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Taxing a Broken Society: Why Nigeria’s Proposed Bank Transaction Levy Threatens Social Stability

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Taxing a Broken Society: Why Nigeria’s Proposed Bank Transaction Levy Threatens Social Stability.

By George Omagbemi Sylvester

“A Constitutional, Economic, and Moral Indictment of Governance Failure.”

 

Nigeria stands at a perilous crossroads. At a time when inflation is crushing household incomes, insecurity has become normalized and public trust in government is dangerously eroded, the proposal to impose an additional 7.5 percent charge on bank transactions is not merely an economic policy error and it is a profound governance failure with grave social implications.

This is not a debate about whether taxation is necessary. Every modern state requires revenue. The real question is legitimacy: when, how and under what moral and constitutional conditions can a government tax its citizens? In Nigeria’s current condition, this proposed levy fails every serious test of democratic governance, economic rationality and constitutional responsibility.

 

The Constitutional Breach: Taxation Without Welfare. Nigeria’s 1999 Constitution is unequivocal. Section 14(2)(b) states that “the security and welfare of the people shall be the primary purpose of government.” This clause is not aspirational rhetoric; it is the philosophical foundation of the Nigerian state.

 

Yet, after years of deteriorating public services, escalating poverty, collapsing security architecture and declining human development indicators, the Nigerian state can no longer credibly argue that it has fulfilled this foundational obligation.

 

According to the World Bank, over 63 percent of Nigerians (more than 133 million people) are multidimensionally poor, lacking access to basic healthcare, education, nutrition and clean water. Inflation, driven by subsidy removal and currency depreciation, exceeded 28 percent in 2024, eroding real incomes at a pace unmatched in decades. Insecurity continues to disrupt agriculture, commerce and daily life, while unemployment and underemployment remain stubbornly high.

In this context, imposing an additional financial burden on citizens for merely accessing their own money constitutes what legal scholars describe as regressive extraction with a form of fiscal policy that disproportionately punishes the poor while offering no commensurate public benefit.

 

As constitutional lawyer Professor Itse Sagay, SAN, once observed, “Taxation is justified only where citizens can see and feel the presence of the state in their daily lives.” In Nigeria today, that presence is largely absent.

 

Economic Reality: A Tax on Survival, Not Wealth. From an economic standpoint, a bank transaction levy is among the most regressive forms of taxation. Unlike progressive income or wealth taxes, transaction charges do not distinguish between surplus and subsistence. They penalize traders, small businesses, salary earners and informal workers who rely on frequent banking transactions to survive.

 

Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz has consistently warned that “unfair tax systems undermine social cohesion and weaken the legitimacy of the state.” When citizens perceive taxation as punishment rather than contribution, compliance gives way to resistance, avoidance and economic disengagement.

 

Nigeria’s economy is already suffering from declining productivity, shrinking consumer demand and capital flight. Adding a transaction levy risks pushing more economic activity into cash-based informality, weakening financial inclusion and undermining the very tax base the government seeks to expand.

Taxing a Broken Society: Why Nigeria’s Proposed Bank Transaction Levy Threatens Social Stability.

By George Omagbemi Sylvester

Political Philosophy and the Collapse of Consent. Political legitimacy is not sustained by coercion but by consent. John Locke was clear: governments exist to protect life, liberty and property. Where property is arbitrarily taken without reciprocal protection, the social contract fractures.

 

Similarly, Jean-Jacques Rousseau argued that laws lose authority when they no longer reflect the general will or promote the common good. In Nigeria’s case, policies that deepen hardship while public officials enjoy unchecked privileges create what scholars term a legitimacy deficit.

 

Even Thomas Hobbes, often cited in defense of strong authority, warned that when the state becomes more frightening than the chaos it claims to prevent, social order collapses. History (from pre-revolutionary France to more recent cases of fiscal unrest across the Global South) demonstrates that economic injustice is often the spark of political instability.

 

Utilitarian Failure: Pain Without Public Gain. From a utilitarian perspective, the policy is equally indefensible. Jeremy Bentham’s principle of “the greatest good for the greatest number” is entirely absent. The pain imposed by the levy is collective and immediate; the benefits, if any, are speculative and opaque.

