society
Nigeria Under Siege: Insecurity, State Failure and the Dangerous Normalisation of Violence
Nigeria Under Siege: Insecurity, State Failure and the Dangerous Normalisation of Violence.
By George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by SaharaWeeklyNG.com
“When Kidnapping, Bloodshed and Government Indifference Become the New Normal.”
Nigeria today stands at a dangerous crossroads, and one where insecurity has become routine, violence has been normalised and governance appears increasingly detached from the lived realities of its citizens. While the nation is not officially at war, the scale of killings, abductions and economic devastation inflicted by criminal networks rivals that of countries in active conflict. What makes Nigeria’s situation particularly tragic is not only the persistence of violence, but the disturbing sense of resignation with which it is treated by both the state and, increasingly, the public.
According to SBM Intelligence, a leading Nigerian security and risk analysis firm, at least 1,056 Nigerians were killed between July 2023 and June 2024 in kidnapping-related incidents alone. Within the same period, 7,568 people were abducted and kidnappers demanded over ₦10.9 billion in ransom, a significant portion of which was paid by desperate families and communities. In a separate but related report covering July 2024 to June 2025, SBM Intelligence recorded 4,722 abductions, 762 deaths, and ₦2.57 billion actually paid as ransom.
These are not SPECULATIVE FIGURES. They are verified, conservative estimates, the numbers that already paint a horrifying picture of a country under siege by criminal enterprises that operate with alarming confidence and impunity.
A State Losing Its Monopoly on Violence.
The German sociologist Max Weber famously defined the state as an entity that successfully claims the monopoly of the legitimate use of physical force within a given territory. By this classical definition, Nigeria is in profound trouble.
Across vast swathes of the country (particularly in the North-West, North-Central, and parts of the South-East) armed groups now determine who lives, who dies and who moves freely. Highways have become hunting grounds for kidnappers. Rural communities are routinely attacked, their inhabitants displaced or murdered. Schools are shut down, farmlands abandoned and entire local economies destroyed.
Security analyst Dr. Bulama Bukarti has repeatedly warned that Nigeria is facing a crisis of state authority, noting that “when non-state actors can repeatedly challenge the state without consequences, the legitimacy of government itself begins to erode.” This erosion is no longer theoretical; it is visible in daily Nigerian life.
The Ransom Economy: Crime as an Industry.
Perhaps one of the most damning indicators of Nigeria’s security collapse is the emergence of a ransom economy and a parallel criminal industry that thrives because the state cannot protect its citizens.
SBM Intelligence describes kidnapping in Nigeria as “an organised business model”, complete with negotiators, surveillance networks, informants and logistics chains. The billions of naira paid in ransom annually are not abstract numbers; they represent drained life savings, sold properties, ruined futures and families permanently traumatised.
Economist Dr. Muda Yusuf, former Director-General of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, argues that “the cost of insecurity in Nigeria goes beyond ransom payments; it includes lost investments, food inflation, unemployment and declining national productivity.” In effect, insecurity has become a tax on citizenship, one paid disproportionately by the poor and vulnerable.
The Moral Hazard of Amnesty and Appeasement.
Even more troubling than the violence itself is the state’s increasingly ambiguous response to it. In several instances, government officials and traditional authorities have publicly entertained negotiations with armed groups, offering amnesty, rehabilitation, or reintegration in exchange for “repentance.”
While dialogue is not inherently wrong, the moral hazard created by rewarding violent criminality is profound. When killers are pardoned without justice, accountability collapses. When armed men attend negotiations visibly armed while security agencies appear constrained or deferential, the message is unmistakable: the state is no longer feared.
Political scientist Prof. Jibrin Ibrahim has warned that “impunity is the oxygen of insurgency and banditry; once criminals realise there are no consequences, violence becomes self-sustaining.” Nigeria’s experience increasingly validates this grim assessment.
Leadership Optics and Public Anger.
Leadership is not only about policy; it is also about symbolism, timing, and empathy. In the midst of escalating killings and mass abductions, images of political leaders engaging in lavish spending, extensive foreign travel and political maneuvering for future elections have deepened public resentment.
The issue is not travel per se, but perceived indifference. When citizens are burying loved ones and liquidating assets to pay ransom, extravagant governance sends a chilling signal about priorities.
