Business
Trump’s Tariff Trap: Why U.S. Trade Policy Spells Trouble for Nigerian Exports
Trump’s Tariff Trap: Why U.S. Trade Policy Spells Trouble for Nigerian Exports
As President Donald Trump continues to champion protectionist trade policies, global markets are already bracing for impact. While much of the attention has been focused on China, Mexico, and the European Union, one less examined—but profoundly affected—victim of Trump’s aggressive tariff agenda is Nigeria.
Africa’s largest economy, already burdened by inflation, forex volatility, and limited industrial capacity, now faces an additional challenge: declining export access to one of its most important trade partners.
Trump’s Tariff Plan: A Snapshot
Trump has repeatedly promised to impose a 10% universal tariff on all imports if re-elected, and a 60% tariff on Chinese goods, with broader plans to reshape global trade dynamics under an “America First” banner. The move is touted as a way to protect U.S. industries, reduce reliance on foreign goods, and strengthen domestic jobs.
But trade economists warn that such a policy will create ripple effects across emerging economies, especially those like Nigeria that rely on trade openness to boost growth and foreign exchange inflow.
Nigerian Exports at Risk
Although the U.S. is not Nigeria’s largest export destination (India and the EU currently lead), it remains a strategic trade partner, especially for:
- Crude oil and petroleum products
- Agricultural exports (cocoa, sesame seeds, rubber, etc.)
- Solid minerals and metals
In 2023, Nigeria exported goods worth over $3 billion to the United States, much of which was eligible for duty-free access under AGOA (African Growth and Opportunity Act). But Trump’s tariff model could jeopardize AGOA’s continuity or undermine its benefits, directly impacting Nigeria’s ability to compete in American markets.
“Tariffs will make Nigerian goods more expensive to U.S. buyers, reducing demand and hurting our exporters,” says Dr. Tola Adebayo, a Lagos-based international trade analyst.
The Oil Factor: A Double-Edged Sword
Crude oil forms the bulk of Nigerian exports, including to the U.S. But Trump’s energy policy, which favors U.S. fossil fuel expansion, could lower U.S. oil imports, shrinking Nigeria’s already narrow export window.
Add to that the rising competition from Latin American and Middle Eastern oil producers, and Nigerian crude could lose market share, particularly if tariffs distort existing trade flows.
“Even if oil isn’t directly tariffed, retaliatory policies or shifts in demand can affect us indirectly,” said Ngozi Obi-Ani, a trade and energy policy expert.
Manufacturing and Agro-Processing in Jeopardy
Nigeria’s non-oil exports—especially agricultural products like cocoa, cashew, and sesame—are slowly gaining traction in U.S. markets. But these products are highly price-sensitive. A sudden tariff will make Nigerian commodities less competitive, especially when rivals like Vietnam, Brazil, and Indonesia maintain cheaper access.
Moreover, U.S. tariffs could disrupt supply chains for Nigerian manufacturers dependent on U.S. machinery, parts, or technology, further stalling local industrialization efforts.
Impact on Employment and Forex Earnings
The knock-on effect of reduced exports is lower foreign exchange earnings, which Nigeria sorely needs to stabilize its naira and meet import obligations. It also threatens thousands of jobs in export-linked sectors, from agriculture and logistics to oil and gas.
“With youth unemployment already above 40%, a slump in export-driven sectors could worsen the crisis,” warns Folashade Yusuf, economist at the Nigerian Export Promotion Council (NEPC).
A Call for Strategic Diversification
Analysts argue that Trump’s trade policies underscore the urgent need for Nigeria to diversify its export base, improve intra-African trade through the AfCFTA, and forge stronger ties with Asia and Europe.
“The world is shifting from globalization to regionalization. Nigeria must adapt quickly, build industrial capacity, and reduce dependence on traditional markets like the U.S.,” Adebayo stressed.
