in the Group’s Vision 2030 strategy, underscoring the company’s trajectory toward exceeding its long-term growth targets.

Chief Executive Officer of FirstBank Group, Olusegun Alebiosu, described the refinery as a symbol of vision, courage, and industrial ambition capable of inspiring similar investments across Africa.

“If you see this refinery and realise that an individual conceived and delivered a project of this magnitude, already helping to stabilise energy supply across Africa, you cannot help but be inspired,” Alebiosu said. “We have delegates here from the United Kingdom and several African countries who will return home with renewed commitment to building industries that can transform their economies. It is about building Africa together.”

Dangote also highlighted the Group’s sustained leadership across its core businesses over the past five years, including cement operations in 11 African countries, alongside significant investments in refining, petrochemicals, and fertiliser production. He noted that cement capacity has expanded to 55 million tonnes per annum, supported by the development of clinker export terminals to strengthen regional trade.

“We have built businesses that address Africa’s critical needs and create long-term value for the continent,” Dangote said. “Africa must stop exporting raw materials and importing finished goods. That amounts to exporting jobs and importing poverty.”

He added that investor appetite for the refinery’s listing on the Nigerian Exchange has remained exceptionally strong, with demand for the private placement already exceeding $2 billion.

“There is significant interest in both the IPO and the private placement,” he said. “While we are not able to meet all requests, the strong demand reflects investors’ confidence in the refinery and in Africa’s industrial future.”

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Globacom Marks 21 Years Of Ojude Oba Festival Sponsorship

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Globacom Marks 21 Years Of Ojude Oba Festival Sponsorship

 

 

Nigeria’s leading indigenous digital solutions company, Globacom, has reaffirmed its support for cultural preservation with the announcement of its headline sponsorship of the 2026 Ojude Oba Festival, marking 21 consecutive years of partnership with the people of Ijebuland.

 

Speaking at the festival’s pre-event press conference in Ijebu-Ode, Globacom’s representative, Mr. Olumide Orojimi, described the milestone as a testament to the company’s commitment to promoting culture, unity, and national identity.

 

“This edition represents a defining milestone for us,” he stated. “For twenty-one unbroken years, Globacom has walked this cultural journey with the people of Ijebuland.

“Beyond sponsorship, this partnership symbolises our deep respect for tradition, community, and the enduring spirit of our heritage.

“To commemorate this historic anniversary, we are committed to making this year’s celebration even more colourful, memorable, and impactful for Ijebu sons and daughters across the world.”

He noted that the company’s longstanding collaboration with the festival has helped enhance its profile as a globally recognised cultural and tourism event, adding that culture remains “the invisible architecture of a people’s soul.”

The 2026 edition, themed “Ojude Oba: Celebration of Culture Beyond Borders,” will also honour the legacy of the late Awujale of Ijebuland, Oba Sikiru Kayode Adetona, whose reign significantly shaped the festival’s growth and prominence.
Globacom disclosed that winners in the age-grade competitions will receive cash prizes of ₦750,000, ₦600,000, and ₦500,000 for first, second, and third places respectively. Festival attendees will also have access to a range of Globacom products and devices during the event.

In his remarks, the Coordinator of the Ojude Oba Festival Organising Committee, Chief Fassy Adetokunbo Yusuff, described Globacom as “the Pacesetter in the sponsorship of Ojude Oba” and commended the company for its unwavering support over the past 21 years.

Said he, ” this festival serves as a major catalyst for economic growth and commercial activities throughout Ijebuland, “as he gave kudos to Globacom for raising the bar of the event.

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Refinery Listing Will Democratise Africa’s Industrial Prosperity – Dangote

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Refinery Listing Will Democratise Africa’s Industrial Prosperity – Dangote

… South African investors eye investment opportunities

 

 

President/Chief Executive, Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, has said the planned listing of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals on the Nigerian Exchange is designed to democratise wealth creation and give Africans direct access to participate in the continent’s industrial transformation.