Renowned historian Prof. Toyin Falola has observed that “states collapse not only from external shocks but from the gradual alienation of leaders from the suffering of the people.” Nigeria today appears perilously close to that line.
A Society at Risk of Normalising Horror.
Perhaps the most frightening dimension of Nigeria’s crisis is societal desensitisation. Each new mass abduction, each village attack, each killing cycle generates outrage; for a moment. Then attention shifts. Life continues. Horror becomes routine.
This dangerous psychological adaptation is what philosopher Hannah Arendt described as the “banality of evil” to the point at which abnormal cruelty becomes ordinary through repetition and silence. When citizens begin to accept mass violence as inevitable, the final collapse is no longer sudden; it is gradual and quiet.
The Way Forward: Accountability, Not Excuses.
Nigeria does not lack solutions; it lacks political will. Experts broadly agree on key steps:
– Comprehensive security sector reform.
– Intelligence-driven policing.
– Swift and transparent prosecution of offenders
– Ending ransom payments through coordinated enforcement.
– Addressing poverty and unemployment that fuel criminal recruitment.
As Nobel laureate Wole Soyinka once warned, “The man dies in all who keep silent in the face of tyranny.” Silence (whether from fear, fatigue, or false optimism) is no longer a neutral act in Nigeria.
Final Reflection.
Nigeria is not yet a failed state; but it is a state in severe distress. The continued tolerance of mass insecurity, criminal profiteering, and leadership detachment risks pushing the nation beyond recovery. A society that shrugs at hundreds of deaths and thousands of abductions is not resilient; it is endangered.
History will not ask how many excuses were made. It will ask who acted and who chose comfort over courage.
society
Enough Is Enough”: Elem Kalabari Rises Against Decades of Injustice, Women Stage Peaceful Protest
“Enough Is Enough”: Elem Kalabari Rises Against Decades of Injustice, Women Stage Peaceful Protest
By: Al Humphrey Onyanabo
For decades, Elem Kalabari has borne the burden of Nigeria’s oil wealth without tasting its benefits. Its rivers have carried crude oil to the Atlantic; its land has hosted pipelines, flow stations, and gas facilities; its people have inhaled fumes, watched their waters darken, and their livelihoods collapse.
Yet opportunity, justice, and inclusion have consistently flowed elsewhere. On Monday February 2, 2026, that long-suppressed pain found a powerful voice.
Defying a heavy morning downpour, hundreds of women from Elem Kalabari poured into the Cawthorne Channel 2 Jetty in what many now describe as the “Mother of All Protests.”
It was peaceful, disciplined, and resolute—but unmistakably firm.
This was not noise. It was a declaration. Placards told the story words alone could not fully carry: “We Carry the Burden, They Take the Benefits.”
“Our Sacrifice, Their Gain: When Will Elem-Kalabari See Justice?”
“Local Content Law Violated: Kalabari Demands First Right of Refusal.”At the heart of the protest lies a single, bitter truth: exclusion has become systemic.
A Broken Promise in OML 18
The immediate trigger was the recent award of the OML 18 pipeline security and surveillance contract by NNPC Eighteen Limited to Manton Engineering Limited—a company neither from Elem Kalabari, nor from Rivers State.
To the protesting women, this was not merely an administrative decision. It was another chapter in a long history of betrayal.
Under Nigeria’s Local Content Law and the Petroleum Industry Act, host communities are guaranteed the right of first refusal in contracts directly affecting their territory. Yet this right, the women insist, was ignored.
Even more troubling is the contradiction embedded in the law itself. Section 257(2) of the Petroleum Industry Act places responsibility for sabotage on host communities—yet when it comes to securing their own territory, those same communities are excluded. “How can a people be blamed for insecurity,” one protester asked, “and then denied the right to secure their own land?”
Rivers That Carry Wealth, Communities That Carry Pain
Elem Kalabari is not just another oil-bearing community. It is the export artery of OML 18.
Crude oil from Cawthorne Channels 1, 2, and 3, Awoba, and Krakrama is evacuated exclusively through Elem Kalabari waterways to the Atlantic Ocean. Without these rivers, there would be no barging route—no export. Yet the women revealed a staggering injustice: none of the vessels used in these daily operations belong to Elem Kalabari. None belong to Kalabari people. None even belong to Rivers State. No courtesy visits. No engagement with the Amanyanabo. No sense of obligation to the host community—despite operations generating millions of dollars daily.