Conclusion: Nigeria Must Brace for Impact
Whether or not Trump returns to the White House, his tariff doctrine has already reignited protectionist sentiments in global trade. For Nigeria, the implications are clear: the need to strengthen competitiveness, diversify partners, and rethink trade policy is more urgent than ever.
Failure to act now may not just weaken Nigeria’s export economy—it could cost the nation its place at the global trade table.
Alpha Morgan to Host 19th Economic Review Webinar
In an economy shaped by constant shifts, the edge often belongs to those with the right information.
On Wednesday, February 25, 2026, Alpha Morgan Bank will host the 19th edition of its Economic Review Webinar, a high-level thought leadership session designed to equip businesses, investors, and individuals with timely financial and economic insight.
The session, which will hold live on Zoom at 10:00am WAT and will feature economist Bismarck Rewane, who will examine the key signals influencing Nigeria’s economic direction in 2026, including policy trends, market movements, and global developments shaping the local landscape.
With a consistent track record of delivering clarity in uncertain times, the Alpha Morgan Economic Review continues to provide practical context for decision-making in a dynamic environment.
Registration for the 19th Alpha Morgan Economic Review is free and can be completed via https://bit.ly/registeramerseries19
It is a bi-monthly platform that is open to the public and is held virtually.
Visit www.alphamorganbank to know more.
GTBank Launches Quick Airtime Loan at 2.95%
Guaranty Trust Bank Ltd (GTBank), the flagship banking franchise of GTCO Plc, Africa’s leading financial services group, today announced the launch of Quick Airtime Loan, an innovative digital solution that gives customers instant access to airtime when they run out of call credit and have limited funds in their bank accounts, ensuring customers can stay connected when it matters most.
In today’s always-on world, running out of airtime is more than a minor inconvenience. It can mean missed opportunities, disrupted plans, and lost connections, often at the very moment when funds are tight, and options are limited. Quick Airtime Loan was created to solve this problem, offering customers instant access to airtime on credit, directly from their bank. With Quick Airtime Loan, eligible GTBank customers can access from ₦100 and up to ₦10,000 by dialing *737*90#. Available across all major mobile networks in Nigeria, the service will soon expand to include data loans, further strengthening its proposition as a reliable on-demand platform.
For years, the airtime credit market has been dominated by Telcos, where charges for this service are at 15%. GTBank is now changing the narrative by offering a customer-centric, bank-led digital alternative priced at 2.95%. Built on transparency, convenience and affordability, Quick Airtime Loan has the potential to broaden access to airtime, deliver meaningful cost savings for millions of Nigerians, and redefine how financial services show up in everyday life, not just in banking moments.
Commenting on the product launch, Miriam Olusanya, Managing Director of Guaranty Trust Bank Ltd, said: “Quick Airtime Loan reflects GTBank’s continued focus on delivering digital solutions that are relevant, accessible, and built around real customer needs. The solution underscores the power of a connected financial ecosystem, combining GTBank’s digital reach and lending expertise with the capabilities of HabariPay to deliver a smooth, end-to-end experience. By leveraging unique strengths across the Group, we are able to accelerate innovation, strengthen execution, and deliver a more integrated customer experience across all our service channels.”
Importantly, Quick Airtime Loan highlights GTCO’s evolution as a fully diversified financial services group. Leveraging HabariPay’s Squad, the solution reinforces the Group’s ecosystem proposition by bringing together banking, payment technology, and digital channels to deliver intuitive, one-stop experiences for customers.
With this new product launch, Guaranty Trust Bank is extending its legacy of pioneering digital-first solutions that have redefined customer access to financial services across the industry, building on the proven strength of its widely adopted QuickCredit offering and the convenience of the Bank’s iconic *737# USSD Banking platform.
About Guaranty Trust Bank
Guaranty Trust Bank (GTBank) is the flagship banking franchise of GTCO Plc, a leading financial services group with a strong presence across Africa and the United Kingdom. The Bank is widely recognized for its leadership in digital banking, customer experience, and innovative financial solutions that deliver value to individuals, businesses, and communities.