 

 

 

Dangote spoke during the visit of the leadership of South Africa’s Government Employees Pension Fund (GEPF), alongside the Public Investment Corporation and Alterra Capital Partners, to the Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals and Dangote Fertiliser Limited in Lagos. The South African delegation included Chairperson of GEPF, Frans Baleni; Principal Executive Officer of GEPF, Musa Mabesa; Deputy Chairperson of PIC, Mongwena Maluleke; Chief Executive Officer of PIC, Patrick Dlamini; and Managing Partner of Alterra Capital Partners, Genevieve Sangudi.

 

 

 

The visit comes amid rising investor interest in Africa-led industrialisation and long-term infrastructure investments. GEPF is Africa’s largest defined benefit pension fund, managing the retirement and associated benefits of more than 1.8 million public sector workers in South Africa, while PIC is the continent’s largest asset manager.

 

 

 

Speaking on the planned refinery listing, Dangote said Africa’s next phase of economic growth must be anchored on large-scale industrial projects capable of creating jobs, strengthening domestic production capacity and generating broad-based prosperity.

 

 

 

“We are opening the doors for investors to participate directly in Africa’s industrial future and the prosperity it will create,” Dangote said.

 

 

 

According to him, the refinery project reflects the scale of untapped opportunities within Africa’s energy market, particularly as most African countries remain dependent on imported refined petroleum products despite growing industrial demand and rising consumption.

 

 

 

Dangote said the Group’s long-term investment strategy is driven by Africa’s expanding energy needs and the urgent requirement for regional refining capacity capable of serving multiple markets across the continent.

 

 

 

The billionaire industrialist noted that demand for products such as polypropylene, aviation fuel and refined petroleum products has exceeded earlier projections, reinforcing the commercial viability of the refinery and shaping future expansion plans.

 

 

 

“We thought about Nigeria first and then exports, but even with our current production, we are practically living hand to mouth because the market demand is extremely high,” he said.

 

 

 

Speaking after the tour of the Dangote facilities in Ibeju-Lekki, the Chairperson of GEPF, Frans Baleni, said that the refinery stands as evidence that Africa can execute transformational infrastructure projects when backed by visionary leadership, long-term investment and strong technical expertise.

 

 

 

“If it can be done anywhere else in the world, it can be done in Africa,” he said. “This project has shown that the continent is capable of achieving world-class industrialisation at scale.”

 

 

 

Baleni added that the significance of the project extends well beyond Nigeria’s borders. “What has been built here is reshaping how the world should think about African industrial capability — and it should reshape how Africa thinks about itself. For too long, projects of this magnitude have been associated with other parts of the world. The Dangote Refinery and Petrochemicals Complex is a powerful demonstration that, with visionary leadership and long-term capital, that perception no longer holds. This is the kind of African-led industrial scale that institutional investors on this continent should be backing.”

 

 

 

On his part, Chief Executive Officer of PIC, Patrick Dlamini, described the refinery as one of the most transformative industrial projects undertaken on the continent, saying it is reshaping global perceptions about Africa’s industrial capabilities and economic potential.

 

 

 

Quoting former South African President Nelson Mandela, Dlamini said: “It always looks impossible until it’s done. This project is redefining the story of Africa and the possibilities of Africa.”

 

 

 

He said PIC, which manages about $230 billion in assets largely on behalf of South Africa’s Government Employees Pension Fund, is actively seeking long-term partnerships aligned with infrastructure development, industrialisation and economic transformation across Africa.

 

 

 

“PIC’s mandate is to deploy long-term, patient capital in service of industrialisation, infrastructure and economic transformation across Africa,” Dlamini said. “What we have seen today reinforces our conviction that the next chapter of African prosperity will be written through partnership between African institutional capital and African industrial champions. There is real strategic alignment between Dangote’s industrial agenda and how we are positioning our portfolio, and we look forward to exploring meaningful avenues for collaboration.”

 

 

 

According to him, poverty, unemployment and economic exclusion remain major drivers of instability across Africa, making industrialisation and large-scale job creation critical to the continent’s long-term development.

 

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