“What flows through our waters enriches others,” said a woman leader “But when it comes to opportunity, our people are treated as strangers on their own land.”
Educated Children, Locked-Out Futures
Perhaps the most painful testimony came when the women spoke of their children. Many told stories of sacrifice—years of trading, fishing, and borrowing to send sons and daughters to universities—only for those graduates to return home unemployed, watching companies operate profitably on their ancestral land.
Those fortunate enough to secure employment fared little better.
Workers who had previously been full staff under the former operator, Eroton, were reportedly downgraded to contract staff under NNPC Eighteen Limited. Their pay dropped. Job security vanished.
Working conditions worsened.
In what the women described as the ultimate insult, workers allegedly brought in from Lagos were trained by these local employees—only for the trainees to be offered permanent roles, while the locals remained on contract.“It is not just unfair,” one woman said quietly. “It is humiliating.”
Environmental Destruction, Official Silence
While contracts and jobs disappear, pollution remains. Oil contamination has been reported repeatedly in Mbi-Ama, Moni-Kiri, Portuguese Kiri, and Jacob-Ama—areas affected by constant barging and operational discharge. Marine life has dwindled. Fishing yields have collapsed. Mangroves continue to die.
Reports have been filed. Complaints have been made. Yet regulatory agencies, mandated to investigate and sanction offenders, have taken little or no meaningful action. To the women, this silence feels like complicity. A First-Hand Account of Despair.
A First Encounter with Abandonment
My first visit to Elem Kalabari on 1st January, 2025 remains a haunting reminder of how thoroughly a people can be forgotten in the midst of plenty.
I visited in the company of The Amanyanabo of Elem Kalabari, Da Amakiri Tubo, Alhaji Mujahid Abubarkr Dokubo-Asari, Dabaye Amakiri 1. It was on January 1st 2025, the day after he received the staff of office from Governor Siminalayi Fubara.
What we met was not a community benefiting from decades of oil extraction, but a landscape of utter devastation, neglect, and grinding poverty.
Elem Kalabari was wrapped in darkness—total, suffocating darkness. There was no public electricity, no streetlights, not even basic solar lamps that have become commonplace in remote settlements across the Niger Delta. Night fell early, and with it came an overwhelming sense of isolation, as though the community had been cut off not only from development, but from national consciousness itself.
There were no schools to nurture young minds.
There were no clinics to tend to the sick, the pregnant, or the elderly.
There was no market, no organised economic space, no visible engine of local commerce.
What stood in place of social infrastructure was emptiness—broken structures, abandoned land, and a silence that spoke of long years of disappointment. This was a community sitting at the heart of Nigeria’s oil wealth, yet living as though the nation’s prosperity flowed around it, never through it.
It became painfully clear that the oil companies operating in and around Elem Kalabari had taken the people for granted for far too long. Their pipelines crisscross the land, their barges dominate the waterways, their wealth moves daily through Kalabari rivers—yet the human beings who bear the environmental cost have been left with nothing to show for it.
That visit stripped away any illusion. It revealed a truth the women of Elem Kalabari now proclaim with courage and clarity: neglect has become policy, and exclusion has been normalised. What we saw was not underdevelopment by accident, but abandonment by design.
And today, the people—especially the women—are saying with one voice: enough is enough.
At night sitting on the jetty, surrounded by mosquitoes in search of cellular network, I saw across the sea, vessels loading crude oil, I watched as others left. I saw the gas flares… It was a sight.
A Line Drawn in the Sand
The women have vowed to sustain their protest until justice is done. They have warned that if ignored, they will escalate actions, including shutting down operations at the flow station.
For Elem Kalabari, this moment marks a turning point.
After decades of neglect, the people are no longer whispering their pain. They are standing, together, and saying clearly—to government, to corporations, and to the nation:
Enough is enough.
There needs no telling. This is the first of many protests that will happen. The people have their backs to the wall and can’t take it no more. I can’t blame them, they have suffered for too long.
