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Dollar Scarcity Eases as Elumelu Briefs Tinubu on FX Stability

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Dollar Scarcity Eases as Elumelu Briefs Tinubu on FX Stability

By George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by SaharaWeeklyNG 

The Chairman of United Bank for Africa (UBA), Tony Elumelu, has declared that the era of acute dollar scarcity in Nigeria is effectively over, following a high-level meeting with President Bola Ahmed Tinubu in Abuja. According to Elumelu, reforms introduced by the federal government and the monetary authorities have “sorted” the foreign exchange market, restoring liquidity and improving investor confidence.

 

The meeting took place at the Presidential Villa in Abuja, where Elumelu briefed the President on developments within the banking and financial services sector. Speaking to State House correspondents afterward, the UBA chairman said commercial banks are no longer experiencing the severe foreign currency shortages that plagued the system throughout 2023 and early 2024. He attributed the improvement to ongoing policy adjustments and enhanced coordination between fiscal and monetary authorities.

 

The development marks a potentially significant turning point in Nigeria’s macroeconomic management. The country has faced persistent foreign exchange instability since mid-2023, when the government liberalised the naira and dismantled the long-standing multiple exchange rate regime. The policy shift, overseen by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), initially triggered sharp currency depreciation, widened arbitrage opportunities and strained dollar supply channels.

 

Dollar scarcity had profound consequences. Manufacturers struggled to import raw materials, airlines complained of trapped revenues, foreign investors exited local markets, and inflation accelerated as the naira weakened. The crisis was compounded by a backlog of unmet foreign exchange obligations, which the CBN later confirmed ran into several billions of dollars.

 

Elumelu’s remarks suggest that recent measures (such as clearing portions of the FX backlog, tightening banking supervision and increasing transparency in currency trading platforms) are beginning to stabilise the market. Analysts note that the CBN has also introduced reforms aimed at curbing speculative activities and boosting diaspora remittances through formal channels.

 

“The true test of reform is liquidity and confidence,” said Professor Pat Utomi, political economist and founder of the Centre for Values in Leadership, in prior commentary on Nigeria’s economic reforms. “If market participants believe the rules are clear and consistently applied, capital will respond.” Elumelu’s optimism appears to align with that perspective, indicating that domestic banks are now able to meet legitimate foreign currency demands more efficiently.

 

However, economists urge caution. Dr. Bismarck Rewane, Managing Director of Financial Derivatives Company, has consistently argued that exchange rate stability requires sustained inflows, not episodic interventions. “Stability is not achieved by pronouncement,” he noted in a recent economic briefing. “It comes from productivity, exports, and credible monetary discipline.”

 

Indeed, while official channels may show improved liquidity, structural vulnerabilities remain. Nigeria’s foreign reserves fluctuate in response to oil price volatility, and crude oil production levels (long below OPEC quotas due to theft and infrastructure challenges) continue to influence dollar inflows. Without significant diversification of export earnings, experts warn that gains could prove fragile.

 

The government’s broader reform agenda also plays a central role. President Tinubu’s administration has implemented sweeping economic changes since assuming office in May 2023, including the removal of petrol subsidies and the unification of exchange rates. These policies were designed to eliminate distortions and restore fiscal sustainability, but they have also contributed to short-term inflationary pressures and social hardship.

 

In its 2024 Article IV consultation, the International Monetary Fund emphasized that exchange rate reforms must be accompanied by strong social protection measures and credible fiscal consolidation. “A unified and market-determined exchange rate is critical to restoring confidence,” the IMF stated, while urging authorities to protect vulnerable populations from adjustment shocks.

 

Elumelu’s intervention carries weight beyond symbolic reassurance. As one of Africa’s most prominent bankers and a major investor across the continent, his assessment reflects sentiment within Nigeria’s financial elite. If commercial banks indeed have improved access to foreign currency and are meeting corporate demand without severe delays, it suggests operational normalisation within the banking system.

 

Yet market participants will look beyond official optimism to empirical indicators: narrowing spreads between official and parallel exchange rates, declining FX forward premiums, improved foreign portfolio inflows, and rising non-oil export receipts. These metrics will ultimately determine whether the crisis has truly abated.

 

For now, the meeting in Abuja signals a narrative shift from emergency management to cautious stabilization. Whether this transition becomes durable depends on policy consistency, institutional credibility and Nigeria’s capacity to expand its foreign exchange earning base.

 

As economic historian Niall Ferguson has observed, “Confidence is the cheapest and most powerful stimulus.” The Tinubu administration appears to be banking on precisely that: restoring belief in Nigeria’s economic direction. Elumelu’s declaration that the dollar scarcity is over may be a milestone, but the sustainability of that claim will be judged not by words, but by the resilience of the market in the months ahead.

