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Tinubu’s 2027 Defeat Is Inevitable; Even INEC Cannot Rescue a Failed Regime

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Tinubu's 2027 Defeat Is Inevitable; Even INEC Cannot Rescue a Failed Regime. George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by SaharaWeeklyNG.com

Tinubu’s 2027 Defeat Is Inevitable; Even INEC Cannot Rescue a Failed Regime.

George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by SaharaWeeklyNG.com

 

Politics aside, the truth must be told without sugarcoating: President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s chances of securing a second term in 2027 are not just slim; they are virtually non-existent. Even with the support of a compromised Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and the intimidation tactics that have become hallmarks of his administration, the Nigerian people have grown weary of a regime marked by hardship, economic mismanagement, insecurity and an outright disconnect from the suffering of the average citizen. Nigeria under Tinubu has become a theatre of chaos and no amount of political gymnastics or propaganda can whitewash the truth: NIGERIANS ARE FED UP.

Tinubu's 2027 Defeat Is Inevitable; Even INEC Cannot Rescue a Failed Regime.
George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by SaharaWeeklyNG.com

The Popularity Myth Has COLLAPSED. When Tinubu ascended the presidency in May 2023, he did so on the back of a controversial election riddled with irregularities. From late results transmission to the suppression of voters in opposition strongholds, the 2023 polls marked one of the most contentious electoral cycles since Nigeria’s return to democracy in 1999. Despite his victory, Tinubu has struggled to win the hearts of Nigerians. A 2024 Africa Polling Institute (API) survey revealed that over 76% of Nigerians disapprove of Tinubu’s performance, citing worsening economic hardship, insecurity and corruption.

Political analyst Jide Ojo put it bluntly in a Channels TV interview: “The legitimacy deficit is real. Tinubu has failed to govern in a way that wins public trust. His popularity is only on paper and within his shrinking political circle.”

IF POPULARITY IS A CURRENCY IN ELECTORAL POLITICS, THEN TINUBU IS BANKRUPT.

Economic Woes. The Breaking Point for Nigerians. The most glaring indictment of the Tinubu administration is its catastrophic handling of the Nigerian economy. From the abrupt REMOVAL of FUEL SUBSIDY without a comprehensive safety net, to the FREE-FLOATING of the NAIRA that triggered HYPERINFLATION, Tinubu’s policies have inflicted unbearable hardship on citizens.

As of mid-2025, inflation stands at 33.5%, food inflation has soared to 40.2%, and the naira continues its downward spiral, trading at over ₦1,700/$1. The removal of fuel subsidy, described by Tinubu as a “NECESSARY SACRIFICE,” has only benefitted oil marketers and rent-seeking politicians, while the masses endure endless queues, transportation nightmares and skyrocketing food prices.

In the words of Nigerian economist Bismarck Rewane: “There is no coherent economic philosophy guiding this administration. Policies are reactive not proactive. Tinubu’s approach has compounded the problem he claimed to solve.”

The average Nigerian is tired of empty promises. Tinubu’s slogan of “Renewed Hope” has turned into “Renewed Hunger.” When hunger walks into a room, no amount of ethnic sentiment or party loyalty can silence it’s cry.

Insecurity. The Phantom Commander-in-Chief. Tinubu promised to tackle insecurity head-on. Two years in, the reverse is the case. Banditry has escalated in the North-West, terrorism still thrives in the North-East, IPOB activities persist in the South-East and kidnappings have become a nationwide epidemic. From Borno to Benue, Zamfara to Enugu, the blood of innocent Nigerians continues to stain the soil daily.

In March 2025 alone, over 1,204 abductions were recorded and 221 people were killed by non-state actors across the country (SBM Intelligence). The government’s response? Recycled military operations and press statements devoid of action.

Security expert, Kabir Adamu, told Arise News: “We are seeing a government that is not only reactive but also shockingly silent on key security threats. Tinubu appears absent, aloof or unconcerned.”

The Nigerian people can no longer tolerate a president who cannot guarantee their basic right to life.

Tinubu's 2027 Defeat Is Inevitable; Even INEC Cannot Rescue a Failed Regime.
George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by SaharaWeeklyNG.com

Disconnection from the People. What is perhaps most galling is the aloofness and arrogance of the Tinubu administration. From excessive foreign trips (over 21 in two years) to the extravagant ₦10 billion solar panel installation at Aso Rock, Nigerians are left wondering: Is this president living in the same country as the rest of us?