About HabariPay
HabariPay is the payments fintech subsidiary of GTCO Plc, focused on enabling fast, secure, and accessible digital payments for individuals and businesses. By integrating payments and digital technology, HabariPay supports innovative services that make everyday financial interactions simpler and more seamless.
Enquiries:
GTCO
Group Corporate Communication
[email protected]
+234-1-2715227
www.gtcoplc.com
Business
BUA Group, AD Ports Group and MAIR Group Launch Strategic Plan for World-Class Sugar and Agro-Logistics Hub at Khalifa Port
BUA Group, AD Ports Group and MAIR Group Sign MoU to Explore Collaboration in Sugar Refining, Agro-Industrial Development, and Integrated Global Logistics Solutions
Abu Dhabi, UAE – Monday, 16th February 2026
BUA Group, AD Ports Group, and MAIR Group of Abu Dhabi today signed a strategic Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to explore collaboration in sugar refining, agro-industrial development, and integrated global logistics solutions. The partnership aims to create a world-class platform that strengthens regional food security, supports industrial diversification, and reinforces Abu Dhabi’s position as a hub for trade and manufacturing.
The proposed collaboration will leverage BUA Group’s industrial and logistics expertise, Khalifa Port’s world-class infrastructure, and AD Ports Group’s operational experience. The initiative aligns with the objectives of the UAE Food Security Strategy 2051, which seeks to position the UAE as a global leader in sustainable food production and resilient supply chains. It also aligns with Nigeria’s food production- and export-oriented agricultural transformation agenda, focused on scaling domestic capacity, strengthening value addition, improving post-harvest logistics, and unlocking new markets for Nigerian produce across the Middle East, Asia, and beyond.
Photo Caption: L-R: Kabiru Rabiu, Group Executive Director, BUA Group; Cpt. Mohammed J. Al Shamisi, MD/Group CEO, AD Ports Group; Saif Al Mazrouei, CEO (Ports Cluster) AD Ports Group; Abdul Samad Rabiu, Founder/Executive Chairman, BUA Group; and Steve Green, Group CFO, MAIR Group
Through structured aggregation, processing, storage, and maritime export channels, the partnership is designed to reduce supply chain inefficiencies, enhance traceability and quality standards, and also create a predictable trade corridor between West Africa and the Gulf.
BUA Group—recognised as one of Africa’s largest and most diversified conglomerates, with major investments across sugar refining, food production, flour milling, cement manufacturing, and infrastructure- brings extensive industrial expertise and large-scale operational capability to the venture. MAIR Group will provide strategic support in developing integrated logistics and agro-industrial solutions, creating a seamless platform for production, storage, and distribution.
Abdul Samad Rabiu, Founder and Chairman of BUA Group, said:
“This MoU marks an important milestone in BUA’s international expansion and reflects our long-term vision of building globally competitive industrial platforms. Together with AD Ports Group and MAIR Group, we aim to develop sustainable food production and logistics solutions that strengthen regional supply chains and support the UAE’s Food Security Strategy 2051.”
He further added that, “This partnership represents not just a commercial arrangement but a strategic food corridor anchored on shared economic ambition, resilient infrastructure, and disciplined execution, reinforcing long-term food security objectives for both nations.”
A representative of MAIR Group added:
“This collaboration underscores our commitment to advancing strategic industries in Abu Dhabi and building integrated solutions that reinforce the UAE’s position as a global hub for trade, food security, and industrial excellence.”
A spokesperson from AD Ports Group commented:
“Our partnership with BUA Group and MAIR Group highlights Khalifa Port’s role as a catalyst for high-impact industrial investments. This initiative will enhance regional food security, strengthen global trade connectivity, and support Abu Dhabi’s economic diversification goals.”
This MoU marks a historic collaboration that combines world-class infrastructure, industrial expertise, and strategic vision, setting the stage for a sustainable and resilient food and logistics ecosystem that will benefit the UAE, the region, and global markets alike.
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