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Time is of the essence,” the group stressed. “Every delay compounds the hardship and weakens faith in the system.”

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Trapped Funds, Fading Trust: Heritage Bank Depositors Demand Urgent CBN Bailout

By Ifeoma Ikem 

 

 

Nearly two years after the collapse of Heritage Bank, thousands of depositors say they are still living with the financial and emotional aftershocks of a liquidation they insist was never meant to end this way. What began as regulatory reassurances has, in their view, spiralled into prolonged uncertainty, partial payments, and mounting hardship, thus prompting a fresh and urgent appeal to President Bola Tinubu and the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Olayemi Cardoso, to intervene decisively.

Trapped Funds, Fading Trust: Heritage Bank Depositors Demand Urgent CBN Bailout

By Ifeoma Ikem 
 

In a strongly-worded statement issued in Lagos, the depositors framed their demand not simply as a financial request but as a test of the country’s commitment to safeguarding public trust in its banking system. They are asking the Central Bank to provide immediate bailout funds to the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC) to enable full reimbursement of all affected customers, arguing that the pace of recovery so far has been painfully slow and grossly inadequate.

 

According to them, while insured deposits up to ₦5 million were covered under statutory provisions, payments beyond that threshold (known as liquidation dividends) have amounted to just 14.2 percent of their total balances in nearly two years. The first tranche of 9.2 percent was paid in April 2024. A second installment of 5 percent followed recently. For many, that has been the extent of relief.

 

At this rate, they argue, the mathematics simply does not inspire confidence.

 

“These are not abstract figures,” one depositor said. “They represent school fees, retirement savings, working capital for small businesses, cooperative funds, and life savings built over decades.” Among those affected, they say, are civil servants, retirees, entrepreneurs, and families whose livelihoods have been upended by the prolonged wait.

 

What deepens their frustration, they contend, is the memory of official assurances given before the bank’s collapse. When signs of distress first emerged, depositors recall that the Central Bank publicly and privately reassured customers that their funds were safe and that the institution remained sound. Those assurances, they say, influenced their decision not to withdraw their savings at the time.

 

The eventual liquidation therefore came as a shock, both financially and psychologically. “We trusted the regulator,” the group noted. “Between the Central Bank and the NDIC, we were told our funds would be repaid 100 percent.”

 

It is that promise, they argue, that must now be honored in full.

 

While acknowledging that the NDIC has begun verification and payment processes, the depositors insist that the agency lacks the financial capacity to conclude the exercise within a reasonable timeframe. They point to the scale of total deposits — estimated at about ₦650 billion — and the fact that only around ₦54 billion has been paid out in 18 months. In their view, that ratio raises serious questions about whether the liquidation process, left solely to asset recovery, can realistically guarantee timely reimbursement.

 

The group also referenced previous instances in which the Central Bank stepped in to stabilize distressed institutions, arguing that regulatory precedent supports intervention. They cited the reported ₦460 billion facility linked to Heritage Bank before its collapse, as well as substantial financial support extended to other banks to facilitate mergers or recapitalization. In one example, they noted, a ₦700 billion support package reportedly enabled a struggling bank to qualify for a merger, with favorable repayment terms that included a five-year moratorium and extended repayment window at below-market interest rates. They also referenced regulatory intervention in Keystone Bank as evidence that decisive action is possible when systemic stability is at stake.

 

Given that history, they say, it is difficult to understand why a direct bailout to protect depositors is not being prioritized.

 

Beyond financial restitution, the depositors are also calling for accountability. They demanded a thorough investigation and immediate prosecution of any individuals or entities found culpable of asset diversion, mismanagement, or actions that may have contributed to the bank’s collapse. To them, justice is as important as compensation.

 

They argue that without visible consequences, public confidence in the banking system could erode further. “The integrity of the financial sector rests not only on liquidity, but on accountability,” one stakeholder said. “If people believe that funds can disappear without consequences, trust collapses.”

 

The broader concern, they warn, is systemic. Nigeria has not witnessed a full commercial bank liquidation in over two decades, as troubled institutions have typically been resolved through mergers, acquisitions, or regulatory restructuring. Many depositors therefore assumed that a similar pathway would apply in this case. Instead, they say, liquidation has exposed gaps in depositor protection mechanisms.

 

They also question the broader insurance framework, noting that banks have paid premiums to the NDIC for years precisely to safeguard depositors. If recovery remains this limited, they argue, the protective purpose of that insurance scheme comes under scrutiny.