The hardship on the streets contrasts sharply with the luxury in the corridors of power. Civil servants are owed salaries, university students are frustrated by strikes and hospitals are crumbling; yet Tinubu’s government continues to behave like a monarchy, prioritising vanity projects over people-centered governance.

Ayo Sogunro, a legal scholar and activist, captured it perfectly: “A government that does not feel the pulse of its people is not a democracy, it’s a glorified dictatorship.”

The End of Godfatherism. Tinubu’s political brand has long relied on his image as a kingmaker, a political strategist who pulls strings from behind the scenes. But in 2027, godfatherism will not be enough. The people are angry and that anger will translate into VOTES, PROTESTS or BOTH.

Peter Obi’s 2023 performance, despite massive sabotage, showed that a new political awakening has begun among NIGERIANS especially the YOUTH. With social media becoming a digital battleground and civic consciousness on the rise, Tinubu’s old playbook of political manipulation is quickly becoming obsolete.

The 2023 elections may have been rigged, but the 2027 election will be a referendum on suffering, not structure.

INEC: A Compromised Umpire? INEC’s credibility is at an all-time low. The failure of the 2023 elections (especially the inability to electronically transmit results as promised) has tainted its image. Nigerians no longer believe INEC is impartial and any attempt to repeat the same in 2027 could lead to unprecedented chaos.

INEC Chairman, Mahmood Yakubu, has already been under intense criticism with civil society groups calling for his resignation. Even foreign observers from the European Union and the U.S. Department of State have criticized the 2023 elections as deeply flawed.

It is highly unlikely that INEC will be able to manipulate public sentiment the same way again. Not when the nation is boiling with frustration.

2027: A Political Earthquake Looms. If Tinubu dares to contest again in 2027, the backlash will be seismic. The opposition is already re-aligning, and even within the APC, there are cracks forming. Disgruntled governors, sidelined northern politicians and betrayed political allies are beginning to distance themselves from the failed regime.

In the North, where Tinubu initially gained support through the help of certain elite blocs, disillusionment has set in. The Middle Belt has turned against him. The South-East was never with him. Even the South-West (his supposed stronghold) is groaning under the weight of discontent.

Professor Usman Yusuf, former NHIS Executive Secretary, summed it up on national TV: “Even if you gift Tinubu a second term, he won’t be able to govern. The nation is rejecting him. The APC has become a symbol of betrayal.”

Endnote: A Government on Borrowed Time. No matter how many billions Tinubu throws at propaganda, no matter how many traditional rulers he bribes, no matter how many press statements are released by sycophants in the corridors of power, one truth remains unshakable: NIGERIANS ARE DONE WITH THIS ADMINISTRATION.

Tinubu has failed, not because of sabotage or international conspiracies; but because of his own incompetence, arrogance and refusal to connect with the realities of the people he was elected to serve.

2027 will not be about party LOYALTY. It will not be about TRIBALISM. It will be about SURVIVAL. For millions of Nigerians, survival means rejecting the very regime that has plunged them into misery.

INEC cannot rescue a failed presidency. The people are watching. The streets are restless. The countdown to rejection has already begun.

By George Omagbemi Sylvester
Published by SaharaWeeklyNG.com

Politics

Oyo 2027: Ajadi Says PDP Will Retain Power

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Oyo 2027: Ajadi Says PDP Will Retain Power

…..Tasks PMS To Remain United, Peaceful

 

A leading People’s Democratic Party (PDP) governorship aspirant in Oyo State, Ambassador Olufemi Ajadi Oguntoyinbo, has urged the people of Oyo State to remain steadfast, saying they will continue to enjoy good governance because the PDP will produce the next governor in the 2027 general elections.

 

 

 

Ajadi, who made this known while addressing transport unions under the Park Management System (PMS) at their headquarters, New Garage, Ibadan, on Tuesday, urged the park managers to remain united and maintain the love and peace currently prevalent among them.

 

 

 

According to him, “My advice to the Park Managers and the commercial drivers in Oyo State is that they should continue the love and peaceful attitudes. They should remain united. They should not ‘scattelegs’.

 

 

 

“Don’t let anybody deceive you, remain steadfast. Let me assure you that our party, the PDP, will produce the next governor come 2027,” Ajadi said.

 

 

 

He said he came to the PMS headquarters to meet with transporters and park managers to inform them of his aspiration to serve the people of Oyo State as governor come 2027.