By: Al Humphrey Onyanabo,
The PEN
Tel: 08109975621
Email: [email protected]
Tension in the Skies: U.S. Fighter Jet Shoots Down Iranian Drone in Arabian Sea
By George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by saharaweeklyng.com
“An In-Depth Examination of the Strategic Clash, Its Regional Context, and What This Means for Middle East Stability.”
In a dramatic escalation that reverberates across the volatile geopolitical landscape of the Middle East, a United States fighter jet has intercepted and destroyed an Iranian military drone that was approaching the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea. The event has once again thrust U.S.–Iran tensions into the global spotlight, revealing both the raw edges of strategic competition and the profound risks inherent in the world’s most sensitive maritime corridors.
According to the U.S. military’s Central Command, the unmanned aerial vehicle in question was a Shahed-139 drone, a type of Iranian reconnaissance and attack drone that has been increasingly deployed by Tehran in recent years. The drone’s flight toward the warship was described as aggressive and of unclear intent, prompting a U.S. F-35C fighter jet (embarked on the Abraham Lincoln) to engage and destroy it in self-defense. No U.S. personnel were harmed and no equipment was damaged during the encounter.
The Strategic Backdrop: A Region on Edge.
The Arabian Sea, situated between the Gulf of Oman and the broader Indian Ocean, has become a flashpoint in recent months as geopolitical tensions between Washington and Tehran have surged. The United States, under the current administration, has deployed significant naval and aerial assets to the region in response to a series of provocations and concerns over Iran’s nuclear ambitions and domestic repression. The Abraham Lincoln and its strike group represent the most visible component of that buildup, intended officially to deter hostile actions and protect sea lanes that carry a significant proportion of the world’s energy supply.
For Iran, the deployment of drones and asymmetric naval forces; such as swift patrol boats operated by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), which serves as a strategic counterweight to U.S. military superiority. Drones like the Shahed-139 can operate at long ranges, surveil maritime traffic and potentially be armed, making them an appealing tool for Iran to project power in international waters while avoiding overt escalation.
A Sequence of Confrontations.
The shootdown did not occur in isolation. Hours earlier, the U.S. military reported that IRGC forces harassed the U.S.-flagged merchant vessel M/V Stena Imperative in the narrow Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint through which a large percentage of global oil shipments pass. Two fast patrol boats and an Iranian Mohajer drone approached the tanker at high speed and appeared to threaten boarding or seizure, forcing the guided-missile destroyer USS McFaul and accompanying air support to intervene and ensure the ship’s safe passage.
This sequence of collisions (drones heading toward a major capital warship and smaller Iranian craft closing in on a civilian vessel) underscores just how easily miscalculation could spiral into open conflict. It evokes broader questions about freedom of navigation, the security of international waters, and the rules governing naval and aerial encounters among adversaries.
Voices From the Frontlines of Policy and Strategy.
To add intellectual weight to the analysis of this incident, it is essential to consider the interpretations of respected scholars and security experts who have long studied U.S.–Iran strategic dynamics.
Dr. Karim Sadjadpour, a senior fellow at a leading international policy think tank, argues that “the interception of this Iranian drone highlights the growing role of unmanned systems in strategic deterrence. Iran views these systems as force multipliers that allow it to contest superior naval forces at a lower threshold of direct conflict. However, this calculus is fraught with danger because it creates ambiguity about intent that can easily be misread under high tension.”
Echoing this concern, Professor Emma Sky, an expert in Middle Eastern security affairs, says, “What we are witnessing is not simply a tactical engagement; it is a symptom of deeper structural tensions. The United States and Iran are locked in a cycle where military posturing and strategic signaling substitute for diplomacy. Without clear communication channels and trusted negotiation frameworks, these kinds of encounters risk igniting a broader confrontation that neither side truly wants.”
These perspectives underscore that the shootdown is far more than a momentary flashpoint. it is a window into a broader strategic rivalry with implications for regional peace, global trade and international law.
Historical Context and the Legacy of Miscalculations.
The specter of past incidents looms large over contemporary events. History offers sobering reminders of how aerial and naval engagements can escalate with devastating consequences. One of the most infamous examples was the downing of Iran Air Flight 655 in 1988, when a U.S. Navy warship mistakenly shot down a civilian airliner over the Strait of Hormuz, killing all passengers and crew. That tragedy has remained a touchstone in U.S.–Iran relations and continues to inform how both sides view rules of engagement and the risks of misidentification in crowded maritime airspace.