 

For small business owners, the implications have been severe. Some report shutting down operations due to frozen capital. Others speak of properties sold under distress or retirement plans abruptly altered. The social cost, they insist, is real and growing.

 

At the heart of their appeal is a request for clarity. They want a clear, binding timeline for completion of the liquidation process and a transparent roadmap outlining how and when full repayment will occur. Without that, they fear that partial dividends will continue indefinitely, eroded by inflation and the time value of money.

 

They have also urged the Presidency and the National Assembly to step in, arguing that the matter transcends a single bank and touches on Nigeria’s financial credibility before the global community. Prolonged uncertainty, they warn, risks signaling regulatory inconsistency at a time when the country seeks to attract investment and deepen financial inclusion.

 

For the depositors, the issue is no longer simply about numbers on a ledger. It is about confidence in regulators, in institutions, and in the promise that money kept within the formal banking system is secure.

 

They believe the Central Bank must now assume full responsibility for resolving what they describe as a crisis of trust. Whether through direct financial support to the NDIC, accelerated asset recovery, or a hybrid intervention model, they insist that swift action is essential.

 

“Time is of the essence,” the group stressed. “Every delay compounds the hardship and weakens faith in the system.”

 

In a nation striving to strengthen its financial architecture and restore economic stability, the resolution of the Heritage Bank liquidation may well become a defining test — not only of regulatory capacity, but of the enduring covenant between citizens and the institutions entrusted with their savings.

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Aig-Imoukhuede Foundation opens applications for 6th Cohort Programme

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Aig-Imoukhuede Foundation opens applications for 6th Cohort Programme

 

The Aig-Imoukhuede Foundation is pleased to announce that applications are now open for the sixth cohort of its transformative AIG Public Leaders Programme (AIG PLP).

This flagship six-month executive education initiative, delivered by the University of Oxford’s Blavatnik School of Government, is designed to empower high-potential public sector leaders across Africa with the tools, networks, and strategic insight required to deliver meaningful reform across African public institutions.

Applications are now open to qualified public servants from all English-speaking African countries and will close on Sunday, April 12, 2026. The programme commences in October 2026.

Since its inception in 2021, the AIG PLP has built a formidable reputation for creating tangible impact.

Alumni from the programme have gone on to design and implement more than 230 reform projects within their ministries, departments, and agencies across Africa.

An impact survey revealed that 62% of alumni have earned promotions or assumed expanded leadership roles post-training, demonstrating the programme’s direct effect on career advancement and institutional influence.

“Across Africa, the complexity of public sector challenges demands more than good intentions. It requires reformers who understand systems, can navigate institutional realities, and are equipped to implement sustainable change.

The AIG PLP is designed to meet this need,” said Ofovwe Aig-Imoukhuede, Executive Vice-Chair of the Aig-Imoukhuede Foundation.

As part of the programme, a PLP alumna, Titilola Vivour-Adeniyi, Executive Secretary of Lagos State DSVA, launched a secure self-reporting tool that allows survivors of domestic and sexual abuse safely document incidents and preserve evidence.

Survivors are already accessing support, and the tool ensures that crucial proof is protected until justice can be sought. This is one of over 230 impactful reform projects being implemented across sectors as diverse as healthcare, finance, agriculture, and education.

We are seeing proof every day that investing in the capacity and leadership potential of people, delivers the kind of transformation that policy alone cannot achieve.”

The AIG PLP is a blended learning experience that combines online sessions with an intensive residential module.

It is offered at no cost to selected participants, with the Foundation covering all costs of the programme including accommodation and feeding during the residential weeks.

Participants gain direct access to world-class faculty from the University of Oxford, and learn to tackle core public sector challenges such as: Negotiating in the public interest. Harnessing digital technology for governance.

Strengthening public organisations.
Upholding integrity in public life.
The curriculum culminates in a capstone reform project, where participants apply their new skills to a real-world challenge within their institution.

This practical component ensures that learning translates directly into actionable solutions.

Interested candidates are encouraged to apply early. For more details on the application process and to apply, please visit the Aig-Imoukhuede Foundation website.

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Renewed Hope Ambassadors Inspect RHA Secretariat

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Renewed Hope Ambassadors Inspect RHA Secretariat

 

Renewed Hope Ambassadors, led by its Director-General and the Governor of Imo State, Hope Uzodinma, alongside Zonal Coordinators (NW, NC, SE), the Media & Publicity Directorate, and other key stakeholders, inspected the RHA Secretariat two days after President Bola Tinubu unveiled the Renewed Hope Ambassadors grassroots engagement drive in Abuja.

 

APC Convention Committee Inspects Secretariat Buildings in Abuja

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