 

 

 

“Today I joined my people, the park managers in Oyo State, to familiarize myself with them and inform them of my intention to serve the people of Oyo State as the next governor by the Grace of God.”

 

 

 

On the plans for the transporters, Ajadi said he first wants to change the look of the City Cabs, which will be done in collaboration with the Park Management System.

 

 

 

He also plans to increase the number of Mass Transit buses and make them available in all locations of the State.

 

 

 

He said the Mass Transit buses will operate in partnership with the Park Managers.

 

 

 

Ajadi, who commended Governor Makinde on the newly established bus terminals in the State, said his government will ensure adequate usage of the facilities.age of the facilities.

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Why Ifako-Ijaiye’s Voice Is Louder At The Lagos Assembly: The Jah Factor

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Why Ifako-Ijaiye’s Voice Is Louder At The Lagos Assembly: The Jah Factor

By Ibukun Simon

In legislative politics, not all representatives are created equal. Some merely occupy seats; others shape conversations, influence outcomes, and leave visible footprints in the lives of their people. Since 2019, Ifako-Ijaiye Constituency I has belonged firmly to the latter category, thanks to the emergence of Hon. Adewale Temitope Adedeji, fondly known as JAH, as its representative in the Lagos State House of Assembly.

As a journalist who has covered proceedings of the Lagos Assembly consistently since 2015, I have witnessed first-hand how representation can either fade into the normal routine or rise into relevance. The entry of Hon. Adedeji into the Assembly marked a clear turning point—not only for Ifako-Ijaiye, but for the quality of debate, advocacy, and people-focused legislation within the House.

On the floor of the Assembly, Hon. Adedeji stands out as one of the lawmakers journalists naturally gravitate towards. His interventions during plenary sessions are deliberate, articulate, and deeply rooted in public interest and knowledge. In the 40-member House, he is widely regarded as one of the top five lawmakers whose contributions command attention, not because of theatrics, but due to his clarity of thought, persuasive delivery, and uncommon mastery of issues. When JAH speaks, the chamber listens—and the press takes notes.

This strength of presence is crucial in a legislative environment where influence matters. In parliamentary practice, experience translates to authority. The Lagos State House of Assembly, like many legislatures, places significant weight on ranking members—lawmakers whose sustained service enhances their ability to push motions, influence committee outcomes, and attract development to their constituencies. Returning Hon. Adedeji to the House in 2027 would therefore mean strengthening Ifako-Ijaiye’s bargaining power and ensuring its concerns are not just heard, but prioritized.

Beyond the chambers, the impact of Hon. Adedeji’s representation is visible across the constituency. In terms of infrastructural development, several road construction and rehabilitation projects have been attracted to Ifako-Ijaiye under his watch, improving accessibility, boosting local businesses, and easing daily movement for residents. These are practical dividends of democracy that speak louder than campaign slogans.

Equally significant is his focus on human development and social inclusion. Since assuming office in 2019, Hon. Adedeji has facilitated job opportunities, empowered the less privileged, and consistently supported students through the distribution of JAMB and GCE forms, helping to remove financial barriers to education. These interventions reflect the impact of a representative who understands that development must touch both infrastructure and people.

What further distinguishes Hon. Adedeji is his constant engagement with constituents. Through consultations, town-hall interactions, and accessibility, he has maintained a relationship that goes beyond election cycles. This closeness has fostered trust and ensured that governance remains responsive to grassroots realities.

As Lagos continues to grow and legislative responsibilities become more demanding, constituencies like Ifako-Ijaiye cannot afford experimental representation. They require lawmakers who understand the system, command respect within it, and can translate legislative influence into real benefits for the people.

From the Assembly floor to the streets of Ifako-Ijaiye, the record since 2019 is clear: effective representation works—and Hon. Adewale Temitope Adedeji has delivered it.

Ibukun writes from Ifako-Ijaiye.

 

Why Ifako-Ijaiye's Voice Is Louder At The Lagos Assembly: The Jah Factor
By Ibukun Simon

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Lack of Understanding or Legitimate Concern? Otti’s Defence of Tinubu’s Tax Reform Sparks National Debate

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Lack of Understanding or Legitimate Concern? Otti’s Defence of Tinubu’s Tax Reform Sparks National Debate

By George Omagbemi Sylvester | SaharaWeeklyNG

“Abia Governor Alex Otti argues critics misunderstand the overhaul of Nigeria’s tax laws, but the controversy reveals deeper anxieties about governance, transparency and economic strain.”