 

There is no transparent framework showing how revenues from this levy would translate into improved healthcare, education, security or infrastructure. Without such clarity, the policy appears not as reform but as fiscal desperation, shifting the cost of state failure onto citizens already at breaking point.

 

Economist Dambisa Moyo has cautioned that “states that rely excessively on extraction rather than productivity eventually face social backlash.” Nigeria risks becoming a textbook case.

 

Comparative Governance: Why Citizens Resist Unjust Extraction. Across the world, citizens tolerate taxation when it is visibly linked to social benefits. In countries with strong welfare systems, taxes fund healthcare, education, housing and social protection. Even in resource-rich states with controversial governance records, citizens often receive direct material benefits that sustain a fragile social bargain.

 

Nigeria’s tragedy lies in its constitutional promise without constitutional delivery. Chapter Two of the Constitution outlines socio-economic rights, yet Section 6(6)(c) renders them largely non-justiciable, creating what many scholars describe as a structural contradiction: rights promised but not enforceable.

 

Legal philosopher Ronald Dworkin argued that “a political community must treat all its members with equal concern and respect.” Policies that extract from the poor while protecting elite consumption violate this foundational principle.

 

The Moral Argument: When Law Loses Authority. The ancient maxim lex iniusta non est lex (an unjust law is no law at all) remains central to jurisprudence. Laws that deepen suffering without serving justice lose moral authority, even if they retain formal legality.

 

Nigeria’s governance crisis is not merely economic; it is ethical. Excessive public spending on political offices, opaque budgeting, and persistent corruption scandals undermine any moral justification for further taxation.

 

As former UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan warned, “A government that ignores the suffering of its people forfeits the moral right to demand sacrifice.”

 

A Warning, Not a Threat. This analysis is not a call to disorder. It is a warning grounded in history and reason. Societies pushed beyond endurance do not require incitement to react; pressure alone is enough. Governments that mistake silence for consent often discover too late that endurance has limits.

 

Nigeria still has a choice. Genuine fiscal reform must begin with cutting the cost of governance, enforcing accountability, expanding productivity and restoring public trust. Taxation must be the final step not the first reflex of a failing system.

 

Closing Reflection: The Test of Statesmanship. Great leadership is measured not by how much it can extract from its people, but by how effectively it can serve, protect, and uplift them. Nigeria’s current trajectory risks converting fiscal policy into a catalyst for deeper alienation.

 

History is unforgiving to governments that treat citizens as expendable revenue sources. Stability is not enforced; it is earned. And legitimacy, once lost, is far harder to recover than revenue.

 

George Omagbemi Sylvester

Political Analyst & Columnist

 

Published by SaharaWeeklyNG

Taxing a Broken Society: Why Nigeria’s Proposed Bank Transaction Levy Threatens Social Stability.

By George Omagbemi Sylvester

Sahara weekly online is published by First Sahara weekly international. contact [email protected]

Politics

Nigeria 2027: Reject the Crumbs, Demand Your Future

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Nigeria 2027: Reject the Crumbs, Demand Your Future.

By George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by SaharaWeeklyNG.com

“Why Nigerians Must Reject Short-Term Handouts and Demand Leaders Who Deliver Security, Dignity and a Future Beyond Crumbs.”

 

As Nigeria approaches the official campaign season for the 2027 general elections, a critical question confronts every citizen: WHAT WILL YOUR VOTE MEAN FOR THE NEXT FOUR YEARS OF YOUR LIFE? In a nation where political theatrics often overshadow the real struggles of everyday Nigerians, it is crucial that we pause, reflect and make deliberate choices. This is not merely a question of party loyalty, ethnicity, or charisma; it is a question of survival, dignity and the future of generations yet unborn.