More recently, in 2019, Iran shot down a U.S. surveillance drone over the Strait of Hormuz, claiming it had violated Iranian airspace, a claim rejected by Washington. That event brought the two nations to the brink of retaliatory strikes before cooler heads prevailed.
These historical precedents frame the latest shootdown as not merely an isolated act of defense, but part of an enduring pattern of shadow boxing between two powerful adversaries whose missteps can have outsized consequences.
Diplomacy Amidst Tension: Negotiations Continue.
Despite the military flare-ups, diplomatic currents are still flowing. Officials from both countries have indicated that negotiations remain scheduled, with discussions focusing principally on nuclear issues and broader security concerns. Tehran has proposed shifting the venue of talks to Oman and emphasizing bilateral rather than multilateral engagement. Washington, for its part, has maintained that diplomacy is preferable to conflict but that it reserves the right to act in defense of its forces and interests.
Ali Larijani, a senior Iranian statesman, recently commented that “Iran desires peace and stability, especially in our region. But peace must be rooted in fairness, respect for sovereign rights, and a mutual recognition of security concerns.” At the same time, U.S. officials have reiterated that freedom of navigation and the protection of commercial shipping are non-negotiable principles of international order.
What This Means for Regional Stability.
The implications of this shootdown extend well beyond a single drone or a single aircraft carrier. It underscores the delicate balance of power in the Middle East, where strategic competition between the United States and Iran plays out not only in boardrooms and negotiation halls, but in the skies and seas that connect continents.
For regional actors, from Gulf states to North African capitals, these events reinforce the urgency of diversified security frameworks that reduce reliance on unilateral military actions and encourage collective approaches to maritime safety. For global actors concerned about energy markets, commerce, and geopolitical stability, the incident is a stark reminder that conflict in this part of the world can have ripple effects far beyond its shores.
Summative
The downing of an Iranian drone by a U.S. fighter jet near the USS Abraham Lincoln is far more than a tactical military engagement, it is a stark symbol of the entrenched tensions between Washington and Tehran, and a testament to how easily localized confrontations can escalate into broader strategic crises. While diplomacy persists, the fragile equilibrium that holds the Middle East together is under test. As scholars and policymakers continue to debate pathways toward peace, one truth remains clear: without sustained dialogue, mutual restraint, and robust mechanisms to manage friction, such episodes will continue to shape the future of international security with unpredictable consequences.
Malam Olawale Rasheed marks his birthday celebration in grand manner
…A truly resourceful man
~By Oluwaseun Fabiyi
Oluwaseun Fabiyi, a Lagos-based journalist and publisher of BethNews Media International Magazine, celebrates the birthday of Mallam Olawale Rasheed, official spokesperson for Governor Ademola Adeleke
On the occasion of his birthday, Mallam Olawale Rasheed was praised by award-winning publisher Oluwaseun Fabiyi for his outstanding qualities
In a statement released on February 2, 2026, Oluwaseun Fabiyi lauded Mallam Olawale Rasheed as a visionary leader whose impact will endure over time. The statement read: ‘Today marks a celebration of your life and the lasting influence you’ve imprinted. As a skilled spokesperson for the Osun State governor and a driving force in community development through media, your exceptional leadership has empowered the growth of numerous individuals, including ourselves, in Osun State.’
Your trailblazing spirit and commitment to excellence inspire the young minds of our era, shining brightly like a guiding star. With leadership expertise honed through diverse experiences both abroad and in Nigeria, you embody resilience, ingenuity, and a steadfast commitment to achieving remarkable growth.Your determination and resilience have inspired us all, transforming obstacles into opportunities and turning your vision into reality, thereby enriching our shared experiences; we are grateful for the privilege of celebrating your achievements.
In celebration of your prudent leadership and the divine guidance you receive, may your forthcoming days be marked by triumph and rapid progress.With humility and brilliance defining your architectural masterpieces, you set a high standard for excellence. May your birthday be a celebration of past successes and a precursor to even greater accomplishments, guided by divine wisdom and filled with peace. Wishing you many happy returns Sir!
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