When Abia State Governor Alex Otti publicly defended President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s newly enacted tax reform laws on February 13, 2026, he did more than just push back at critics, he threw the spotlight back on a fulcrum issue dividing Nigeria’s political and economic classes. Otti’s assertion that Nigerians attacking the tax policy “lack understanding” crystallises a broader fracture in public discourse over fiscal policy, governance and the future of the Nigerian economy.

The comments from Governor Otti came amid an intensifying national conversation over sweeping tax reforms signed into law in June 2025, designed to modernise Nigeria’s tax architecture and expand revenue mobilisation. These reforms (long in the making and championed by a Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee chaired by Prof. Taiwo Oyedele) mark the most far‑reaching overhaul of federal tax laws in decades. They include restructuring the Federal Inland Revenue Service into the National Revenue Service (NRS), establishing a Tax Appeal Tribunal and Ombudsman Office, and unifying revenue collection frameworks to improve transparency and efficiency.

Governor Otti’s praise for the new legislation resonated with elements of his own fiscal thinking. Drawing on economic positions he articulated nearly a decade ago, he argued that key principles now entrenched in the law reflect sound fiscal reasoning and long‑standing proposals to strengthen Nigeria’s economic foundations. “Almost 10 years ago, I wrote about the fiscal side of things,” Otti said. “When I read the new tax reform law, I saw many of those arguments reflected in it. I thank Prof. Oyedele. When people attack him, they don’t understand.”

Yet, while Otti’s intervention was meant to de‑escalate public criticism, it instead exposed how complex and emotionally charged the issue of taxation has become in Nigeria. Critics, both inside and outside government, argue that the reforms have not been adequately explained to citizens and that many fear the measures will aggravate hardship amid already high costs of living. One prominent voice of dissent, fiscal policy analyst Aborisade, warned that without transparency and clear communication on how tax revenues will be collected and returned to the people, “these reforms risk becoming deeply unpopular.” Critics also highlight that any tax increase implemented without demonstrable improvements in public services could fuel resentment and mistrust in governance.

That mistrust is not abstract. For years, Nigeria has struggled with weak tax compliance, low revenue‑to‑GDP ratios compared with other emerging economies, and public scepticism over how government revenues are utilised. Many Nigerians remember episodes where policy changes were not accompanied by visible improvements in infrastructure, healthcare or power delivery, reinforcing the belief among skeptics that new taxes equate to greater burden with little reward.

For supporters like Otti and others in government policy circles, the reforms represent a long‑overdue attempt to widen the tax net and reduce Nigeria’s chronic dependence on volatile oil revenues. Advocates argue that a modernised tax system can enhance domestic revenue mobilisation, reduce fiscal deficits, and create a more resilient economy. They point out that reforms provide exemptions and reliefs for low‑income earners and small businesses and are aimed at building a fairer, more transparent system for all stakeholders.

Still, bridging the gap between these competing narratives is challenging. Opposition voices contend that even well‑designed tax policy may fail if the state lacks the capacity to implement it equitably or if the public’s confidence in leadership remains weak. “Without accountability and clear benefits for their contributions, any tax reform risks becoming deeply unpopular,” Aborisade emphasised, warning that heavy taxation without trust can fracture the social contract.

The debate over Tinubu’s tax reform illustrates a deeper truth about contemporary Nigeria: that economic policy no longer exists in a vacuum but is deeply intertwined with public sentiment, political legitimacy, and social cohesion. As one respected economist put it, “Taxation is not just a fiscal tool, it is a trust‑building exercise between the state and its citizens.” When that trust is fragile, even technically sound reforms can be seen as punitive rather than constructive.

Analysts suggest that meaningful public engagement (including sustained information campaigns, transparent revenue utilisation reporting and constructive dialogue with civil society) is essential to soothe anxieties and build confidence in the new system. Without this, what began as an effort to stabilise public finances could widen political and social divides.

In defending the tax reforms, Governor Otti has framed the challenge as one of comprehension rather than critique. But the controversy unfolding across Nigeria is not simply about misunderstanding; it underscores a profound gap between policy design and public perception. For a reform of this magnitude to succeed, Nigerians must be assured not only of its economic merits, but also of its fairness, transparency and tangible impact on everyday lives.

As the implementation phase continues through 2026 and beyond, the Tinubu administration, state governments and economic stakeholders face the critical task of translating legislative change into broader public trust – a task as difficult as any technical reform the tax laws themselves seek to achieve.

 

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