 

The Limits of Symbolic Politics. Over the years, Nigerian politics has become synonymous with symbolic handouts and ephemeral gestures. Face caps, branded T-shirts, sacks of rice, litres of cooking oil and yards of Ankara have replaced substantive governance. Let us be candid: NO T-shirt can shield a family from insecurity, NO rice can fill an empty stomach for a year, let alone four. NO Ankara cloth can clothe the poverty that has become a permanent companion to millions of citizens. These tokens, though momentarily satisfying, are political distractions though a short-term sop designed to obscure long-term neglect.

Nigeria 2027: Reject the Crumbs, Demand Your Future.

By George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by SaharaWeeklyNG.com

Professor Adebayo Adedeji, a distinguished Nigerian economist, once emphasized, “Governments that measure their impact by the number of handouts they distribute have failed to grasp the essence of development. True leadership provides opportunity, security and empowerment, not temporary appeasements.”

 

The Cost of Compromised Choices. Many Nigerians, in the throes of economic hardship, are offered cash (sometimes N10,000, N20,000, or even a motorcycle) in exchange for loyalty at the polls. Yet, if we calculate the real cost, a one-time gift pales in comparison to the 4-year consequences of misgovernance. The average Nigerian household is already struggling under an inflation rate that, according to the National Bureau of Statistics, has consistently hovered above 20% in essential commodities. Housing, healthcare and education costs are rising exponentially. How can N10,000 adequately compensate for four years of stagnation, insecurity and mismanagement?

 

It is imperative to ask: how much do these politicians give their own children every month? If a child of privilege enjoys the luxury of quality education, access to healthcare and global exposure, while the masses are offered crumbs, it is a stark reflection of misplaced priorities and structural inequity.

 

Your Vote, Your Power. Many Nigerians feel powerless, believing their vote is meaningless in a system dominated by elite interests and entrenched political godfathers. This is a dangerous misconception. Democracy is not a spectator sport; it demands engagement, critical thinking and courage. By voting thoughtfully, Nigerians can disrupt cycles of corruption, favoritism and misrule.

 

Dr. Joe Obi, a political analyst at the University of Lagos, asserts: “Every citizen holds within their vote the power to redefine governance. It is the only legitimate instrument through which ordinary Nigerians can challenge systemic injustice.”

 

Your vote is not a mere expression of party loyalty, but it is a statement of self-worth, civic responsibility, and national dignity. It communicates that you refuse to be placated with temporary gestures while your rights, opportunities and security are compromised.

 

Reject Ethnic Politics. Nigeria’s political history is littered with examples of ethnic manipulation. Politicians routinely exploit identity to divide citizens, ensuring that loyalty to a tribe supersedes accountability to the nation. The suffering does not discriminate between Yoruba, Hausa, Igbo or Itsekiri. It is a Nigerian problem and any solution must be inclusive.

Dr. Chukwuma Soludo, former Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, notes: “Ethnicity as a political tool has been used to justify mediocrity, nepotism and the diversion of national resources. Progress demands leaders who rise above parochial loyalties.”

 

Voters must therefore scrutinize candidates for competence, integrity and a proven commitment to national development, rather than succumb to manipulative ethnic narratives.

 

The Illusion of Campaign Visits. Politicians are adept at cultivating appearances. During campaign season, they traverse states, meet constituents and promise sweeping reforms. Yet, the cycle is predictable: once elections are over, they vanish, leaving behind unfulfilled promises and neglected communities. The responsibility lies with voters to demand accountable leaders who prioritize sustainable policy over performative displays.

 

Character Over Charisma. Electoral decisions must hinge on the character, competence and integrity of candidates rather than their charisma, celebrity status, or financial clout. Leadership in Nigeria requires vision, discipline and a commitment to the welfare of all citizens. A leader who cannot guarantee security, economic opportunity, or social justice is a liability, regardless of party affiliation.

 

Professor Amina Jibril, a governance expert, emphasizes: “Leadership is a moral contract with society. When politicians exploit desperation, they violate that contract. Citizens must hold leaders accountable by demanding transparency and ethical governance.”

 

Local Votes, Global Implications. It is easy to think of elections as local exercises. In reality, the consequences reverberate far beyond municipal boundaries. Policy decisions made in Abuja influence international trade, security, investment and diplomatic relations. A mismanaged economy, for instance, not only impoverishes citizens but diminishes Nigeria’s credibility on the global stage. Investors, international organizations and diaspora Nigerians watch carefully. Poor leadership affects everyone, irrespective of geography.

Reject the Culture of Political Thuggery. Across the country, youths are often lured into serving as political enforcers, thugs or foot soldiers, risking their lives for candidates whose children live safely abroad. This form of exploitation is both morally reprehensible and strategically self-destructive. The children of politicians enjoy education, health care and freedom and why should ordinary youths risk life and limb for political elites who prioritize their own luxury over national progress?

 

The Nobel Laureate Wole Soyinka once warned: “A society that trades its youth for political expedience is a society that forfeits its future.” Wise citizens recognize the value of life and reject such coercion.

 

The Long-Term Vision. Nigeria’s path to sustainable development lies in rejecting short-term appeasement and embracing long-term vision. Citizens must vote for candidates committed to security, education, healthcare, infrastructure and transparent governance. Campaign promises are not merely slogans and they are a blueprint for the next four years. Every Nigerian deserves leaders who will convert these promises into actionable, measurable outcomes.

 

The International Crisis Group reports that nations that prioritize inclusive governance, anti-corruption measures and citizen engagement consistently achieve better social and economic indicators. Nigeria cannot afford to be left behind.

 

Final Reflection: Your Future is Non-Negotiable. The 2027 elections present a defining moment. Your vote is not a commodity, it is a declaration of your worth, your voice and your future. Reject temporary handouts, symbolic gestures and manipulative ethnic politics. Demand accountability, character and sustainable policy. The power resides in your hands and the consequences of apathy are profound.

 

Remember: life is too precious to be mortgaged for crumbs. Do not vote for the same cycle of poverty, insecurity and mediocrity. Vote with wisdom, courage and foresight. Engage, scrutinize and insist on leaders who honor the trust placed in them. Nigeria deserves nothing less than citizens who recognize their power, demand their rights and refuse to settle for less.

 

Be wise. Be thoughtful. Be relentless in your pursuit of a better Nigeria. The nation’s future depends on your choices.

 

Nigeria 2027: Reject the Crumbs, Demand Your Future.

By George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by SaharaWeeklyNG.com

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PDP’s Resurgence: Forward Ever, Backward Never

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PDP’s Resurgence: Forward Ever, Backward Never.

By George Omagbemi Sylvester

Published by saharaweeklyng.com

 

“Why Resolve, Reform and National Purpose Will Propel the Peoples Democratic Party Back to Victory.”

 

“FORWARD EVER, BACKWARD NEVER.” These words embody not only a mantra but a clarion call to persistence, strategic renewal and unwavering resolve. In the context of Nigeria’s opposition politics, this phrase captures the essence of why the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), despite its challenges, can and will emerge victorious, not as a relic of past triumphs, but as a revitalised force affirming democratic choice and national progress.

 

To appreciate this assertion, it is essential to examine the PDP’s past, the obstacles it faces today, the evolving political landscape in Nigeria and the pathway that leads toward political success. At the core of this narrative is a simple truth: political resolve (when anchored in reform, unity and purpose) shapes eventual triumph.

 

From Dominance to Diminishment: A Historical Reflection. The PDP was born in 1998 as Nigeria transitioned from decades of military rule to democratic governance. For sixteen uninterrupted years (from 1999 to 2015) the party dominated Nigeria’s political landscape, winning consecutive presidential elections, controlling a majority of federating units and shaping policy across the nation. Its national reach and inclusive structure allowed it to operate not merely as a party but as a dominant stabilising force in the nascent Fourth Republic.

 

Yet, the party’s strength ultimately contributed to its vulnerability. Broad inclusivity without equally robust internal discipline gradually eroded foundational coherence. By 2015, the PDP lost the presidency, marking the beginning of a period of tumult, introspection and transformation.

 

The years that followed revealed leadership crises, factional struggles and public perceptions of a party at war with itself. Infighting over zoning agreements, succession and internal primaries eroded unity. The aftermath of the 2023 elections, in which PDP candidate Atiku Abubakar was defeated by the incumbent and legal challenges were mounted, intensified internal divisions, contributing to defections and weakening the party’s organisational coherence.

 

At its nadir in late 2025, the PDP governed only four states nationwide, compared with double-digit holdings in prior years which is a dramatic reduction that laid bare the seriousness of its challenges.

 

Facing the Storm: Challenges That Tested Resolve. Critics have depicted the PDP as a party in decline, fractured and unable to effectively challenge the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC). Internal crises have frequently dominated headlines with disputes between governors and national leaders, court battles over leadership and factional discord have plagued the party’s public image.

 

Political analysts note that these disputes at times overshadowed substantive political engagement with Nigerians on core issues like insecurity, unemployment, economic stagnation and infrastructure deficits. Some state chapters struggled operationally and defections by key figures accentuated perceptions of organisational decline.

 

However, to focus solely on weaknesses obscures the resilience embedded in the PDP’s DNA. Throughout its history, the PDP has survived political setbacks before. It has re-emerged, recalibrated and adjusted when confronted with strategic adversity. This historical pattern of resilience is the foundation upon which its recalibration for future success rests.

 

A New Strategic Framework: Unity, Reform and Grassroots Renewal. The path to victory for the PDP is not merely nostalgic but rooted in strategic reform. Political scientist Professor Adebanwi A. once observed: “Political resurgence is not born from mnemonic nostalgia but from reinvigoration of purpose and reengagement with the people.” This principle (bridging ideology with public service) is central to the PDP’s forward march.

 

1. Internal Reconciliation and Leadership Reform.

Unity within the party is not sentimental; it is strategic. Reconciliation among factions, genuine conflict resolution, and adherence to constitutional procedures build trust within the organisation and among Nigerians who look for credible choices beyond the incumbent party. Efforts at reconciliation (such as establishing disciplinary, constitutional reform and unity committees) reflect recognition that old power struggles must yield to common purpose. These steps, if sincerely implemented, strengthen organisational cohesion and signal to the electorate that the PDP is committed to internal democracy and accountability.

 

2. Policy Reorientation Around Citizen Priorities.

Nigerians demand governance that delivers security, economic opportunity, job creation and social inclusion. A reformed PDP that articulates an actionable, evidence-based policy platform (one rooted in improving everyday life) will resonate with voters eager for alternatives that reflect lived realities. The party’s intellectual capital should be marshalled toward a comprehensive platform that responds to issues such as inflation, educational access, healthcare delivery and national security. Opposition without constructive policy proposals will falter; opposition with vision endures.

 

3. Grassroots Mobilisation and Youth Engagement.

Nigeria’s electorate is young. The vitality of the PDP’s future rests with Nigerians under 35 who seek opportunities and credible representation. A revitalised PDP strategy must invest in genuine grassroots mobilisation, youth engagement initiatives and policy platforms that reflect the aspirations of a new generation. Embedded within this strategy is the understanding that political resurgence is not simply electoral but societal though rooted in inclusion, empowerment and shared purpose.

 

The International Dimension: Democracy, Competition and Choice. Nigerians are not alone in navigating the challenges of democratic competition. Globally, vibrant democracies thrive where opposition parties are strong, cohesive and capable of offering credible alternatives. The strength of a political opposition (whether in Latin America, Asia, or Africa) is often the barometer of democratic resilience.

 

Prominent democratic theorist Dr. Joseph Nye once wrote, “Political competition does not weaken statecraft; it strengthens it.” In this light, the PDP’s resurgence is not a Nigerian parochial interest but part of a broader affirmation of competitive democracy, where choices are articulated, alternatives refined and the electorate empowered.

 

International observers often view Nigeria as a bellwether of democratic vitality in Africa. The resurgence of a strong opposition reflects well on democratic institutions and fosters confidence in Nigeria’s political trajectory. Therefore, an emergent PDP (resolute, reformed and future-focused) reinforces the global perception of Nigeria as a thriving democracy.

 

The Broader Opposition Landscape: Unity and Coalition Politics. It is also important to recognise that the PDP’s prospects are intrinsically linked to the broader opposition ecosystem in Nigeria. Coalitions and strategic alliances (like the recently formed efforts among key opposition leaders to challenge one-party dominance) expand the political space and create dynamic pathways for competitive politics.

 

Rather than retreating into isolation, the PDP’s forward strategy embraces cooperation where appropriate, without compromising core values. In doing so, it builds a political front that reflects diversity yet remains anchored in shared principles of democratic governance.

 

Closing Perspective: Forward Ever With Victory Through Resolve. The challenges the PDP has faced in recent years are real with organisational fragmentation, public scepticism, defections and electoral setbacks attest to a period of difficulty. Yet, political history teaches that adversity is not destiny. What defines political success is not the absence of struggle but the resolve to overcome it.

 

The PDP’s future lies in strategic unity, reform-oriented leadership, powerful and people-centered policy articulation and inclusive mobilisation that resonates across demographics.

 

As veteran Nigerian political commentator Professor Olabanji Olajide once said, “A political party that listens, learns and adapts gains not just followers, but trust.” It is trust (not nostalgia) that will unlock the PDP’s pathway to victory.

 

“Forward ever, backward never” is more than a slogan. It is a commitment to resilience, renewal and Nigeria’s democratic promise. With unity, strategic vision and grassroots engagement, the Peoples Democratic Party will emerge not merely victorious in electoral terms, but as a renewed political force anchored in the will and aspirations of Nigerians; ready to lead a united and prosperous Nigeria into a brighter future.

 

PDP’s Resurgence: Forward Ever, Backward Never.

By George Omagbemi Sylvester
Published by saharaweeklyng.com

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Nigeria at Its Worst? Why 83% of Nigerians Have Lost Trust in the Presidency

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Nigeria at Its Worst? Why 83% of Nigerians Have Lost Trust in the Presidency.

By George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by saharaweeklyng.com

“An Evidence-Based Examination of Public Discontent Under President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.”

 

As Nigeria enters 2026, a staggering verdict is emerging from the very people who carry the nation’s hopes and bear the cost of its burdens: more than eight out of every ten Nigerians now express little to no trust in the leadership of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu and key national institutions. Recent independent surveys unequivocally reveal deep-seated public dissatisfaction with governance, underscoring why a broad segment of the population perceives his presidency as one of the most disappointing in Nigeria’s history.

 

This article does not traffic in unfounded rhetoric or partisan opinion. What follows is a grounded, data-driven exploration of the frustrations gripping Nigeria and rooted firmly in credible public opinion research, verified public polls and widely documented socio-economic realities.

I. The Numbers Speak Louder Than Words.

The most damning indictment of President Tinubu’s leadership comes from the 2025 Nigeria Social Cohesion Survey released by the Africa Polling Institute (API); a respected, non-partisan research think-tank.

 

According to the report:

 

83% of Nigerians express little to no trust in President Tinubu’s federal government.

 

82% do not trust the National Assembly.

 

79% lack confidence in the judiciary.

 

Over half (53%) of Nigerians say they feel disappointed in Nigeria’s state as a nation.

 

Such figures are not marginal; they indicate systemic distrust. By comparison, most functioning democracies see trust metrics in the range of 60 to 80% for their executive branches during good performance periods. Nigeria’s plummeting trust index underscores a crisis of confidence not mere political disagreement.

 

Furthermore, past approval metrics also emphasize public disapproval: One mid-term poll placed President Tinubu’s approval rating at a low 37%, with disapproval significantly outpacing approval.

II. Why Public Trust Has Eroded.

A. Economic Hardship and Daily Life.

Economic challenges have been the most pervasive concern voiced by Nigerians across regions and demographics. Independent surveys consistently show that:

 

Nearly 65% of respondents say that economic hardship and the rising cost of living are the most pressing problems facing the country under Tinubu’s administration.

 

Only 12.5% believe his reform agenda has greatly benefited the average Nigerian.

 

A key turning point was the removal of petrol subsidies, a policy widely criticised for its sudden implementation and weak cushioning mechanisms. While some economists argue this move was long overdue, millions of ordinary Nigerians experienced rapid price inflation, higher transport costs and a sharp drop in purchasing power.

 

The Africa Polling Institute’s data reinforce this reality, showing that rising prices for food, transport and basic services have become day-to-day struggles for families across the country.

 

B. Insecurity and Public Safety.

For any government, ensuring citizens safety is a fundamental obligation. And on this front, Nigerians increasingly feel abandoned:

 

Kidnappings, banditry and violent crime have surged in many states, prompting schools to shut campuses and families to live in fear. Observers have noted that insecurity remains one of the defining obstacles to national progress.

 

Even when security agencies report tactical gains, many Nigerians insist that the lived reality on the ground contradicts official narratives as a gap between state claims and citizens daily experiences.

 

C. Weakening National Cohesion.

The API survey’s Social Cohesion Index (recorded at just 46.8%) indicates that Nigerians are more fragmented and distrustful of institutions than at any point in recent survey history. When trust falters in the executive, legislative and judicial branches simultaneously, the very glue that holds a nation together begins to weaken.

 

Former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar described 2025 as “one of the most punishing years in Nigeria’s recent history”, attributing rising poverty and insecurity to missteps by the Tinubu administration.

 

III. Public Leaders and Experts: What They Are Saying.

This is not merely a grassroots grievance; respected national voices, including academics, analysts and even figures within the political elite, have been openly critical.

 

Renowned governance expert Professor Bell Ihua, commenting on the API survey, observed that the pervasive distrust in government institutions reflects a profound crisis of leadership and social contract.

 

Former Kaduna state governor Nasir El-Rufai claimed in an independent poll that the Tinubu government suffers from a 91% disapproval rating nationwide which is a striking statement even by political opposition standards.

 

These critiques resonate with public sentiment: when those entrusted with public office at all levels are seen as falling short, citizens’ frustration becomes palpable and widespread.

Nigeria at Its Worst? Why 83% of Nigerians Have Lost Trust in the Presidency.

By George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by saharaweeklyng.com

IV. The Broader Consequences of Widespread Disapproval.

 

A. Democratic Instability.

When public trust falls below critical thresholds (below 50%), democracies often encounter heightened volatility—rising polarization, weakened civil institutions and challenges to legitimacy. Nigeria’s low trust metrics signal deeper issues than policy dissatisfaction; they reflect a populace that feels increasingly unheard and unprotected.

 

B. Economic Stagnation and Brain Drain.

With rising living costs and limited opportunities, many Nigerians consider relocating abroad. Reports show that a majority express dissatisfaction with their current quality of life, and many would choose to migrate if given the chance.

 

This represents not just an economic loss but a tragic drain of human potential—the very talents needed to build Nigeria’s future.

 

V. A Nation at a Crossroads.

It is easy to dismiss public dissatisfaction as mere political noise, but the numbers tell a stark truth: Nigeria stands at a critical inflection point. When more than eight out of ten citizens have lost faith in the presidency, the danger is not only poor leadership; it is the erosion of the social contract that binds a diverse nation.

 

As political theorist Francis Fukuyama once wrote, “‘Trust is the foundation of all institutions and the lifeblood of healthy governance.’” In a country where trust is failing, the road ahead must be one of national dialogue, institutional reform and renewed commitment to citizen welfare.

 

Whether Nigerians are justified in claiming that the current presidency is the “worst in history” remains a matter of interpretation. Though the overwhelming evidence of public discontent, institutional distrust, economic hardship and insecurity paints a sobering picture of leadership in crisis.

 

If Nigeria is to recover its collective hope, strong and responsive governance (rooted in transparent accountability and genuine public engagement) is urgently needed. Only then can trust be rebuilt and Nigeria’s promise be restored.

 

Nigeria at Its Worst? Why 83% of Nigerians Have Lost Trust in the Presidency.

By George Omagbemi Sylvester | Published by saharaweeklyng.com

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